Number 10

In Big Sky Bonus under the 4/31 + 1/17 · Nov 2016 – Oct 2024 rules — 2,889 draws, 4 from 1–31 (an earlier era).

408times drawn · chance expected 373 +1.95σ

14draws waiting · a wait this long: 17% for any number

7.0average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

49longest completed wait · 42% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 408 times in 2,889 draws against 372.8 expected, +1.95σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 408 times in 2,889 draws · average wait 7.0 draws · longest completed wait 49 · waiting 14 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest126 · chance 133.7
2nd smallest203 · chance 189.9
3rd smallest72 · chance 76.0
4th smallest7 · chance 8.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 40.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

22 11 6 17 19 26

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 30 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 31. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2024-10-01	4	2nd	9 10 11 19
2024-09-27	15	3rd	2 7 10 17
2024-09-12	13	2nd	9 10 19 24
2024-08-30	3	2nd	6 10 23 26

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 4/31 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-04-21	49	1st	10 22 24 29
2024-03-03	3	2nd	6 10 14 26
2024-02-29	4	2nd	2 10 14 29
2024-02-25	5	2nd	5 10 14 17
2024-02-20	9	1st	10 13 14 20
2024-02-11	9	2nd	3 10 16 29
2024-02-02	11	1st	10 18 24 27
2024-01-22	1	2nd	3 10 24 31
2024-01-21	25	1st	10 14 27 28
2023-12-27	3	1st	10 14 23 30
2023-12-24	5	2nd	5 10 14 20
2023-12-19	1	1st	10 11 30 31
2023-12-18	18	1st	10 16 17 28
2023-11-30	2	4th	6 8 9 10
2023-11-28	15	2nd	6 10 22 31
2023-11-13	9	1st	10 17 21 30
2023-11-04	7	2nd	2 10 14 27
2023-10-28	5	2nd	6 10 18 22
2023-10-23	7	3rd	2 8 10 22
2023-10-16	2	2nd	4 10 20 31
2023-10-14	1	2nd	7 10 18 21
2023-10-13	7	2nd	6 10 22 27
2023-10-06	5	3rd	2 3 10 29
2023-10-01	10	1st	10 13 16 28
2023-09-21	28	1st	10 11 13 22
2023-08-24	3	3rd	4 9 10 26
2023-08-21	11	3rd	4 6 10 27
2023-08-10	7	1st	10 11 20 26
2023-08-03	7	2nd	4 10 17 29
2023-07-27	14	1st	10 20 29 31
2023-07-13	4	2nd	2 10 19 20
2023-07-09	13	2nd	4 10 28 29
2023-06-26	9	1st	10 19 29 30
2023-06-17	18	2nd	4 10 12 27
2023-05-30	5	2nd	7 10 18 27
2023-05-25	2	1st	10 11 15 17
2023-05-23	6	1st	10 13 17 24
2023-05-17	20	1st	10 21 24 26
2023-04-27	8	1st	10 12 22 31
2023-04-19	1	1st	10 26 28 31
2023-04-18	2	1st	10 11 20 31
