Number 6

In Daily Million Plus 2pm under the 6/39 + 1/38 · Apr 2016 – Jul 2016 rules — 86 draws, 6 from 1–39 (an earlier era).

17times drawn · chance expected 13 +1.13σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 72% for any number

5.0average wait between appearances · chance says 6.5

11longest completed wait · 96% chance of one at least that long

6 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 17 times in 86 draws against 13.2 expected, +1.13σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 6, draw by draw

Drawn 17 times in 86 draws · average wait 5.0 draws · longest completed wait 11 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 6 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest9 · chance 8.0
2nd smallest3 · chance 6.9
3rd smallest5 · chance 1.8
4th smallest0 · chance 0.2
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

39 1 8 26 37 4

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 4 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 6 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 6 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-07-16	6	1st	6 10 11 30 37 39
2016-07-10	4	1st	6 8 11 24 25 30
2016-07-06	10	2nd	1 6 13 14 16 32

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 6 is drawn with probability 6/39 tonight whatever it did last week.