In Lotto under the 6/40 + 1/0 · Sep 2022 – Oct 2024 rules — 216 draws, 6 from 1–40 (an earlier era).
32times drawn · chance expected 32 −0.08σ
1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
6.8average wait between appearances · chance says 6.7
28longest completed wait · 32% chance of one at least that long
38 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 32 times in 216 draws against 32.4 expected, −0.08σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
38
Number 38, draw by draw
Drawn 32 times in 216 draws · average wait 6.8 draws · longest completed wait 28 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 39 numbers; chance expected about 0.6 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 40. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 6/40 tonight whatever it did last week.