2023-04-16	3	2nd	6 10 15 18
2023-04-13	1	2nd	9 10 17 20
2023-04-12	2	3rd	5 8 10 31
2023-04-10	2	3rd	1 4 10 20
2023-04-08	1	3rd	3 6 10 25
2023-04-07	1	2nd	3 10 12 14
2023-04-06	1	2nd	7 10 13 26
2023-04-05	4	1st	10 20 29 30
2023-04-01	1	3rd	5 7 10 16
2023-03-31	5	1st	10 20 21 22
2023-03-26	12	3rd	3 8 10 28
2023-03-14	6	3rd	1 2 10 24
2023-03-08	4	2nd	6 10 22 30
2023-03-04	5	1st	10 20 22 26
2023-02-27	16	2nd	1 10 18 28
2023-02-11	8	2nd	9 10 12 28
2023-02-03	2	1st	10 11 26 27
2023-02-01	3	3rd	1 3 10 26
2023-01-29	16	2nd	8 10 15 21
2023-01-13	7	1st	10 13 19 20
2023-01-06	4	3rd	2 9 10 20
2023-01-02	4	2nd	3 10 21 24
2022-12-29	14	1st	10 11 22 31
2022-12-15	1	2nd	1 10 20 31
2022-12-14	22	2nd	9 10 22 27
2022-11-22	17	3rd	5 9 10 19
2022-11-05	1	1st	10 20 23 25
2022-11-04	14	1st	10 22 25 26
2022-10-21	4	1st	10 16 22 30
2022-10-17	5	2nd	3 10 15 29
2022-10-12	8	1st	10 14 23 27
2022-10-04	15	2nd	2 10 17 18
2022-09-19	12	2nd	3 10 17 30
2022-09-07	8	2nd	1 10 11 26
2022-08-30	4	2nd	6 10 16 29
2022-08-26	12	2nd	9 10 11 24
2022-08-14	13	2nd	4 10 20 31
2022-08-01	7	3rd	1 6 10 13
2022-07-25	2	1st	10 26 27 31
2022-07-23	4	3rd	2 6 10 16
2022-07-19	5	3rd	6 7 10 12
2022-07-14	4	2nd	9 10 17 25
2022-07-10	3	1st	10 11 16 27
2022-07-07	3	2nd	5 10 14 16
2022-07-04	10	2nd	9 10 11 24
2022-06-24	7	2nd	1 10 13 16
2022-06-17	5	2nd	6 10 19 29
2022-06-12	7	1st	10 12 20 27
2022-06-05	7	1st	10 11 27 28
2022-05-29	1	2nd	5 10 11 25
2022-05-28	25	2nd	1 10 18 22
2022-05-03	6	1st	10 13 20 26
2022-04-27	11	1st	10 11 21 24
2022-04-16	13	1st	10 13 16 29
2022-04-03	11	1st	10 13 21 30
2022-03-23	3	1st	10 16 24 29
2022-03-20	33	2nd	7 10 13 19
2022-02-15	34	2nd	5 10 17 19
2022-01-12	9	2nd	8 10 30 31
2022-01-03	1	3rd	4 7 10 21
2022-01-02	8	2nd	2 10 28 31
2021-12-25	7	1st	10 13 26 28
2021-12-18	2	1st	10 11 30 31
2021-12-16	11	2nd	4 10 15 19
2021-12-05	4	2nd	1 10 11 29
2021-12-01	6	1st	10 19 23 25
2021-11-25	1	2nd	7 10 14 28
2021-11-24	5	1st	10 13 23 25
2021-11-19	7	3rd	3 6 10 11
2021-11-12	19	3rd	1 3 10 31
2021-10-24	3	2nd	3 10 12 26
2021-10-21	1	2nd	2 10 23 28
2021-10-20	18	1st	10 12 20 27
2021-10-02	4	1st	10 12 23 30
2021-09-28	2	1st	10 20 30 31
2021-09-26	4	2nd	8 10 29 31
2021-09-22	17	4th	4 8 9 10
2021-09-05	9	2nd	3 10 17 26
2021-08-27	2	3rd	8 9 10 30
2021-08-25	11	1st	10 15 19 31
2021-08-14	1	2nd	7 10 15 21
2021-08-13	22	1st	10 12 15 26
2021-07-22	1	2nd	8 10 13 31
2021-07-21	3	2nd	8 10 14 18
2021-07-18	1	3rd	5 9 10 20
2021-07-17	11	3rd	2 7 10 14
