SuperEnalotto · every number
11
Number 11 In SuperEnalotto under the 6/90 + 1/90 · Dec 1997 – Jul 2009 rules — 1,425 draws, 6 from 1–90 (an earlier era).
6/90 + 1/90 · since Jul 2009 6/90 + 1/90 · Dec 1997 – Jul 2009 93 times drawn · chance expected 95 −0.21σ
17 draws waiting · a wait this long: 33% for any number
14.7 average wait between appearances · chance says 15.0
55 longest completed wait · 89% chance of one at least that long
11 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 93 times in 1,425 draws against 95.0 expected, −0.21σ. Each draw is independent: after 17 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 17 times, counted separately.
11 Number 11, draw by draw Drawn 93 times in 1,425 draws · average wait 14.7 draws · longest completed wait 55 · waiting 17 draws now
55 draws: 1998-05-30 to 1998-12-09 26 draws: 1998-12-09 to 1999-03-10 9 draws: 1999-03-10 to 1999-04-10 8 draws: 1999-04-10 to 1999-05-08 21 draws: 1999-05-08 to 1999-07-21 18 draws: 1999-07-21 to 1999-09-22 33 draws: 1999-09-22 to 2000-01-15 35 draws: 2000-01-15 to 2000-05-17 16 draws: 2000-05-17 to 2000-07-12 12 draws: 2000-07-12 to 2000-08-23 4 draws: 2000-08-23 to 2000-09-06 10 draws: 2000-09-06 to 2000-10-11 15 draws: 2000-10-11 to 2000-12-02 6 draws: 2000-12-02 to 2000-12-23 27 draws: 2000-12-23 to 2001-03-28 4 draws: 2001-03-28 to 2001-04-11 1 draws: 2001-04-11 to 2001-04-14 13 draws: 2001-04-14 to 2001-05-30 26 draws: 2001-05-30 to 2001-08-29 1 draws: 2001-08-29 to 2001-09-01 10 draws: 2001-09-01 to 2001-10-06 7 draws: 2001-10-06 to 2001-10-31 43 draws: 2001-10-31 to 2002-03-27 26 draws: 2002-03-27 to 2002-06-26 7 draws: 2002-06-26 to 2002-07-20 2 draws: 2002-07-20 to 2002-07-27 15 draws: 2002-07-27 to 2002-09-18 14 draws: 2002-09-18 to 2002-11-06 3 draws: 2002-11-06 to 2002-11-16 5 draws: 2002-11-16 to 2002-12-03 16 draws: 2002-12-03 to 2003-01-11 5 draws: 2003-01-11 to 2003-01-29 23 draws: 2003-01-29 to 2003-04-19 1 draws: 2003-04-19 to 2003-04-23 23 draws: 2003-04-23 to 2003-07-12 9 draws: 2003-07-12 to 2003-08-13 18 draws: 2003-08-13 to 2003-10-15 10 draws: 2003-10-15 to 2003-11-19 21 draws: 2003-11-19 to 2004-01-31 1 draws: 2004-01-31 to 2004-02-04 7 draws: 2004-02-04 to 2004-02-28 32 draws: 2004-02-28 to 2004-06-19 1 draws: 2004-06-19 to 2004-06-23 26 draws: 2004-06-23 to 2004-09-22 2 draws: 2004-09-22 to 2004-09-29 2 draws: 2004-09-29 to 2004-10-06 21 draws: 2004-10-06 to 2004-12-18 6 draws: 2004-12-18 to 2005-01-08 21 draws: 2005-01-08 to 2005-03-23 13 draws: 2005-03-23 to 2005-05-07 7 draws: 2005-05-07 to 2005-06-01 35 draws: 2005-06-01 to 2005-08-27 3 draws: 2005-08-27 to 2005-09-03 14 draws: 2005-09-03 to 2005-10-06 16 draws: 2005-10-06 to 2005-11-12 31 draws: 2005-11-12 to 2006-01-24 6 draws: 2006-01-24 to 2006-02-07 29 draws: 2006-02-07 to 2006-04-15 8 draws: 2006-04-15 to 2006-05-04 4 draws: 2006-05-04 to 2006-05-13 6 draws: 2006-05-13 to 2006-05-27 12 draws: 2006-05-27 to 2006-06-24 1 draws: 2006-06-24 to 2006-06-27 2 draws: 2006-06-27 to 2006-07-01 15 draws: 2006-07-01 to 2006-08-05 11 draws: 2006-08-05 to 2006-08-31 50 draws: 2006-08-31 to 2006-12-27 8 draws: 2006-12-27 to 2007-01-13 1 draws: 2007-01-13 to 2007-01-16 11 draws: 2007-01-16 to 2007-02-10 2 draws: 2007-02-10 to 2007-02-15 28 draws: 2007-02-15 to 2007-04-21 5 draws: 2007-04-21 to 2007-05-03 47 draws: 2007-05-03 to 2007-08-21 17 draws: 2007-08-21 to 2007-09-29 9 draws: 2007-09-29 to 2007-10-20 6 