In Eurojackpot under the 5/50 + 2/12 · since Mar 2022 rules — 480 draws, 2 from 1–12.
66times drawn · chance expected 80 −1.71σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
7.4average wait between appearances · chance says 6.0
30longest completed wait · 28% chance of one at least that long
11 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 66 times in 480 draws against 80.0 expected, −1.71σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
11
Number 11, draw by draw
Drawn 66 times in 480 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 30 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 11 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 12. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 2/12 tonight whatever it did last week.