2021-07-06	1	2nd	1 10 15 24
2021-07-05	9	2nd	9 10 15 17
2021-06-26	6	1st	10 16 17 18
2021-06-20	1	2nd	2 10 20 27
2021-06-19	17	2nd	8 10 19 22
2021-06-02	3	2nd	5 10 23 24
2021-05-30	25	2nd	7 10 13 20
2021-05-05	1	2nd	5 10 12 17
2021-05-04	2	1st	10 17 27 28
2021-05-02	16	2nd	6 10 17 22
2021-04-16	11	3rd	3 4 10 16
2021-04-05	9	1st	10 17 20 23
2021-03-27	4	2nd	6 10 14 21
2021-03-23	9	2nd	7 10 22 27
2021-03-14	9	2nd	7 10 21 25
2021-03-05	4	4th	2 6 7 10
2021-03-01	3	1st	10 11 20 28
2021-02-26	4	3rd	2 6 10 12
2021-02-22	1	3rd	2 6 10 19
2021-02-21	3	2nd	7 10 20 27
2021-02-18	3	1st	10 19 20 21
2021-02-15	10	2nd	3 10 25 26
2021-02-05	3	1st	10 13 20 27
2021-02-02	1	1st	10 15 22 23
2021-02-01	15	2nd	7 10 12 18
2021-01-17	8	3rd	4 6 10 17
2021-01-09	25	2nd	7 10 15 17
2020-12-15	1	1st	10 12 15 19
2020-12-14	8	2nd	4 10 11 17
2020-12-06	13	3rd	2 6 10 28
2020-11-23	4	2nd	8 10 24 27
2020-11-19	13	2nd	9 10 27 28
2020-11-06	5	2nd	7 10 14 15
2020-11-01	14	2nd	5 10 15 21
2020-10-18	8	2nd	6 10 21 27
2020-10-10	1	1st	10 11 14 18
2020-10-09	7	2nd	9 10 20 25
2020-10-02	3	2nd	1 10 14 19
2020-09-29	11	2nd	1 10 13 17
2020-09-18	6	1st	10 11 17 23
2020-09-12	7	2nd	2 10 13 16
2020-09-05	7	1st	10 13 23 26
2020-08-29	6	3rd	2 3 10 12
2020-08-23	7	2nd	9 10 22 23
2020-08-16	13	3rd	2 3 10 21
2020-08-03	11	3rd	3 8 10 28
2020-07-23	1	2nd	9 10 14 19
2020-07-22	3	2nd	7 10 22 25
2020-07-19	9	2nd	4 10 21 24
2020-07-10	1	3rd	1 2 10 26
2020-07-09	16	2nd	6 10 16 24
2020-06-23	1	1st	10 14 18 23
2020-06-22	11	3rd	7 9 10 17
2020-06-11	2	2nd	2 10 24 27
2020-06-09	2	2nd	1 10 24 26
2020-06-07	3	1st	10 11 18 27
2020-06-04	1	2nd	7 10 15 28
2020-06-03	6	3rd	2 3 10 17
2020-05-28	3	2nd	8 10 24 28
2020-05-25	4	1st	10 11 18 27
2020-05-21	1	1st	10 18 23 25
2020-05-20	17	3rd	2 7 10 14
2020-05-03	7	1st	10 13 18 22
2020-04-26	3	1st	10 17 23 27
2020-04-23	2	2nd	2 10 12 13
2020-04-21	2	1st	10 24 25 27
2020-04-19	2	2nd	6 10 18 20
2020-04-17	2	1st	10 14 17 19
2020-04-15	4	2nd	4 10 11 22
2020-04-11	3	2nd	9 10 11 18
2020-04-08	3	2nd	5 10 16 27
2020-04-05	9	3rd	6 8 10 23
2020-03-27	3	2nd	3 10 17 21
2020-03-24	7	2nd	8 10 19 28
2020-03-17	1	1st	10 12 25 26
2020-03-16	3	3rd	2 6 10 28
2020-03-13	2	2nd	4 10 12 17
2020-03-11	4	1st	10 13 17 24
2020-03-07	4	3rd	4 7 10 24
2020-03-03	5	1st	10 16 19 25
2020-02-27	5	2nd	1 10 25 26
2020-02-22	10	2nd	9 10 18 23
2020-02-12	4	1st	10 13 15 16
2020-02-08	15	2nd	7 10 16 20
2020-01-24	5	2nd	2 10 18 26
