In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/0 · Nov 2022 – Sep 2025 rules — 296 draws, 4 from 1–35 (an earlier era).
38times drawn · chance expected 34 +0.76σ
4draws waiting · a wait this long: 69% for any number
6.9average wait between appearances · chance says 8.8
34longest completed wait · 49% chance of one at least that long
18 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 38 times in 296 draws against 33.8 expected, +0.76σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
18
Number 18, draw by draw
Drawn 38 times in 296 draws · average wait 6.9 draws · longest completed wait 34 · waiting 4 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 18 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 1 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 18 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 18 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.