Number 10

In Lotto under the 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 rules — 1,616 draws, 6 from 1–52 (an earlier era).

199times drawn · chance expected 186 +0.98σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number

8.1average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7

52longest completed wait · 32% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 199 times in 1,616 draws against 186.5 expected, +0.98σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 199 times in 1,616 draws · average wait 8.1 draws · longest completed wait 52 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest80 · chance 72.1
2nd smallest84 · chance 85.3
3rd smallest30 · chance 35.0
4th smallest5 · chance 6.1
5th smallest0 · chance 0.4
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 19.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

36 20 31 2 19 15

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 51 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 52. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-04-21	10	2nd	8 10 13 18 33 48
2025-03-29	13	1st	10 12 30 42 44 45
2025-02-27	10	1st	10 19 25 34 36 47
2025-02-03

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 6/52 tonight whatever it did last week.

2023-10-23	5	2nd	3 10 19 35 46 50
2023-10-12	3	2nd	4 10 20 36 42 50
2023-10-05	10	1st	10 12 27 28 30 45
2023-09-11	1	2nd	7 10 20 26 32 43
2023-09-09	5	2nd	4 10 22 35 36 48
2023-08-28	9	1st	10 12 27 32 40 42
2023-08-07	15	1st	10 31 33 34 42 45
2023-07-03	52	1st	10 17 20 22 33 34
2023-03-04	2	3rd	5 9 10 13 30 38
2023-02-27	8	1st	10 15 34 37 39 43
2023-02-09	4	2nd	3 10 25 43 46 49
2023-01-30	2	1st	10 18 26 32 46 50
2023-01-26	5	2nd	3 10 11 19 25 50
2023-01-14	5	2nd	6 10 16 18 20 41
2023-01-02	2	4th	4 6 7 10 12 38
2022-12-29	2	1st	10 16 17 29 36 45
2022-12-24	5	2nd	4 10 32 35 36 48
2022-12-12	5	3rd	8 9 10 31 38 47
2022-12-01	5	2nd	7 10 24 27 46 48
2022-11-19	11	2nd	2 10 15 17 21 33
2022-10-24	17	2nd	5 10 11 31 36 39
2022-09-15	12	2nd	2 10 17 25 27 49
2022-08-18	3	2nd	7 10 16 20 25 50
2022-08-11	7	2nd	2 10 12 13 14 30
2022-07-25	3	2nd	8 10 16 32 36 45
2022-07-18	7	2nd	9 10 13 18 25 40
2022-07-02	11	2nd	2 10 13 15 25 47
2022-06-06	5	1st	10 11 20 36 39 45
2022-05-26	6	2nd	9 10 16 17 25 27
2022-05-12	7	1st	10 15 17 28 29 49
2022-04-25	17	3rd	2 8 10 12 34 47
2022-03-17	5	1st	10 11 15 27 32 34
2022-03-05	3	1st	10 16 26 40 46 47
2022-02-26	3	2nd	9 10 11 25 40 43
