Number 4

In Lotto under the 6/52 · Jan 2015 – Apr 2025 rules — 1,616 draws, 6 from 1–52 (an earlier era).

197times drawn · chance expected 186 +0.82σ

10draws waiting · a wait this long: 33% for any number

8.2average wait between appearances · chance says 8.7

37longest completed wait · 91% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 197 times in 1,616 draws against 186.5 expected, +0.82σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 197 times in 1,616 draws · average wait 8.2 draws · longest completed wait 37 · waiting 10 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest151 · chance 143.6
2nd smallest41 · chance 49.0
3rd smallest5 · chance 4.4
4th smallest0 · chance 0.1
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 19.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

20 15 49 13 21 38

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 51 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 52. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2025-04-03	27	2nd	2 4 11 15 26 37
2025-01-30	4	1st	4 5 9 20 40 50
2025-01-20	1	1st	4 10 25 31 38 49
2025-01-18

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/52 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-01-11	1	1st	4 11 18 22 31 37
2024-01-08	1	1st	4 15 29 37 38 40
2024-01-06	1	2nd	3 4 8 27 35 49
2024-01-04	8	1st	4 12 13 23 25 34
2023-12-16	15	1st	4 6 23 25 28 47
2023-11-11	1	1st	4 15 21 25 40 46
2023-11-09	5	1st	4 16 18 35 38 44
2023-10-28	3	1st	4 17 21 29 34 43
2023-10-21	4	1st	4 7 22 27 38 48
2023-10-12	1	1st	4 10 20 36 42 50
2023-10-09	8	1st	4 6 18 21 37 39
2023-09-21	5	1st	4 14 19 32 36 42
2023-09-09	6	1st	4 10 22 35 36 48
2023-08-26	5	1st	4 18 37 39 46 50
2023-08-14	2	1st	4 9 23 32 40 45
2023-08-10	3	1st	4 11 20 30 32 36
2023-08-03	10	1st	4 9 13 20 36 43
2023-07-10	1	2nd	1 4 9 25 42 47
2023-07-08	14	2nd	2 4 13 20 28 45
2023-06-05	3	1st	4 5 12 14 20 50
2023-05-29	2	2nd	1 4 14 20 37 43
2023-05-25	2	1st	4 38 39 43 44 45
2023-05-20	7	1st	4 5 14 19 25 38
2023-05-04	9	1st	4 11 22 25 26 36
2023-04-13	5	1st	4 19 25 30 33 43
2023-04-01	11	1st	4 11 13 34 40 41
2023-03-06	7	1st	4 11 16 23 43 45
2023-02-18	2	1st	4 20 24 25 42 45
2023-02-13	3	1st	4 31 32 42 43 47
2023-02-06	12	1st	4 25 26 28 40 50
2023-01-09	3	1st	4 21 23 26 35 38
2023-01-02	3	1st	4 6 7 10 12 38
2022-12-26	1	1st	4 15 26 41 45 50
2022-12-24	7	1st	4 10 32 35 36 48
2022-12-08	4	2nd	3 4 11 27 45 46
2022-11-28	1	1st	4 18 21 32 34 45
2022-11-26	10	2nd	2 4 12 33 41 45
2022-11-03	11	3rd	1 2 4 7 8 19
2022-10-08	7	2nd	2 4 17 24 37 42
2022-09-22	1	1st	4 6 21 25 38 40
2022-09-19	29	1st	4 6 15 40 49 50
2022-07-14	10	1st	4 11 24 26 42 49
2022-06-20	1	2nd	2 4 19 26 28 43
2022-06-18	1	1st	4 6 7 24 28 29
2022-06-16	1	2nd	3 4 28 33 38 46
2022-06-13	19	2nd	1 4 21 22 27 30
2022-04-30	30	1st	4 8 16 20 29 31
2022-02-19	3	1st	4 10 29 33 35 43
2022-02-12	3	1st	4 5 14 39 44 50
2022-02-05	4	2nd	3 4 6 13 15 50
2022-01-27	8	1st	4 7 8 40 44 47
2022-01-08	2	1st	4 7 28 36 40 44
2022-01-03	7	1st	4 13 24 40 46 50
2021-12-18	1	1st	4 18 23 30 41 46
2021-12-16	15	1st	4 8 22 42 43 50
2021-11-11	2	1st	4 8 9 12 26 27
2021-11-06	4	1st	4 9 15 23 33 44
2021-10-28	3	1st	4 11 13 20 34 50
2021-10-21	5	1st	4 7 8 24 41 44
2021-10-09	6	1st	4 10 13 26 27 47
2021-09-25	5	1st	4 5 19 33 40 47
2021-09-13	4	1st	4 12 27 28 29 48
2021-09-04	6	2nd	1 4 7 15 16 17
2021-08-21	1	1st	4 18 26 31 41 43
2021-08-19	3	1st	4 8 19 36 42 50
2021-08-12	1	1st	4 8 21 22 26 42
2021-08-09	19	1st	4 24 36 45 48 49
2021-06-26	10	1st	4 9 11 24 31 47
2021-06-03	5	1st	4 10 20 36 44 46
