Number 28

In Daily Million Plus 2pm under the 6/39 + 1/38 · Apr 2016 – Jul 2016 rules — 86 draws, 6 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

11times drawn · chance expected 13 −0.67σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

7.9average wait between appearances · chance says 6.5

17longest completed wait · 51% chance of one at least that long

28 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 11 times in 86 draws against 13.2 expected, −0.67σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 28, draw by draw

Drawn 11 times in 86 draws · average wait 7.9 draws · longest completed wait 17 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 28 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.2
3rd smallest1 · chance 1.3
4th smallest6 · chance 3.5
5th smallest3 · chance 4.2
6th smallest1 · chance 1.8

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

10 39 1 7 8 9

Never drawn alongside 7 of the other 38 numbers; chance expects about 9 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 28 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 28 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-07-19	6	5th	4 11 14 20 28 39
2016-07-13	4	3rd	9 26 28 29 30 38
2016-07-09	6	6th	8 10 13 18 25 28

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 28 is drawn with probability 6/39 tonight whatever it did last week.