Number 10

In MultiMatch under the 6/43 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2022 rules — 1,318 draws, 6 from 1–43 (an earlier era).

165times drawn · chance expected 184 −1.50σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 74% for any number

8.0average wait between appearances · chance says 7.2

30longest completed wait · 88% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 165 times in 1,318 draws against 183.9 expected, −1.50σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 165 times in 1,318 draws · average wait 8.0 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest49 · chance 46.0
2nd smallest76 · chance 71.4
3rd smallest33 · chance 38.1
4th smallest7 · chance 8.6
5th smallest0 · chance 0.8
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 19.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

32 14 33 22 28 15

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 42 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 43. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-11-10	4	3rd	1 5 10 24 34 38
2022-10-27	4	1st	10 14 22 25 39 40
2022-10-13	22	2nd	4 10 11 15 17 38

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 6/43 tonight whatever it did last week.

2021-05-20	2	2nd	4 10 15 20 36 39
2021-05-13	15	2nd	3 10 14 28 33 36
2021-03-22	3	2nd	1 10 18 29 32 41
2021-03-11	5	1st	10 26 28 29 32 40
2021-02-22	2	3rd	1 9 10 17 35 39
2021-02-15	9	1st	10 19 23 24 34 35
2021-01-14	6	3rd	4 7 10 25 30 31
2020-12-24	2	1st	10 13 14 19 21 41
2020-12-17	9	3rd	2 9 10 18 32 35
2020-11-16	10	2nd	2 10 14 24 38 43
2020-10-12	3	1st	10 17 20 32 33 35
2020-10-01	5	3rd	2 5 10 19 21 36
2020-09-14	23	2nd	7 10 20 22 28 33
2020-06-25	1	2nd	8 10 16 28 37 40
2020-06-22	20	2nd	5 10 11 22 23 30
2020-04-13	26	3rd	4 5 10 12 15 27
2020-01-13	1	2nd	9 10 14 21 28 33
2020-01-09	17	4th	1 4 8 10 22 26
2019-11-11	4	1st	10 11 18 21 22 40
2019-10-28	2	2nd	4 10 18 19 33 39
2019-10-21	5	1st	10 31 34 35 36 37
2019-10-03	12	2nd	8 10 12 23 24 42
2019-08-22	29	2nd	4 10 11 18 35 38
2019-05-13	3	2nd	1 10 12 15 36 41
2019-05-02	7	2nd	1 10 13 24 32 42
2019-04-08	12	3rd	7 8 10 23 28 32
2019-02-25	1	4th	1 3 8 10 22 40
2019-02-21	22	2nd	9 10 11 13 18 26
2018-12-06	1	1st	10 11 18 21 28 41
2018-12-03	7	3rd	4 7 10 25 37 43
2018-11-08	2	3rd	2 9 10 24 36 43
2018-11-01	2	2nd	9 10 20 25 29 34
2018-10-25	6	2nd	8 10 30 35 38 40
2018-10-04	19	2nd	6 10 13 16 23 25
2018-07-30	1	3rd	1 2 10 13 16 20
2018-07-26	3	2nd	7 10 13 26 35 36
2018-07-16	1	2nd	4 10 17 23 24 36
2018-07-12	1	2nd	7 10 11 14 19 30
2018-07-09	10	4th	7 8 9 10 16 19
2018-06-04	4	2nd	4 10 16 30 34 36
2018-05-21	11	3rd	4 8 10 16 27 35
2018-04-12	24	3rd	3 9 10 14 22 41
2018-01-18	1	1st	10 22 25 30 32 36
2018-01-15	1	1st	10 12 28 29 32 38
2018-01-11	5	3rd	3 7 10 23 27 42
2017-12-25	5	2nd	1 10 11 28 33 40
2017-12-07	7	1st	10 19 22 33 36 40
2017-11-13	2	3rd	3 9 10 24 33 39
2017-11-06	1	2nd	3 10 25 29 32 36
2017-11-02	27	4th	1 3 4 10 26 33
2017-07-31	14	3rd	4 6 10 14 27 43
2017-06-12	15	2nd	1 10 11 19 21 35
2017-04-20	1	2nd	6 10 17 28 39 42
