Number 40

In SuperEnalotto under the 6/90 + 1/90 · Dec 1997 – Jul 2009 rules — 1,425 draws, 6 from 1–90 (an earlier era).

102times drawn · chance expected 95 +0.74σ

22draws waiting · a wait this long: 23% for any number

13.8average wait between appearances · chance says 15.0

72longest completed wait · 53% chance of one at least that long

40 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 102 times in 1,425 draws against 95.0 expected, +0.74σ. Each draw is independent: after 22 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 17 times, counted separately.

Number 40, draw by draw

Drawn 102 times in 1,425 draws · average wait 13.8 draws · longest completed wait 72 · waiting 22 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest8 · chance 5.2
2nd smallest17 · chance 22.1
3rd smallest46 · chance 35.7
4th smallest21 · chance 27.5
5th smallest10 · chance 10.1
6th smallest0 · chance 1.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

68 51 37 62 71 84

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 89 numbers; chance expected about 0.3 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 90. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2009-05-09	6	3rd	9 11 40 48 68 84
2009-04-27	1	2nd	7 40 54 64 69 71
2009-04-23	15	3rd	24 29 40 71 74 78

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 6/90 tonight whatever it did last week.

2007-04-24	19	3rd	8 36 40 45 67 79
2007-03-10	4	4th	16 22 36 40 62 75
2007-03-01	5	1st	40 55 64 65 70 85
2007-02-17	11	1st	40 41 62 65 89 90
2007-01-23	8	4th	8 10 20 40 80 85
2007-01-04	8	2nd	21 40 76 77 83 84
2006-12-16	15	3rd	14 28 40 52 54 83
2006-11-11	16	3rd	22 36 40 44 46 76
2006-10-05	21	2nd	4 40 60 71 72 90
2006-08-17	20	4th	4 25 30 40 41 62
2006-07-01	23	3rd	5 11 40 45 58 75
2006-05-09	21	3rd	16 23 40 62 79 88
2006-03-21	13	5th	7 8 10 29 40 52
2006-02-18	33	2nd	34 40 42 64 77 88
2005-12-03	2	2nd	24 40 53 60 63 68
2005-11-29	5	5th	1 12 21 36 40 84
2005-11-17	3	5th	20 26 30 39 40 55
2005-11-10	22	4th	3 15 23 40 51 60
2005-09-20	11	2nd	37 40 70 71 75 80
2005-08-25	21	4th	7 15 33 40 51 64
2005-07-07	15	3rd	17 21 40 55 64 79
2005-05-25	2	5th	17 19 35 39 40 51
2005-05-18	17	4th	5 9 23 40 57 68
2005-03-19	42	3rd	12 33 40 52 53 85
2004-10-23	20	2nd	12 40 51 68 73 77
2004-08-14	14	2nd	29 40 52 59 71 84
2004-06-26	13	3rd	18 37 40 45 54 56
2004-05-12	12	3rd	13 14 40 66 79 85
2004-03-31	21	2nd	32 40 45 47 56 71
2004-01-17	8	4th	4 6 19 40 60 79
2003-12-20	9	3rd	3 36 40 42 54 59
2003-11-19	42	5th	2 11 23 31 40 86
2003-06-25	4	3rd	1 9 40 59 73 74
2003-06-11	4	3rd	7 32 40 43 47 87
2003-05-28	10	1st	40 44 62 76 85 90
2003-04-23	6	3rd	11 21 40 66 68 83
2003-04-02	8	3rd	27 28 40 63 67 78
2003-03-05	9	2nd	29 40 57 67 76 79
2003-02-01	34	3rd	14 24 40 56 81 90
2002-10-23	5	1st	40 43 46 57 77 82
2002-10-05	16	4th	9 15 25 40 44 71
2002-08-10	4	4th	16 29 32 40 48 70
2002-07-27	18	5th	11 20 24 31 40 49
2002-05-25	15	1st	40 46 49 62 77 88
2002-04-03	6	3rd	15 37 40 47 64 81
2002-03-13	4	2nd	20 40 64 68 76 90
2002-02-27	24	3rd	29 33 40 47 54 87
2001-12-10	3	3rd	5 19 40 51 85 87
2001-11-28	6	4th	21 32 35 40 66 83
2001-11-07	36	5th	8 10 23 35 40 46
2001-07-04	25	3rd	13 29 40 61 73 81
2001-04-07	9	3rd	5 12 40 61 63 88
2001-03-07	1	3rd	32 34 40 45 65 71
2001-03-03	4	4th	5 13 18 40 51 56
2001-02-17	34	5th	9 17 30 37 40 46
2000-10-21	25	4th	1 10 23 40 68 75
2000-07-26	21	3rd	3 37 40 49 53 83
2000-05-13	20	3rd	32 38 40 59 62 79
2000-03-04	42	5th	7 19 29 33 40 88
1999-10-09	5	3rd	12 35 40 59 78 80
1999-09-22	3	3rd	1 11 40 50 53 80
1999-09-11	2	2nd	25 40 57 59 76 82
1999-09-04	43	2nd	38 40 41 69 76 81
1999-04-07	10	3rd	13 27 40 46 70 84
1999-03-03	9	1st	40 41 51 62 66 80
1999-01-30	14	3rd	14 20 40 58 68 84
1998-12-12	4	4th	9 37 39 40 42 86
1998-11-28	6	3rd	12 15 40 50 66 88
1998-11-07	12	5th	15 19 25 33 40 68
1998-09-26	9	3rd	28 31 40 67 74 90
1998-08-26	6	2nd	10 40 66 72 76 80
1998-08-05	11	3rd	7 24 40 56 79 85
1998-06-27	19	4th	2 16 38 40 44 57
1998-04-22	7	3rd	5 22 40 46 86 87
1998-03-28	9	2nd	16 40 50 58 62 63
1998-02-25	3	3rd	1 27 40 81 82 85
1998-02-14	10	2nd	37 40 46 51 58 66
1998-01-10	—	4th	24 33 37 40 60 86