2020-01-19	7	1st	10 13 22 26
2020-01-12	3	1st	10 24 25 26
2020-01-09	3	3rd	1 2 10 26
2020-01-06	7	2nd	3 10 13 15
2019-12-30	10	2nd	8 10 11 25
2019-12-20	2	3rd	5 9 10 18
2019-12-18	13	3rd	1 2 10 11
2019-12-05	10	1st	10 11 19 28
2019-11-25	3	2nd	6 10 11 15
2019-11-22	1	3rd	2 3 10 21
2019-11-21	9	3rd	3 8 10 12
2019-11-12	21	2nd	8 10 17 25
2019-10-22	6	2nd	7 10 11 28
2019-10-16	1	2nd	1 10 25 26
2019-10-15	11	3rd	7 8 10 22
2019-10-04	12	2nd	3 10 11 17
2019-09-22	1	4th	4 6 8 10
2019-09-21	4	1st	10 19 21 22
2019-09-17	14	3rd	1 8 10 25
2019-09-03	1	3rd	5 7 10 13
2019-09-02	4	3rd	2 3 10 20
2019-08-29	1	1st	10 15 18 28
2019-08-28	3	1st	10 18 25 26
2019-08-25	7	1st	10 14 16 21
2019-08-18	6	3rd	3 4 10 11
2019-08-12	10	3rd	1 6 10 24
2019-08-02	4	1st	10 19 21 26
2019-07-29	1	1st	10 19 21 22
2019-07-28	15	1st	10 22 25 27
2019-07-13	20	3rd	1 6 10 15
2019-06-23	2	2nd	5 10 15 22
2019-06-21	1	3rd	4 7 10 19
2019-06-20	15	2nd	1 10 13 22
2019-06-05	5	3rd	2 9 10 26
2019-05-31	7	2nd	9 10 16 26
2019-05-24	1	2nd	1 10 11 14
2019-05-23	6	2nd	6 10 17 27
2019-05-17	8	1st	10 12 15 25
2019-05-09	4	2nd	1 10 18 23
2019-05-05	12	2nd	5 10 23 27
2019-04-23	3	2nd	7 10 15 28
2019-04-20	12	3rd	1 4 10 19
2019-04-08	2	3rd	5 6 10 18
2019-04-06	1	3rd	4 6 10 12
2019-04-05	4	2nd	9 10 17 26
2019-04-01	9	2nd	8 10 23 25
2019-03-23	3	2nd	2 10 17 25
2019-03-20	7	2nd	3 10 18 25
2019-03-13	6	2nd	8 10 12 28
2019-03-07	33	2nd	4 10 11 26
2019-02-02	6	1st	10 11 19 20
2019-01-27	3	1st	10 16 21 27
2019-01-24	3	1st	10 11 22 23
2019-01-21	9	3rd	4 8 10 17
2019-01-12	1	1st	10 18 22 28
2019-01-11	7	1st	10 11 12 25
2019-01-04	22	1st	10 19 22 28
2018-12-13	3	2nd	5 10 16 18
2018-12-10	5	2nd	7 10 13 17
2018-12-05	5	2nd	3 10 21 22
2018-11-30	17	2nd	6 10 13 21
2018-11-13	6	2nd	3 10 14 22
2018-11-07	2	1st	10 14 15 17
2018-11-05	2	1st	10 11 24 28
2018-11-03	1	2nd	8 10 16 25
2018-11-02	2	2nd	2 10 24 25
2018-10-31	10	2nd	6 10 14 20
2018-10-21	7	2nd	7 10 11 27
2018-10-14	7	1st	10 12 19 22
2018-10-07	1	1st	10 11 21 23
2018-10-06	7	2nd	5 10 11 26
2018-09-29	2	1st	10 14 15 28
2018-09-27	1	2nd	8 10 14 19
2018-09-26	2	1st	10 11 13 15
2018-09-24	1	1st	10 12 19 25
2018-09-23	12	1st	10 11 19 22
2018-09-11	12	2nd	4 10 15 22
2018-08-30	6	2nd	5 10 13 16
2018-08-24	2	2nd	1 10 12 18
2018-08-22	2	1st	10 11 16 26
2018-08-20	5	1st	10 11 16 25
2018-08-15	7	2nd	2 10 12 21
2018-08-08	34	1st	10 14 15 26
2018-07-05	4	2nd	8 10 16 21
2018-07-01	21	2nd	8 10 14 27
2018-06-10	2	2nd	6 10 17 25