2022-02-19	14	2nd	4 10 29 33 35 43
2022-01-17	2	1st	10 31 32 44 49 50
2022-01-13	3	2nd	8 10 15 20 38 49
2022-01-06	27	2nd	6 10 14 36 39 44
2021-11-04	5	2nd	2 10 22 36 38 50
2021-10-23	4	2nd	2 10 28 31 33 47
2021-10-14	2	2nd	7 10 14 16 20 38
2021-10-09	17	2nd	4 10 13 26 27 47
2021-08-30	16	4th	1 3 8 10 30 39
2021-07-24	3	1st	10 16 19 20 24 41
2021-07-17	11	2nd	2 10 16 29 35 41
2021-06-21	8	2nd	5 10 13 24 25 48
2021-06-03	27	2nd	4 10 20 36 44 46
2021-04-01	4	1st	10 16 32 39 40 46
2021-03-22	2	1st	10 19 24 43 45 46
2021-03-18	8	1st	10 20 31 33 47 52
2021-02-27	2	1st	10 13 19 37 41 51
2021-02-22	7	1st	10 33 35 48 50 52
2021-02-06	4	1st	10 21 22 34 36 37
2021-01-28	11	2nd	8 10 17 24 38 39
2021-01-02	3	1st	10 14 15 23 25 51
2020-12-26	26	2nd	7 10 17 19 34 52
2020-10-26	1	1st	10 12 23 24 25 42
2020-10-24	3	1st	10 23 30 47 49 51
2020-10-17	4	2nd	6 10 20 43 45 51
2020-10-08	14	1st	10 12 13 17 29 30
2020-09-05	20	3rd	1 7 10 29 40 41
2020-07-20	7	1st	10 17 26 27 38 41
2020-07-04	5	1st	10 12 23 27 34 44
2020-06-22	4	3rd	1 8 10 24 35 46
2020-06-13	1	2nd	7 10 16 21 40 44
2020-06-11	14	2nd	7 10 36 39 44 45
2020-05-09	5	3rd	6 8 10 21 24 49
2020-04-27	3	2nd	9 10 22 33 37 46
2020-04-20	5	1st	10 11 13 22 31 35
2020-04-09	8	3rd	2 5 10 12 38 51
2020-03-21	9	2nd	5 10 11 18 35 46
2020-02-29	8	1st	10 13 24 27 33 43
2020-02-10	34	2nd	9 10 11 16 17 18
2019-11-23	6	1st	10 14 21 36 45 51
2019-11-09	1	2nd	8 10 15 20 39 40
2019-11-07	22	1st	10 34 35 40 41 43
2019-09-16	10	2nd	3 10 28 43 44 47
2019-08-24	1	1st	10 27 28 32 34 44
2019-08-22	6	2nd	7 10 15 34 40 52
2019-08-08	9	3rd	2 8 10 16 31 33
2019-07-18	2	1st	10 23 32 38 49 51
2019-07-13	1	3rd	4 9 10 23 25 41
2019-07-11	5	1st	10 11 19 28 35 52
2019-06-29	1	2nd	8 10 24 28 31 49
2019-06-27	1	2nd	8 10 23 24 39 46
2019-06-24	3	3rd	1 7 10 17 33 42
2019-06-17	9	1st	10 17 24 28 40 47
2019-05-27	8	2nd	8 10 33 35 47 49
2019-05-09	1	1st	10 23 32 40 43 51
2019-05-06	7	2nd	3 10 18 35 39 49
2019-04-20	7	2nd	9 10 33 38 44 47
2019-04-04	5	3rd	1 3 10 23 31 49
2019-03-23	25	2nd	5 10 15 45 49 51
2019-01-24	1	3rd	3 8 10 21 43 50
2019-01-21	10	3rd	4 5 10 30 31 39
2018-12-29	17	2nd	3 10 32 41 47 50
2018-11-19	12	1st	10 12 13 33 48 51
2018-10-22	13	3rd	4 6 10 22 31 39
2018-09-22	1	4th	2 3 7 10 37 47
2018-09-20	4	2nd	7 10 15 18 46 50
2018-09-10	12	1st	10 20 22 25 36 42
2018-08-13	3	1st	10 11 28 38 40 49
2018-08-06	8	2nd	4 10 29 31 36 37
2018-07-19	2	2nd	9 10 14 34 42 44
