Number 15

In Lotto under the 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 rules — 1,616 draws, 6 from 1–52 (an earlier era).

189times drawn · chance expected 186 +0.20σ

10draws waiting · a wait this long: 33% for any number

8.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7

57longest completed wait · 18% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 189 times in 1,616 draws against 186.5 expected, +0.20σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 189 times in 1,616 draws · average wait 8.5 draws · longest completed wait 57 · waiting 10 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest22 · chance 35.1
2nd smallest92 · chance 74.4
3rd smallest53 · chance 56.9
4th smallest16 · chance 19.5
5th smallest4 · chance 3.0
6th smallest2 · chance 0.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 18.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

11 4 2 29 17 28

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 51 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 52. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-04-03	18	4th	2 4 11 15 26 37
2025-02-20	1	1st	15 17 21 28 41 49
2025-02-17	7	3rd	1 5 15 25 28 36
2025-02-01

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 6/52 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-02-08	2	1st	15 19 22 26 27 30
2024-02-03	9	1st	15 19 25 28 30 34
2024-01-13	2	2nd	2 15 20 29 40 45
2024-01-08	8	2nd	4 15 29 37 38 40
2023-12-21	4	1st	15 29 38 41 47 48
2023-12-11	7	1st	15 31 34 38 43 46
2023-11-25	6	2nd	12 15 22 23 25 38
2023-11-11	2	2nd	4 15 21 25 40 46
2023-11-06	32	4th	7 8 13 15 25 36
2023-08-24	16	2nd	13 15 17 35 42 43
2023-07-17	9	3rd	3 7 15 17 24 42
2023-06-26	1	1st	15 22 28 30 35 39
2023-06-24	3	2nd	8 15 21 27 28 30
2023-06-17	13	1st	15 16 19 28 41 44
2023-05-18	2	2nd	12 15 23 29 40 50
2023-05-13	11	2nd	14 15 26 28 32 47
2023-04-17	6	3rd	7 9 15 19 22 31
2023-04-03	5	2nd	1 15 22 26 36 46
2023-03-23	10	5th	1 7 12 13 15 21
2023-02-27	27	2nd	10 15 34 37 39 43
2022-12-26	16	2nd	4 15 26 41 45 50
2022-11-19	4	3rd	2 10 15 17 21 33
2022-11-10	10	2nd	13 15 17 30 38 40
2022-10-17	12	2nd	14 15 20 26 36 47
2022-09-19	1	3rd	4 6 15 40 49 50
2022-09-17	7	2nd	14 15 18 38 42 46
2022-09-01	4	3rd	5 7 15 26 27 37
2022-08-22	1	2nd	7 15 16 27 35 39
2022-08-20	9	2nd	8 15 16 27 39 40
2022-07-30	1	3rd	7 8 15 16 32 45
2022-07-28	11	3rd	1 2 15 31 39 48
2022-07-02	1	4th	2 10 13 15 25 47
2022-06-30	1	3rd	2 9 15 18 22 32
2022-06-27	18	2nd	1 15 22 35 36 40
2022-05-16	2	2nd	7 15 28 32 34 49
2022-05-12	8	2nd	10 15 17 28 29 49
2022-04-23	11	2nd	13 15 28 29 31 44
2022-03-28	2	2nd	11 15 24 28 31 45
2022-03-24	3	2nd	14 15 19 37 41 44
2022-03-17	17	3rd	10 11 15 27 32 34
2022-02-05	2	5th	3 4 6 13 15 50
2022-01-31	8	2nd	3 15 18 23 40 41
2022-01-13	13	3rd	8 10 15 20 38 49
2021-12-13	3	2nd	14 15 17 25 37 40
2021-12-06	2	2nd	1 15 26 27 31 40
2021-12-02	11	2nd	12 15 21 33 47 48
2021-11-06	19	3rd	4 9 15 23 33 44
2021-09-23	2	1st	15 21 31 38 41 50
2021-09-18	3	5th	2 7 11 12 15 18
2021-09-11	3	1st	15 25 27 29 36 45
2021-09-04	12	4th	1 4 7 15 16 17
2021-08-07	5	2nd	7 15 18 31 39 50
2021-07-26	5	2nd	14 15 17 21 28 38
2021-07-15	4	2nd	12 15 20 22 42 46
2021-07-05	9	3rd	2 3 15 29 45 50
2021-06-14	23	2nd	14 15 19 32 43 44
2021-04-22	2	2nd	8 15 19 31 32 47
2021-04-17	2	2nd	7 15 20 28 42 44
2021-04-12	13	3rd	1 7 15 27 42 44
2021-03-13	16	1st	15 16 19 41 45 47
2021-02-04	14	2nd	1 15 33 45 48 51
2021-01-02	1	3rd	10 14 15 23 25 51
2020-12-31	11	3rd	2 11 15 24 27 42
2020-12-05	2	1st	15 22 24 30 32 34
