Star 10

In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/12 · since Mar 2022 rules — 480 draws, 2 from 1–12.

78times drawn · chance expected 80 −0.24σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 48% for any number

6.2average wait between appearances · chance says 6.0

29longest completed wait · 37% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 78 times in 480 draws against 80.0 expected, −0.24σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 78 times in 480 draws · average wait 6.2 draws · longest completed wait 29 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest17 · chance 14.2
2nd smallest61 · chance 63.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

5 3 4 7 12 1

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 11 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 12. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-09	4	2nd	7 10
2026-09-25	18	2nd	5 10
2026-07-24	17	2nd	7 10
2026-05-26	6	1st	10 12
2026-05-05	7	2nd	5 10
2026-04-10	9	1st	10 12
2026-03-10	2

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 2/12 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-11-22	2	2nd	7 10
2024-11-15	1	2nd	3 10
2024-11-12	4	1st	10 11
2024-10-29	3	2nd	1 10
2024-10-18	2	2nd	4 10
2024-10-11	6	1st	10 12
2024-09-20	4	2nd	4 10
2024-09-06	9	2nd	3 10
2024-08-06	5	2nd	9 10
2024-07-19	3	1st	10 11
2024-07-09	3	2nd	8 10
2024-06-28	6	1st	10 12
2024-06-07	5	2nd	5 10
2024-05-21	13	1st	10 11
2024-04-05	2	2nd	1 10
2024-03-29	3	2nd	5 10
2024-03-19	1	2nd	3 10
2024-03-15	1	2nd	3 10
2024-03-12	6	2nd	4 10
2024-02-20	2	2nd	4 10
2024-02-13	1	1st	10 12
2024-02-09	6	2nd	7 10
2024-01-19	3	2nd	7 10
2024-01-09	1	2nd	7 10
2024-01-05	1	2nd	3 10
2024-01-02	2	1st	10 11
2023-12-26	3	2nd	1 10
2023-12-15	23	2nd	1 10
2023-09-26	4	2nd	1 10
2023-09-12	3	2nd	1 10
2023-09-01	2	1st	10 11
2023-08-25	4	1st	10 12
2023-08-11	19	2nd	3 10
2023-06-06	14	2nd	3 10
2023-04-18	3	2nd	2 10
2023-04-07	16	2nd	5 10
2023-02-10	2	2nd	8 10
2023-02-03	1	2nd	2 10
2023-01-31	3	1st	10 11
2023-01-20	6	2nd	9 10
2022-12-30	7	2nd	5 10
2022-12-06	29	2nd	7 10
2022-08-26	1	1st	10 12
2022-08-23	4	2nd	4 10
2022-08-09	3	2nd	5 10
2022-07-29	3	1st	10 11
2022-07-19	3	2nd	9 10
2022-07-08	3	2nd	8 10
2022-06-28	5	2nd	3 10
2022-06-10	9	1st	10 12
2022-05-10	1	2nd	5 10
2022-05-06	1	1st	10 12
2022-05-03	11	2nd	5 10
2022-03-25	—	2nd	6 10