2021-05-22	12	2nd	2 4 11 20 26 50
2021-04-24	8	2nd	2 4 13 16 45 49
2021-04-05	1	1st	4 9 27 38 39 44
2021-04-03	14	2nd	1 4 9 29 43 49
2021-03-01	33	1st	4 7 28 39 47 50
2020-12-14	26	1st	4 17 27 31 40 43
2020-10-15	2	1st	4 7 8 20 49 50
2020-10-10	5	1st	4 17 30 38 44 45
2020-09-28	25	2nd	3 4 6 13 44 46
2020-08-01	4	1st	4 20 21 27 28 35
2020-07-23	10	1st	4 26 28 33 43 51
2020-06-29	6	2nd	2 4 12 30 31 35
2020-06-15	27	2nd	2 4 5 14 38 44
2020-04-13	7	1st	4 28 31 37 38 50
2020-03-28	13	2nd	3 4 16 23 49 50
2020-02-27	18	2nd	3 4 13 20 39 42
2020-01-16	11	1st	4 7 13 20 35 39
2019-12-21	7	1st	4 9 26 29 32 45
2019-12-05	19	1st	4 5 14 23 34 43
2019-10-21	22	1st	4 12 15 21 26 45
2019-08-31	11	1st	4 17 21 23 27 45
2019-08-05	2	1st	4 11 19 28 32 51
2019-08-01	8	1st	4 15 18 26 30 39
2019-07-13	2	1st	4 9 10 23 25 41
2019-07-08	2	1st	4 26 34 37 41 44
2019-07-04	13	2nd	2 4 19 20 28 42
2019-06-03	20	1st	4 26 30 39 45 48
2019-04-18	37	1st	4 19 38 47 49 50
2019-01-21	17	1st	4 5 10 30 31 39
2018-12-13	1	1st	4 21 31 34 49 50
2018-12-10	8	2nd	2 4 21 38 41 49
2018-11-22	6	2nd	2 4 6 32 43 46
2018-11-08	4	1st	4 5 19 28 39 46
2018-10-29	3	2nd	3 4 5 18 27 40
2018-10-22	23	1st	4 6 10 22 31 39
2018-08-30	10	1st	4 11 23 28 31 43
2018-08-06	7	1st	4 10 29 31 36 37
2018-07-21	2	2nd	2 4 13 17 18 49
2018-07-16	16	1st	4 5 15 25 28 38
2018-06-09	6	1st	4 9 15 24 30 36
2018-05-26	1	1st	4 13 20 24 37 44
2018-05-24	9	1st	4 11 25 40 43 44
2018-05-03	34	1st	4 18 33 34 46 49
2018-02-12	1	1st	4 5 8 14 26 44
2018-02-10	14	1st	4 5 13 36 37 52
2018-01-08	7	1st	4 12 34 38 42 51
2017-12-23	3	1st	4 11 12 31 37 38
2017-12-16	1	2nd	1 4 25 27 46 50
2017-12-14	7	1st	4 13 29 34 38 41
2017-11-27	6	1st	4 11 16 20 25 45
2017-11-13	23	1st	4 13 14 26 28 37
2017-09-21	7	1st	4 18 21 24 46 47
2017-09-04	27	2nd	1 4 5 8 9 19
2017-07-03	1	1st	4 10 14 15 19 48
2017-07-01	2	1st	4 21 34 36 44 52
2017-06-26	3	1st	4 8 18 19 35 45
2017-06-19	3	1st	4 11 17 32 35 42
2017-06-12	5	1st	4 8 23 30 44 51
2017-06-01	26	1st	4 15 34 36 41 42
2017-04-01	1	1st	4 8 12 13 45 48
2017-03-30	10	1st	4 20 23 44 47 48
2017-03-06	2	1st	4 5 22 25 28 39
2017-03-02	6	1st	4 15 17 31 37 43
2017-02-16	7	1st	4 6 11 20 21 26
2017-01-30	25	2nd	2 4 10 15 23 47
2016-12-03	2	2nd	1 4 20 24 33 44
2016-11-28	1	1st	4 9 10 15 23 36
2016-11-26	5	1st	4 13 18 34 38 43
2016-11-14	16	1st	4 7 21 24 40 42
2016-10-08	6	1st	4 17 24 32 37 51
2016-09-24	7	1st	4 10 11 15 20 49
2016-09-08	6	1st	4 10 14 37 47 48
2016-08-25	4	1st	4 22 29 35 45 49
2016-08-15	7	1st	4 8 14 16 21 49
2016-07-30	11	1st	4 12 14 16 42 47
2016-07-04	1	1st	4 18 27 28 50 52
2016-07-02	3	1st	4 17 21 29 45 49
2016-06-25	1	2nd	3 4 13 21 23 29
2016-06-23	9	1st	4 24 33 34 42 50
2016-06-02	2	3rd	1 3 4 6 17 40
2016-05-28	3	2nd	2 4 5 20 35 51
2016-05-21	23	1st	4 15 31 33 34 40
2016-03-28	1	1st	4 16 22 32 44 49
2016-03-26	7	1st	4 15 23 25 38 48
2016-03-10	12	2nd	1 4 13 29 33 48
2016-02-11	24	1st	4 11 18 33 46 49
2015-12-17	8	1st	4 8 35 37 40 44
2015-11-28	2	1st	4 8 12 37 40 50
2015-11-23	6	2nd	2 4 9 15 32 45
2015-11-09	35	2nd	3 4 15 35 51 52
2015-08-20	7	1st	4 15 19 29 36 40
2015-08-03	4	1st	4 14 35 39 43 49
2015-07-25	9	1st	4 8 9 11 12 30
2015-07-04	8	1st	4 12 13 19 20 37
2015-06-15	4	1st	4 21 28 29 30 31
2015-06-06	19	1st	4 5 11 13 22 43
2015-04-23	7	1st	4 11 15 19 39 49
2015-04-06	10	1st	4 7 13 42 45 49
2015-03-14	11	1st	4 15 27 38 46 51
2015-02-16	3	1st	4 11 17 30 35 49
2015-02-09	2	1st	4 12 18 34 40 42
2015-02-05	4	1st	4 19 20 40 49 51
2015-01-26	7	1st	4 5 6 17 24 46
2015-01-10	—	1st	4 6 16 20 33 48