In Big Sky Bonus under the 4/28 · Apr 2016 – Nov 2016 rules — 227 draws, 4 from 1–28 (an earlier era).
40times drawn · chance expected 32 +1.44σ
1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
5.7average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0
24longest completed wait · 68% chance of one at least that long
10 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 40 times in 227 draws against 32.4 expected, +1.44σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
10
Number 10, draw by draw
Drawn 40 times in 227 draws · average wait 5.7 draws · longest completed wait 24 · waiting 1 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 27 numbers; chance expected about 0.3 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 28. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 4/28 tonight whatever it did last week.