In Lotto under the 6/40 + 1/0 · Sep 2022 – Oct 2024 rules — 216 draws, 6 from 1–40 (an earlier era).
27times drawn · chance expected 32 −1.03σ
8draws waiting · a wait this long: 32% for any number
7.3average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7
24longest completed wait · 47% chance of one at least that long
30 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 27 times in 216 draws against 32.4 expected, −1.03σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
30
Number 30, draw by draw
Drawn 27 times in 216 draws · average wait 7.3 draws · longest completed wait 24 · waiting 8 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 2 of the other 39 numbers; chance expects about 1 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.