Number 86

In SuperEnalotto under the 6/90 + 1/90 · Dec 1997 – Jul 2009 rules — 1,425 draws, 6 from 1–90 (an earlier era).

108times drawn · chance expected 95 +1.38σ

31draws waiting · a wait this long: 13% for any number

13.0average wait between appearances · chance says 15.0

74longest completed wait · 50% chance of one at least that long

86 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 108 times in 1,425 draws against 95.0 expected, +1.38σ. Each draw is independent: after 31 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 16 times, counted separately.

Number 86, draw by draw

Drawn 108 times in 1,425 draws · average wait 13.0 draws · longest completed wait 74 · waiting 31 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 86 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest1 · chance 1.5
5th smallest24 · chance 21.1
6th smallest83 · chance 85.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

77 82 83 8 70 81

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 89 numbers; chance expected about 0.2 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 86 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 38th most popular of 90. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 86 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2009-04-18	34	6th	20 46 48 62 71 86
2009-01-29	23	6th	27 32 55 65 76 86
2008-12-06	2	6th	30 46 54 56 72 86

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 86 is drawn with probability 6/90 tonight whatever it did last week.

2007-02-13	15	5th	4 29 70 82 86 88
2007-01-09	74	6th	16 39 65 67 83 86
2006-07-20	9	6th	22 36 65 72 82 86
2006-06-29	33	6th	27 28 56 67 75 86
2006-04-13	20	6th	27 35 41 46 49 86
2006-02-25	2	6th	3 6 44 60 84 86
2006-02-21	18	6th	20 58 65 70 77 86
2006-01-10	1	6th	54 58 72 73 82 86
2006-01-07	3	6th	43 45 80 81 83 86
2005-12-31	3	6th	57 66 68 70 74 86
2005-12-24	20	5th	26 47 49 66 86 88
2005-11-08	1	6th	1 13 14 25 72 86
2005-11-05	6	6th	13 30 60 67 84 86
2005-10-22	6	6th	24 35 38 61 70 86
2005-10-08	20	6th	15 25 58 61 83 86
2005-08-23	13	5th	7 22 33 48 86 87
2005-07-23	10	5th	41 48 66 81 86 87
2005-06-30	3	6th	6 27 42 49 82 86
2005-06-23	17	6th	9 24 56 68 80 86
2005-04-27	19	6th	13 15 19 21 82 86
2005-02-19	42	6th	22 26 32 38 42 86
2004-09-25	34	5th	2 49 56 76 86 89
2004-05-29	4	6th	1 5 16 60 84 86
2004-05-15	6	6th	14 46 49 60 77 86
2004-04-24	20	6th	7 19 27 51 63 86
2004-02-14	25	6th	17 35 41 81 82 86
2003-11-19	1	6th	2 11 23 31 40 86
2003-11-15	7	5th	35 54 78 81 86 88
2003-10-22	6	6th	14 15 64 76 80 86
2003-10-01	9	5th	17 55 66 81 86 89
2003-08-30	5	5th	2 5 36 61 86 88
2003-08-13	5	6th	9 11 39 44 49 86
2003-07-26	10	6th	3 4 8 28 77 86
2003-06-21	12	6th	7 19 39 45 48 86
2003-05-10	3	6th	22 38 46 47 77 86
2003-04-30	28	6th	35 38 60 68 74 86
2003-01-22	13	5th	51 57 58 69 86 89
2002-12-17	2	6th	5 27 30 31 34 86
2002-12-12	14	6th	3 8 21 33 46 86
2002-10-30	14	6th	13 15 36 78 82 86
2002-09-11	19	5th	16 23 55 83 86 89
2002-07-06	6	6th	3 15 28 76 83 86
2002-06-15	1	6th	8 16 33 64 71 86
2002-06-12	1	6th	37 51 58 62 63 86
2002-06-08	9	6th	1 38 70 75 83 86
2002-05-08	1	6th	25 55 57 67 69 86
2002-05-04	16	6th	1 6 60 61 69 86
2002-03-09	2	5th	44 56 57 76 86 88
2002-03-02	16	5th	19 26 28 45 86 88
2002-01-05	11	6th	50 52 54 76 77 86
2001-12-01	11	6th	32 48 50 55 58 86
2001-10-24	3	6th	12 23 48 70 85 86
2001-10-13	3	6th	13 28 45 58 70 86
2001-10-03	2	6th	14 42 45 49 71 86
2001-09-26	8	5th	14 62 69 70 86 88
2001-08-29	15	5th	5 11 44 57 86 90
2001-07-07	21	6th	10 50 53 78 82 86
2001-04-26	16	6th	4 22 27 45 58 86
2001-02-28	4	6th	33 43 59 77 83 86
2001-02-14	4	6th	15 22 38 62 83 86
2001-01-31	39	6th	28 46 65 70 77 86
2000-09-16	37	6th	8 9 17 37 49 86
2000-05-10	4	6th	9 12 19 39 82 86
2000-04-26	3	6th	17 51 67 70 82 86
2000-04-15	15	6th	2 27 33 47 53 86
2000-02-23	5	5th	44 53 61 65 86 89
2000-02-05	8	5th	17 48 52 64 86 87
2000-01-08	19	6th	6 15 47 71 75 86
1999-11-03	38	6th	19 42 64 68 72 86
1999-06-23	2	5th	31 36 37 71 86 90
1999-06-16	10	6th	5 20 29 41 56 86
1999-05-12	4	6th	3 7 10 37 57 86
1999-04-28	29	6th	1 51 53 55 73 86
1999-01-16	1	5th	7 9 12 37 86 90
1999-01-13	9	6th	18 23 45 51 61 86
1998-12-12	35	6th	9 37 39 40 42 86
1998-08-12	17	5th	31 33 61 77 86 88
1998-06-13	4	6th	13 26 30 34 83 86
1998-05-30	11	5th	4 11 29 34 86 88
1998-04-22	11	5th	5 22 40 46 86 87
1998-03-14	18	4th	16 33 42 86 88 89
1998-01-10	3	6th	24 33 37 40 60 86
1997-12-31	4	5th	34 36 71 76 86 89
1997-12-17	—	6th	10 65 77 80 81 86