draws: 2007-10-20 to 2007-11-03 48 draws: 2007-11-03 to 2008-02-23 1 draws: 2008-02-23 to 2008-02-26 13 draws: 2008-02-26 to 2008-03-27 35 draws: 2008-03-27 to 2008-06-17 10 draws: 2008-06-17 to 2008-07-10 13 draws: 2008-07-10 to 2008-08-09 5 draws: 2008-08-09 to 2008-08-21 6 draws: 2008-08-21 to 2008-09-04 17 draws: 2008-09-04 to 2008-10-14 48 draws: 2008-10-14 to 2009-02-03 3 draws: 2009-02-03 to 2009-02-10 18 draws: 2009-02-10 to 2009-03-24 15 draws: 2009-03-24 to 2009-04-28 5 draws: 2009-04-28 to 2009-05-09 5 draws: 2009-05-09 to 2009-05-21 Still waiting — at least 17 draws since 2009-05-21 1998-05-30 1998-12-09 1999-03-10 1999-04-10 1999-05-08 1999-07-21 1999-09-22 2000-01-15 2000-05-17 2000-07-12 2000-08-23 2000-09-06 2000-10-11 2000-12-02 2000-12-23 2001-03-28 2001-04-11 2001-04-14 2001-05-30 2001-08-29 2001-09-01 2001-10-06 2001-10-31 2002-03-27 2002-06-26 2002-07-20 2002-07-27 2002-09-18 2002-11-06 2002-11-16 2002-12-03 2003-01-11 2003-01-29 2003-04-19 2003-04-23 2003-07-12 2003-08-13 2003-10-15 2003-11-19 2004-01-31 2004-02-04 2004-02-28 2004-06-19 2004-06-23 2004-09-22 2004-09-29 2004-10-06 2004-12-18 2005-01-08 2005-03-23 2005-05-07 2005-06-01 2005-08-27 2005-09-03 2005-10-06 2005-11-12 2006-01-24 2006-02-07 2006-04-15 2006-05-04 2006-05-13 2006-05-27 2006-06-24 2006-06-27 2006-07-01 2006-08-05 2006-08-31 2006-12-27 2007-01-13 2007-01-16 2007-02-10 2007-02-15 2007-04-21 2007-05-03 2007-08-21 2007-09-29 2007-10-20 2007-11-03 2008-02-23 2008-02-26 2008-03-27 2008-06-17 2008-07-10 2008-08-09 2008-08-21 2008-09-04 2008-10-14 2009-02-03 2009-02-10 2009-03-24 2009-04-28 2009-05-09 2009-05-21 1997-12-03 2009-06-30 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 8 times 2 draws: 5 times 3 draws: 3 times 4 draws: 3 times 5 draws: 6 times 6 draws: 6 times 7 draws: 4 times 8 draws: 3 times 9 draws: 3 times 10 draws: 4 times 11 draws: 2 times 12 draws: 2 times 13 draws: 4 times 14 draws: 2 times 15 draws: 4 times 16 draws: 3 times 17 draws: 2 times 18 draws: 3 times 19 draws: 0 times 20 draws: 0 times 21 draws: 4 times 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 2 times 24 draws: 0 times 25 draws: 0 times 26 draws: 4 times 27 draws: 1 time 28 draws: 1 time 29 draws: 1 time 30 draws: 0 times 31 draws: 1 time 32 draws: 1 time 33 draws: 1 time 34 draws: 0 times 35 draws: 3 times 36 draws: 0 times 37 draws: 0 times 38 draws: 0 times 39 draws: 0 times 40 draws: 0 times 41 draws: 0 times 42 draws: 0 times 43 draws: 1 time 44 draws: 0 times 45 draws: 0 times 46 draws: 0 times 47 draws: 1 time 48 draws: 2 times 49 draws: 0 times 50 draws: 1 time 51 draws: 0 times 52 draws: 0 times 53 draws: 0 times 54 draws: 0 times 55 draws: 1 time 56 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 11 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 49 · chance 50.5 2nd smallest 38 · chance 33.7 3rd smallest 6 · chance 8.0 4th smallest 0 · chance 0.8 5th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 6th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 89 numbers; chance expected about 0.5 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 11 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 90. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 11 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 10 Every number number 12 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 11 is drawn with probability 6/90 tonight whatever it did last week.