In Jackpot Triple Play under the 6/46 · Feb 2019 – Apr 2022 rules — 337 draws, 6 from 1–46 (an earlier era).
44times drawn · chance expected 44 +0.01σ
20draws waiting · a wait this long: 7% for any number
7.2average wait between appearances · chance says 7.7
39longest completed wait · 19% chance of one at least that long
30 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 44 times in 337 draws against 44.0 expected, +0.01σ. Each draw is independent: after 20 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
30
Number 30, draw by draw
Drawn 44 times in 337 draws · average wait 7.2 draws · longest completed wait 39 · waiting 20 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 45 numbers; chance expected about 0.3 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 46. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 6/46 tonight whatever it did last week.