In Texas Two Step under the 4/35 + 1/0 · Nov 2022 – Sep 2025 rules — 296 draws, 4 from 1–35 (an earlier era).
40times drawn · chance expected 34 +1.13σ
10draws waiting · a wait this long: 34% for any number
7.3average wait between appearances · chance says 8.8
29longest completed wait · 73% chance of one at least that long
8 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 40 times in 296 draws against 33.8 expected, +1.13σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
8
Number 8, draw by draw
Drawn 40 times in 296 draws · average wait 7.3 draws · longest completed wait 29 · waiting 10 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 8 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 34 numbers; chance expected about 1.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 8 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 8 is drawn with probability 4/35 tonight whatever it did last week.