2018-07-14	11	3rd	2 5 10 13 18 30
2018-06-18	2	1st	10 19 24 32 36 43
2018-06-14	13	2nd	6 10 15 29 30 37
2018-05-14	8	3rd	2 6 10 11 14 52
2018-04-26	9	1st	10 27 28 39 42 52
2018-04-05	1	2nd	6 10 28 30 36 42
2018-04-02	1	1st	10 13 23 27 43 51
2018-03-31	1	1st	10 29 30 32 44 47
2018-03-29	2	1st	10 18 20 22 28 34
2018-03-24	21	1st	10 19 24 40 45 46
2018-02-03	2	1st	10 14 16 20 28 44
2018-01-29	1	2nd	3 10 24 28 36 38
2018-01-27	35	2nd	3 10 12 22 25 37
2017-11-06	9	2nd	9 10 16 20 21 34
2017-10-16	7	2nd	3 10 32 43 45 52
2017-09-30	1	1st	10 11 19 30 31 35
2017-09-28	8	2nd	6 10 16 33 36 42
2017-09-09	3	2nd	2 10 21 27 36 37
2017-09-02	7	3rd	2 6 10 21 27 41
2017-08-17	2	1st	10 16 19 24 31 33
2017-08-12	5	3rd	6 9 10 21 30 31
2017-07-31	6	4th	2 6 8 10 12 15
2017-07-17	6	1st	10 21 30 37 42 51
2017-07-03	4	2nd	4 10 14 15 19 48
2017-06-24	11	2nd	3 10 13 14 26 36
2017-05-29	1	1st	10 21 29 33 34 45
2017-05-27	8	1st	10 16 27 38 43 49
2017-05-08	20	2nd	7 10 23 29 35 40
2017-03-23	3	2nd	6 10 18 31 41 43
2017-03-16	10	1st	10 15 18 21 29 38
2017-02-20	9	2nd	7 10 13 22 34 43
2017-01-30	2	3rd	2 4 10 15 23 47
2017-01-26	4	2nd	8 10 24 36 45 51
2017-01-16	1	1st	10 15 16 24 35 44
2017-01-14	19	2nd	7 10 14 28 37 38
2016-12-01	1	1st	10 17 18 24 36 46
2016-11-28	7	3rd	4 9 10 15 23 36
2016-11-12	2	3rd	1 7 10 13 28 46
2016-11-07	6	1st	10 19 34 42 46 51
2016-10-24	10	1st	10 13 19 22 27 33
2016-10-01	3	1st	10 17 22 30 48 51
2016-09-24	2	2nd	4 10 11 15 20 49
2016-09-19	5	1st	10 19 20 42 44 48
2016-09-08	4	2nd	4 10 14 37 47 48
2016-08-29	3	1st	10 18 19 25 37 40
2016-08-22	11	1st	10 14 17 22 23 36
2016-07-28	9	3rd	2 3 10 23 25 29
2016-07-07	24	1st	10 14 25 30 31 34
2016-05-12	1	3rd	2 7 10 20 25 36
2016-05-09	4	3rd	2 6 10 20 31 38
2016-04-30	1	1st	10 11 12 27 41 47
2016-04-28	9	1st	10 15 16 19 29 35
2016-04-07	11	1st	10 13 31 39 42 48
2016-03-12	2	1st	10 11 14 24 28 51
2016-03-07	16	1st	10 12 20 30 38 52
2016-01-30	2	1st	10 18 27 32 33 48
2016-01-25	3	2nd	6 10 11 40 46 49
2016-01-18	2	1st	10 17 19 32 38 47
2016-01-14	4	2nd	3 10 18 25 43 47
2016-01-04	3	1st	10 15 28 36 43 45
2015-12-28	12	2nd	7 10 16 17 23 51
2015-11-30	4	3rd	2 5 10 31 38 48
2015-11-21	8	2nd	8 10 12 22 37 40
2015-11-02	1	2nd	7 10 11 22 34 46
2015-10-31	9	1st	10 22 30 39 46 51
2015-10-10	36	2nd	2 10 22 24 26 27
2015-07-18	16	3rd	3 6 10 39 49 51
2015-06-11	10	2nd	7 10 20 25 41 50
2015-05-18	3	2nd	7 10 19 20 35 43
2015-05-11	48	3rd	6 8 10 16 23 45
2015-01-19	—	1st	10 18 21 26 35 49