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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Texas Two Step · every number

9

Number 9

In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/0 · Nov 2022 – Sep 2025 rules — 296 draws, 4 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

Main numbersStars4/35 + 1/35 · since Sep 20254/35 + 1/0 · Nov 2022 – Sep 20255/35 · Feb 2022 – Nov 20224/35 + 1/35 · Jan 2010 – Feb 2022
33times drawn · chance expected 34 −0.15σ
10draws waiting · a wait this long: 34% for any number
8.8average wait between appearances · chance says 8.8
29longest completed wait · 66% chance of one at least that long
9 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 33 times in 296 draws against 33.8 expected, −0.15σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

9

Number 9, draw by draw

Drawn 33 times in 296 draws · average wait 8.8 draws · longest completed wait 29 · waiting 10 draws now

15 draws: 2022-12-01 to 2023-01-2314 draws: 2023-01-23 to 2023-03-1310 draws: 2023-03-13 to 2023-04-176 draws: 2023-04-17 to 2023-05-0819 draws: 2023-05-08 to 2023-07-1315 draws: 2023-07-13 to 2023-09-044 draws: 2023-09-04 to 2023-09-185 draws: 2023-09-18 to 2023-10-0529 draws: 2023-10-05 to 2024-01-155 draws: 2024-01-15 to 2024-02-011 draws: 2024-02-01 to 2024-02-059 draws: 2024-02-05 to 2024-03-071 draws: 2024-03-07 to 2024-03-1114 draws: 2024-03-11 to 2024-04-293 draws: 2024-04-29 to 2024-05-092 draws: 2024-05-09 to 2024-05-165 draws: 2024-05-16 to 2024-06-033 draws: 2024-06-03 to 2024-06-1318 draws: 2024-06-13 to 2024-08-158 draws: 2024-08-15 to 2024-09-125 draws: 2024-09-12 to 2024-09-306 draws: 2024-09-30 to 2024-10-218 draws: 2024-10-21 to 2024-11-1810 draws: 2024-11-18 to 2024-12-2311 draws: 2024-12-23 to 2025-01-304 draws: 2025-01-30 to 2025-02-1314 draws: 2025-02-13 to 2025-04-031 draws: 2025-04-03 to 2025-04-075 draws: 2025-04-07 to 2025-04-2421 draws: 2025-04-24 to 2025-07-072 draws: 2025-07-07 to 2025-07-1410 draws: 2025-07-14 to 2025-08-18Still waiting — at least 10 draws since 2025-08-182022-12-012023-01-232023-03-132023-04-172023-05-082023-07-132023-09-042023-09-182023-10-052024-01-152024-02-012024-02-052024-03-072024-03-112024-04-292024-05-092024-05-162024-06-032024-06-132024-08-152024-09-122024-09-302024-10-212024-11-182024-12-232025-01-302025-02-132025-04-032025-04-072025-04-242025-07-072025-07-142025-08-182022-11-242025-09-22

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 3 times2 draws: 2 times3 draws: 2 times4 draws: 2 times5 draws: 5 times6 draws: 2 times7 draws: 0 times8 draws: 2 times9 draws: 1 time10 draws: 3 times11 draws: 1 time12 draws: 0 times13 draws: 0 times14 draws: 3 times15 draws: 2 times16 draws: 0 times17 draws: 0 times18 draws: 1 time19 draws: 1 time20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 1 time22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 1 time30 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 9 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest15 · chance 14.3
  • 2nd smallest16 · chance 14.3
  • 3rd smallest2 · chance 4.0
  • 4th smallest0 · chance 0.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 2.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

18102526215

Never drawn alongside 4 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 2 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 9 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
  • Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 9 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2025-08-18102nd891034
2025-07-1421st9161822
2025-07-07212nd292230
2025-04-2452nd292332
← number 8Every numbernumber 10 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 9 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-04-0713rd78915
2025-04-03141st9182224
2025-02-1341st9101418
2025-01-30112nd292025
2024-12-23101st9162530
2024-11-1881st9153134
2024-10-2162nd791014
2024-09-3051st9162526
2024-09-1282nd892427
2024-08-15183rd45919
2024-06-1332nd491034
2024-06-0351st9262931
2024-05-1621st9141824
2024-05-0931st9183031
2024-04-29141st9182832
2024-03-1111st9132635
2024-03-0791st9242627
2024-02-0512nd191525
2024-02-0152nd191132
2024-01-15292nd791033
The other 9 appearances
2023-10-0551st9121518
2023-09-1842nd292634
2023-09-04151st9232527
2023-07-13192nd291532
2023-05-0861st9131435
2023-04-17102nd491125
2023-03-13142nd492631
2023-01-23152nd791020
2022-12-01—2nd891624