Number 38

In Lotto under the 6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017 rules — 789 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).

102times drawn · chance expected 97 +0.59σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

7.8average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

38longest completed wait · 55% chance of one at least that long

38 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 102 times in 789 draws against 96.6 expected, +0.59σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 12 times, counted separately.

Number 38, draw by draw

Drawn 102 times in 789 draws · average wait 7.8 draws · longest completed wait 38 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.7
3rd smallest7 · chance 6.5
4th smallest16 · chance 25.5
5th smallest53 · chance 43.3
6th smallest26 · chance 26.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 10.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

33 16 24 5 19 20

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 38 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2017-07-26	2	5th	9 10 23 24 38 49
2017-07-19	3	6th	2 5 8 9 16 38
2017-07-08	22	4th	5 33 36 38 40 45
2017-04-22	2	5th

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.

2015-11-18	1	5th	3 14 27 30 38 41
2015-11-14	3	5th	4 5 8 11 38 44
2015-11-04	4	4th	29 31 36 38 39 40
2015-10-21	1	6th	13 14 20 30 33 38
2015-10-17	9	5th	8 17 22 34 38 47
2015-09-16	7	5th	3 5 7 13 38 47
2015-08-22	5	5th	1 4 9 34 38 41
2015-08-05	1	6th	8 15 17 29 34 38
2015-08-01	5	5th	8 22 24 33 38 40
2015-07-15	11	5th	8 12 13 36 38 43
2015-06-06	19	6th	4 21 22 24 33 38
2015-04-01	3	6th	14 21 23 33 36 38
2015-03-21	10	5th	6 13 21 24 38 48
2015-02-14	2	4th	6 32 33 38 40 49
2015-02-07	8	5th	4 15 20 30 38 42
2015-01-10	5	4th	15 25 27 38 41 43
2014-12-24	6	5th	16 19 27 37 38 44
2014-12-03	17	5th	13 15 26 28 38 48
2014-10-04	5	6th	10 15 16 25 27 38
2014-09-17	2	5th	14 15 28 29 38 49
2014-09-10	9	5th	4 8 16 34 38 42
2014-08-09	7	5th	4 11 30 36 38 47
2014-07-16	7	5th	15 18 25 28 38 44
2014-06-21	3	6th	2 5 8 16 36 38
2014-06-11	15	5th	19 28 34 35 38 44
2014-04-19	10	5th	9 20 23 33 38 44
2014-03-15	10	6th	3 6 23 28 30 38
2014-02-08	1	5th	8 16 32 34 38 42
2014-02-05	6	6th	2 18 24 25 37 38
2014-01-15	9	6th	3 13 19 27 28 38
2013-12-11	8	4th	5 24 29 38 40 49
2013-11-13	1	5th	1 18 33 36 38 41
2013-11-09	5	6th	8 9 11 12 23 38
2013-10-23	1	5th	14 18 24 31 38 46
2013-10-19	20	4th	1 19 33 38 41 42
2013-08-10	38	5th	4 5 16 18 38 40
2013-03-30	6	5th	17 30 33 36 38 46
2013-03-09	9	4th	2 16 33 38 42 48
2013-02-06	4	6th	8 18 20 25 37 38
2013-01-23	25	5th	2 3 25 35 38 39
2012-10-27	26	6th	1 3 6 7 10 38
2012-07-28	17	6th	6 26 29 33 35 38
2012-05-30	27	5th	3 20 22 34 38 46
2012-02-25	1	6th	3 10 15 23 33 38
2012-02-22	2	4th	6 19 32 38 39 46
2012-02-15	1	6th	11 13 17 21 31 38
2012-02-11	17	4th	4 8 19 38 43 45
2011-12-14	19	5th	4 19 36 37 38 48
2011-10-08	1	5th	11 12 24 25 38 43
2011-10-05	2	5th	5 15 21 29 38 47
2011-09-28	8	4th	6 16 21 38 41 48
2011-08-31	12	5th	16 20 25 32 38 44
2011-07-20	6	5th	12 28 33 36 38 39
2011-06-29	5	3rd	24 33 38 39 45 47
2011-06-11	16	5th	20 27 28 34 38 45
2011-04-16	2	5th	10 19 24 34 38 48
2011-04-09	12	3rd	12 36 38 39 42 47
2011-02-26	8	5th	10 19 24 27 38 49
2011-01-29	14	6th	6 7 16 31 32 38
2010-12-08	5	5th	6 19 24 26 38 49
2010-11-20	11	5th	7 17 34 37 38 39
2010-10-13	6	6th	4 12 13 17 20 38
2010-09-22	2	6th	2 7 21 22 33 38
2010-09-15	1	5th	14 24 26 27 38 46
2010-09-11	14	6th	13 20 31 32 36 38
2010-07-24	2	3rd	17 33 38 41 44 46
2010-07-17	4	6th	5 10 13 15 26 38
2010-07-03	2	3rd	1 18 38 39 45 49
2010-06-26	1	6th	5 16 18 24 32 38
2010-06-23	5	5th	9 23 34 37 38 43
2010-06-05	8	5th	9 16 23 26 38 47
2010-05-08	14	5th	12 20 22 27 38 44
2010-03-20	4	5th	6 12 20 28 38 43
2010-03-06	14	4th	26 30 35 38 43 45
2010-01-16	1	4th	16 24 27 38 44 48
2010-01-13	2	5th	4 23 26 27 38 45
2010-01-06	1	6th	3 25 26 29 33 38
2010-01-02	—	6th	14 21 28 31 37 38