2020-11-30	6	4th	6 7 11 15 17 47
2020-11-16	6	3rd	6 11 15 20 36 50
2020-11-02	6	3rd	2 14 15 23 24 44
2020-10-19	13	2nd	8 15 23 32 33 41
2020-09-19	17	2nd	3 15 25 29 36 42
2020-08-10	7	2nd	1 15 17 26 34 48
2020-07-25	22	2nd	12 15 18 26 27 41
2020-06-04	1	3rd	6 11 15 41 44 48
2020-06-01	13	2nd	11 15 27 28 33 44
2020-05-02	22	1st	15 36 38 47 48 52
2020-03-12	18	2nd	14 15 16 23 28 34
2020-01-30	22	3rd	1 12 15 24 28 48
2019-12-09	1	2nd	2 15 34 41 43 44
2019-12-07	4	2nd	11 15 23 30 39 41
2019-11-28	1	3rd	5 11 15 19 37 47
2019-11-25	4	2nd	13 15 17 20 35 48
2019-11-16	3	3rd	7 14 15 17 26 36
2019-11-09	8	3rd	8 10 15 20 39 40
2019-10-21	17	3rd	4 12 15 21 26 45
2019-09-12	1	2nd	1 15 19 22 29 51
2019-09-09	2	3rd	3 12 15 22 43 47
2019-09-05	3	3rd	9 12 15 42 43 44
2019-08-29	3	1st	15 17 27 33 42 50
2019-08-22	8	3rd	7 10 15 34 40 52
2019-08-03	1	2nd	11 15 16 20 25 51
2019-08-01	11	2nd	4 15 18 26 30 39
2019-07-06	29	2nd	8 15 33 39 48 51
2019-04-29	8	1st	15 26 35 38 40 47
2019-04-11	8	2nd	11 15 21 41 48 49
2019-03-23	57	3rd	5 10 15 45 49 51
2018-11-10	4	2nd	2 15 17 21 40 46
2018-11-01	16	4th	5 6 14 15 41 46
2018-09-24	2	2nd	5 15 28 38 40 43
2018-09-20	2	3rd	7 10 15 18 46 50
2018-09-15	11	5th	1 6 8 11 15 17
2018-08-20	10	2nd	2 15 27 30 43 47
2018-07-28	5	1st	15 16 27 30 35 48
2018-07-16	14	3rd	4 5 15 25 28 38
2018-06-14	2	3rd	6 10 15 29 30 37
2018-06-09	17	3rd	4 9 15 24 30 36
2018-04-30	6	4th	2 13 14 15 28 39
2018-04-16	26	1st	15 17 21 49 50 51
2018-02-15	4	4th	1 8 12 15 30 39
2018-02-05	11	2nd	2 15 19 24 49 50
2018-01-11	3	1st	15 17 20 36 42 48
2018-01-04	1	3rd	13 14 15 24 33 52
2018-01-01	3	2nd	11 15 27 32 37 39
2017-12-25	6	3rd	13 14 15 19 21 26
2017-12-11	10	2nd	7 15 17 27 32 42
2017-11-18	36	3rd	7 11 15 31 39 50
2017-08-26	2	2nd	5 15 23 36 37 51
2017-08-21	9	2nd	11 15 20 21 27 33
2017-07-31	2	6th	2 6 8 10 12 15
2017-07-27	10	4th	2 11 12 15 39 42
2017-07-03	14	4th	4 10 14 15 19 48
2017-06-01	21	2nd	4 15 34 36 41 42
2017-04-13	1	2nd	3 15 25 42 44 45
2017-04-10	9	2nd	9 15 17 32 35 44
2017-03-20	2	2nd	6 15 28 29 44 46
2017-03-16	6	2nd	10 15 18 21 29 38
2017-03-02	9	2nd	4 15 17 31 37 43
2017-02-09	2	6th	2 3 8 11 14 15
2017-02-04	2	3rd	5 7 15 23 44 45
2017-01-30	5	4th	2 4 10 15 23 47
2017-01-19	1	3rd	2 14 15 42 51 52
2017-01-16	2	2nd	10 15 16 24 35 44
2017-01-12	11	2nd	13 15 23 29 44 47
2016-12-17	8	2nd	2 15 27 31 41 46
2016-11-28	19	4th	4 9 10 15 23 36
2016-10-15	9	3rd	1 9 15 28 29 31
2016-09-24	9	4th	4 10 11 15 20 49
2016-09-03	10	2nd	12 15 18 24 29 37
2016-08-11	25	2nd	11 15 26 28 30 35
2016-06-13	9	1st	15 17 19 36 37 40
2016-05-23	1	3rd	1 5 15 38 43 45
2016-05-21	10	2nd	4 15 31 33 34 40
2016-04-28	2	2nd	10 15 16 19 29 35
2016-04-23	10	1st	15 16 23 28 32 49
2016-03-31	2	4th	1 2 5 15 26 43
2016-03-26	32	2nd	4 15 23 25 38 48
2016-01-11	3	2nd	11 15 26 36 38 45
2016-01-04	6	2nd	10 15 28 36 43 45
2015-12-21	1	2nd	11 15 16 33 35 52
2015-12-19	11	2nd	2 15 23 36 46 50
2015-11-23	6	4th	2 4 9 15 32 45
2015-11-09	2	3rd	3 4 15 35 51 52
2015-11-05	17	2nd	7 15 25 34 46 49
2015-09-26	2	2nd	9 15 21 37 40 50
2015-09-21	14	1st	15 26 29 38 41 47
2015-08-20	18	2nd	4 15 19 29 36 40
2015-07-09	1	3rd	9 12 15 27 30 31
2015-07-06	14	2nd	5 15 31 40 50 51
2015-06-04	18	2nd	5 15 17 21 29 38
2015-04-23	3	3rd	4 11 15 19 39 49
2015-04-16	14	2nd	11 15 21 23 27 40
2015-03-14	8	2nd	4 15 27 38 46 51
2015-02-23	1	2nd	2 15 36 37 42 50
2015-02-21	8	2nd	3 15 23 43 45 46
2015-02-02	13	2nd	1 15 27 29 43 45
2015-01-03	1	2nd	14 15 16 24 31 42
2015-01-01	—	3rd	8 12 15 25 37 43