2017-04-17	21	1st	10 14 16 26 36 39
2017-02-02	2	2nd	5 10 15 32 37 39
2017-01-26	1	1st	10 11 19 20 21 29
2017-01-23	3	2nd	4 10 15 31 34 43
2017-01-12	1	2nd	9 10 17 27 33 34
2017-01-09	12	1st	10 23 31 36 40 41
2016-11-28	16	2nd	7 10 19 20 24 32
2016-10-03	20	1st	10 11 15 17 18 35
2016-07-25	10	1st	10 14 17 23 28 43
2016-06-20	25	2nd	7 10 12 27 30 43
2016-03-24	2	2nd	8 10 21 28 42 43
2016-03-17	2	2nd	7 10 11 19 26 39
2016-03-10	12	2nd	6 10 14 16 18 37
2016-01-28	7	2nd	1 10 18 28 31 35
2016-01-04	5	2nd	9 10 12 19 27 40
2015-12-17	26	1st	10 18 24 25 34 38
2015-09-17	6	3rd	2 9 10 22 32 42
2015-08-27	1	2nd	8 10 18 21 32 33
2015-08-24	2	2nd	2 10 11 16 22 35
2015-08-17	3	2nd	3 10 14 18 24 25
2015-08-06	1	1st	10 14 16 33 38 40
2015-08-03	19	2nd	2 10 22 28 33 36
2015-05-28	1	2nd	5 10 12 14 28 33
2015-05-25	11	2nd	4 10 26 28 30 35
2015-04-16	23	3rd	2 5 10 22 25 32
2015-01-26	2	2nd	6 10 13 18 24 27
2015-01-19	10	2nd	5 10 21 24 41 42
2014-12-15	1	4th	2 5 8 10 21 32
2014-12-11	18	2nd	2 10 14 32 33 36
2014-10-09	30	4th	5 7 9 10 32 34
2014-06-26	13	3rd	5 7 10 12 14 41
2014-05-12	1	2nd	9 10 11 17 32 34
2014-05-08	3	2nd	5 10 16 23 31 34
2014-04-28	8	2nd	5 10 20 28 38 39
2014-03-31	2	1st	10 11 17 23 30 32
2014-03-24	12	2nd	1 10 13 16 37 38
2014-02-10	6	1st	10 15 35 37 41 43
2014-01-20	28	1st	10 11 28 33 36 37
2013-10-14	1	2nd	9 10 17 27 35 42
2013-10-10	13	1st	10 17 21 25 36 39
2013-08-26	2	2nd	9 10 17 32 35 37
2013-08-19	13	1st	10 13 15 22 23 29
2013-07-04	17	2nd	6 10 11 12 17 21
2013-05-06	28	1st	10 12 14 15 31 40
2013-01-28	3	3rd	3 5 10 24 25 32
2013-01-17	30	3rd	4 6 10 15 16 24
2012-10-04	4	1st	10 13 15 16 22 34
2012-09-20	12	2nd	3 10 14 27 30 38
2012-08-09	3	3rd	1 4 10 17 19 40
2012-07-30	3	1st	10 22 32 36 38 41
2012-07-19	5	2nd	8 10 20 31 41 43
2012-07-02	8	1st	10 14 22 37 42 43
2012-06-04	3	1st	10 14 15 16 31 37
2012-05-24	1	3rd	3 7 10 13 24 35
2012-05-21	2	3rd	3 9 10 20 32 43
2012-05-14	6	2nd	3 10 17 22 32 40
2012-04-23	15	2nd	2 10 14 16 20 26
2012-03-01	1	3rd	5 7 10 14 15 30
2012-02-27	14	3rd	7 9 10 23 26 34
2012-01-05	7	4th	3 6 9 10 22 34
2011-12-12	2	2nd	8 10 14 23 25 40
2011-12-05	6	2nd	3 10 17 29 33 39
2011-11-14	12	2nd	3 10 14 15 17 43
2011-10-03	10	1st	10 12 13 17 34 39
2011-08-29	3	2nd	2 10 14 16 22 43
2011-08-18	2	2nd	9 10 13 19 24 26
2011-08-11	1	2nd	2 10 19 27 30 32
2011-08-08	15	3rd	3 4 10 11 22 42
2011-06-16	5	1st	10 14 15 19 26 39
2011-05-30	4	1st	10 15 25 26 30 33
2011-05-16	24	3rd	1 8 10 39 40 43
2011-02-21	1	1st	10 18 23 27 28 37
2011-02-17	2	2nd	4 10 21 25 27 33
2011-02-10	13	2nd	8 10 11 16 32 40
2010-12-27	2	1st	10 30 35 36 39 40
2010-12-20	4	3rd	1 6 10 22 28 29
2010-12-06	9	1st	10 13 15 16 22 43
2010-11-04	17	1st	10 11 15 18 32 33
2010-09-06	2	2nd	3 10 21 32 33 36
2010-08-30	1	3rd	2 5 10 13 19 24
2010-08-26	1	1st	10 14 17 26 33 35
2010-08-23	10	1st	10 14 17 26 33 35
2010-07-19	13	3rd	7 9 10 15 20 32
2010-06-03	1	1st	10 15 20 30 38 41
2010-05-31	1	1st	10 11 13 18 28 39
2010-05-27	9	1st	10 25 26 34 38 40
2010-04-26	2	2nd	8 10 21 30 31 42
2010-04-19	—	1st	10 18 20 25 38 39