2018-06-08	4	2nd	9 10 22 27
2018-06-04	1	1st	10 22 24 27
2018-06-03	5	2nd	5 10 23 28
2018-05-29	9	2nd	8 10 15 28
2018-05-20	14	1st	10 20 22 23
2018-05-06	4	2nd	3 10 11 20
2018-05-02	6	2nd	2 10 16 26
2018-04-26	4	2nd	7 10 13 20
2018-04-22	10	1st	10 13 14 19
2018-04-12	16	2nd	1 10 12 27
2018-03-27	4	1st	10 11 14 25
2018-03-23	2	3rd	4 8 10 13
2018-03-21	3	2nd	6 10 11 27
2018-03-18	2	3rd	2 5 10 27
2018-03-16	5	3rd	1 5 10 25
2018-03-11	5	3rd	1 5 10 26
2018-03-06	1	2nd	2 10 15 23
2018-03-05	6	2nd	8 10 19 25
2018-02-27	4	2nd	4 10 13 28
2018-02-23	14	3rd	5 6 10 19
2018-02-09	32	2nd	4 10 15 25
2018-01-08	12	2nd	5 10 12 21
2017-12-27	3	2nd	9 10 13 21
2017-12-24	1	1st	10 14 15 25
2017-12-23	8	1st	10 15 16 22
2017-12-15	6	2nd	6 10 17 22
2017-12-09	6	1st	10 14 15 19
2017-12-03	7	3rd	3 5 10 11
2017-11-26	7	1st	10 20 22 27
2017-11-19	1	2nd	5 10 13 14
2017-11-18	2	2nd	1 10 11 24
2017-11-16	6	1st	10 15 20 21
2017-11-10	4	3rd	5 9 10 26
2017-11-06	1	1st	10 11 13 23
2017-11-05	12	2nd	5 10 26 27
2017-10-24	3	2nd	1 10 12 23
2017-10-20	2	2nd	1 10 16 19
2017-10-18	9	1st	10 15 22 24
2017-10-09	15	4th	4 5 8 10
2017-09-23	9	2nd	4 10 12 28
2017-09-14	1	2nd	1 10 19 25
2017-09-13	1	3rd	1 8 10 11
2017-09-12	10	1st	10 15 16 22
2017-09-02	1	3rd	5 6 10 13
2017-09-01	5	2nd	6 10 22 26
2017-08-27	10	1st	10 11 24 27
2017-08-17	14	2nd	7 10 18 28
2017-08-03	14	2nd	7 10 14 25
2017-07-20	5	2nd	8 10 17 24
2017-07-15	10	2nd	1 10 15 26
2017-07-05	4	2nd	6 10 20 22
2017-07-01	1	4th	2 4 6 10
2017-06-30	17	1st	10 13 15 18
2017-06-13	9	2nd	2 10 18 20
2017-06-04	1	2nd	1 10 22 25
2017-06-03	4	2nd	6 10 16 20
2017-05-30	1	3rd	4 6 10 14
2017-05-29	6	2nd	9 10 21 25
2017-05-23	5	4th	3 5 6 10
2017-05-18	7	2nd	5 10 20 22
2017-05-11	8	2nd	1 10 20 24
2017-05-03	2	1st	10 17 20 21
2017-05-01	5	1st	10 12 15 19
2017-04-26	9	2nd	8 10 18 26
2017-04-17	7	1st	10 13 16 21
2017-04-10	1	3rd	1 3 10 12
2017-04-09	11	2nd	7 10 22 24
2017-03-29	2	2nd	6 10 15 24
2017-03-27	1	1st	10 19 23 24
2017-03-26	2	3rd	1 3 10 25
2017-03-24	2	2nd	9 10 17 22
2017-03-22	24	2nd	1 10 19 24
2017-02-26	7	3rd	2 6 10 26
2017-02-19	8	1st	10 11 27 28
2017-02-11	3	2nd	3 10 24 28
2017-02-08	2	1st	10 11 12 21
2017-02-06	11	2nd	2 10 15 28
2017-01-26	12	2nd	4 10 17 22
2017-01-14	15	3rd	6 8 10 23
2016-12-30	1	1st	10 12 14 16
2016-12-29	1	2nd	9 10 18 22
2016-12-28	7	1st	10 13 14 19
2016-12-21	11	2nd	3 10 14 18
2016-12-10	6	1st	10 12 21 22
2016-12-04	12	2nd	3 10 13 15
2016-11-22	—	2nd	4 10 11 26