Number 18

In Jackpot Triple Play under the 6/46 · Feb 2019 – Apr 2022 rules — 337 draws, 6 from 1–46 (an earlier era).

52times drawn · chance expected 44 +1.30σ

7draws waiting · a wait this long: 43% for any number

6.4average wait between appearances · chance says 7.7

25longest completed wait · 84% chance of one at least that long

18 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 52 times in 337 draws against 44.0 expected, +1.30σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 18, draw by draw

Drawn 52 times in 337 draws · average wait 6.4 draws · longest completed wait 25 · waiting 7 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 18 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest2 · chance 4.2
2nd smallest16 · chance 14.8
3rd smallest20 · chance 19.0
4th smallest7 · chance 10.9
5th smallest7 · chance 2.8
6th smallest0 · chance 0.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

12 22 27 10 21 46

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 45 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 18 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 46. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 18 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-03-29	12	3rd	10 17 18 35 43 46
2022-02-15	7	4th	14 15 17 18 21 43
2022-01-21	1	4th	3 14 15 18 26

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 18 is drawn with probability 6/46 tonight whatever it did last week.

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 18 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest2 · chance 4.2

2nd smallest16 · chance 14.8

3rd smallest20 · chance 19.0

4th smallest7 · chance 10.9

5th smallest7 · chance 2.8

6th smallest0 · chance 0.3

How many people play it

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

Date

Wait

Position

The draw

2022-03-29

3rd

10 17 18 35 43 46

2022-02-15

4th

14 15 17 18 21 43

2022-01-21

4th

3 14 15 18 26

2021-01-15	5	2nd	12 18 24 29 34 43
2020-12-29	24	5th	7 10 11 17 18 42
2020-10-06	2	3rd	3 9 18 20 25 27
2020-09-29	1	5th	3 5 10 17 18 22
2020-09-25	2	5th	1 2 9 10 18 31
2020-09-18	6	2nd	13 18 25 29 38 42
2020-08-28	8	2nd	8 18 19 20 21 42
2020-07-31	9	3rd	2 14 18 23 26 34
2020-06-30	2	2nd	17 18 25 31 35 41
2020-06-23	25	2nd	16 18 19 22 30 46
2020-03-27	15	3rd	12 14 18 27 39 46
2020-02-04	5	4th	2 10 14 18 20 25
2020-01-17	2	3rd	6 7 18 27 32 44
2020-01-10	5	3rd	12 16 18 21 22 36
2019-12-24	6	3rd	1 5 18 25 29 35
2019-12-03	11	3rd	5 15 18 19 31 32
2019-10-25	6	5th	3 12 16 17 18 46
2019-10-04	12	3rd	4 12 18 24 33 34
2019-08-23	6	2nd	3 18 27 33 40 45
2019-08-02	2	5th	2 9 13 16 18 27
2019-07-26	1	2nd	12 18 23 27 29 39
2019-07-23	2	3rd	8 15 18 32 37 44
2019-07-16	8	2nd	7 18 26 29 32 41
2019-06-18	4	3rd	6 15 18 21 22 23
2019-06-04	8	3rd	7 17 18 22 30 35
2019-05-07	1	3rd	2 14 18 21 38 40
2019-05-03	21	3rd	10 13 18 30 38 45
2019-02-19	—	3rd	7 8 18 25 43 46