Number 16

In Lotto under the 6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017 rules — 789 draws, 6 from 1–49 (an earlier era).

108times drawn · chance expected 97 +1.24σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

7.3average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

40longest completed wait · 48% chance of one at least that long

16 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 108 times in 789 draws against 96.6 expected, +1.24σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 16 times, counted separately.

Number 16, draw by draw

Drawn 108 times in 789 draws · average wait 7.3 draws · longest completed wait 40 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest15 · chance 15.0
2nd smallest29 · chance 38.7
3rd smallest40 · chance 36.1
4th smallest18 · chance 15.2
5th smallest6 · chance 2.8
6th smallest0 · chance 0.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 11.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

5 6 11 38 18 24

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 48 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2017-07-29	3	1st	16 19 25 26 35 49
2017-07-19	4	5th	2 5 8 9 16 38
2017-07-05	1	1st	16 29 30 32 37 44
2017-07-01	11	3rd

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 6/49 tonight whatever it did last week.

2015-11-07	3	5th	1 3 4 7 16 20
2015-10-28	7	1st	16 23 31 42 46 47
2015-10-03	14	2nd	2 16 29 41 44 48
2015-08-15	13	3rd	2 11 16 24 33 43
2015-07-01	8	4th	1 4 10 16 22 39
2015-06-03	1	1st	16 18 20 21 23 39
2015-05-30	7	3rd	8 10 16 24 25 44
2015-05-06	26	4th	3 7 12 16 29 35
2015-02-04	6	4th	7 8 11 16 30 44
2015-01-14	6	4th	9 11 13 16 28 41
2014-12-24	2	1st	16 19 27 37 38 44
2014-12-17	2	2nd	2 16 23 25 29 40
2014-12-10	4	3rd	5 10 16 17 36 42
2014-11-26	2	3rd	1 3 16 17 29 48
2014-11-19	5	3rd	3 10 16 27 42 47
2014-11-01	1	1st	16 24 25 30 36 39
2014-10-29	2	2nd	12 16 17 25 31 33
2014-10-22	5	3rd	7 13 16 21 24 32
2014-10-04	7	3rd	10 15 16 25 27 38
2014-09-10	2	3rd	4 8 16 34 38 42
2014-09-03	9	3rd	12 15 16 28 41 46
2014-08-02	12	3rd	5 7 16 27 34 41
2014-06-21	5	4th	2 5 8 16 36 38
2014-06-04	1	1st	16 23 26 39 44 45
2014-05-31	1	4th	5 8 15 16 28 29
2014-05-28	15	3rd	6 8 16 26 28 37
2014-04-05	4	1st	16 17 33 34 44 45
2014-03-22	10	1st	16 32 35 37 42 47
2014-02-15	2	2nd	3 16 32 33 44 48
2014-02-08	11	2nd	8 16 32 34 38 42
2014-01-01	3	2nd	12 16 18 35 36 43
2013-12-18	9	4th	4 6 9 16 20 31
2013-11-16	14	1st	16 18 37 42 43 45
2013-09-28	4	4th	1 9 15 16 21 47
2013-09-14	2	3rd	7 14 16 27 42 43
2013-09-07	6	2nd	13 16 29 35 41 43
2013-08-17	2	2nd	15 16 17 25 26 46
2013-08-10	16	3rd	4 5 16 18 38 40
2013-06-15	21	2nd	5 16 17 44 45 48
2013-04-03	7	2nd	6 16 31 32 42 48
2013-03-09	10	2nd	2 16 33 38 42 48
2013-02-02	1	3rd	1 10 16 27 30 35
2013-01-30	6	3rd	3 4 16 26 28 30
2013-01-09	8	2nd	14 16 17 18 21 29
2012-12-12	3	3rd	3 7 16 19 28 43
2012-12-01	11	3rd	6 11 16 30 33 35
2012-10-24	3	2nd	7 16 20 24 33 41
2012-10-13	11	3rd	10 11 16 18 24 37
2012-09-05	6	4th	4 6 7 16 35 49
2012-08-15	2	4th	1 5 15 16 18 20
2012-08-08	10	1st	16 18 22 24 30 40
2012-07-04	3	3rd	7 10 16 21 31 48
2012-06-23	3	2nd	11 16 23 24 36 48
2012-06-13	6	3rd	9 14 16 20 41 43
2012-05-23	1	4th	3 6 11 16 29 42
2012-05-19	16	3rd	8 14 16 18 40 41
2012-03-24	40	3rd	2 15 16 17 18 47
2011-11-05	10	2nd	5 16 33 36 39 40
2011-10-01	1	4th	11 13 15 16 20 25
2011-09-28	3	2nd	6 16 21 38 41 48
2011-09-17	5	5th	2 4 5 8 16 29
2011-08-31	1	1st	16 20 25 32 38 44
2011-08-27	20	2nd	13 16 32 36 44 45
2011-06-18	19	3rd	5 14 16 23 29 34
2011-04-13	2	2nd	15 16 18 20 21 35
2011-04-06	13	3rd	4 12 16 21 22 34
2011-02-19	6	1st	16 17 19 25 26 48
2011-01-29	13	3rd	6 7 16 31 32 38
2010-12-11	11	4th	2 3 11 16 30 37
2010-11-03	11	2nd	12 16 17 19 27 44
2010-09-25	12	4th	1 5 13 16 22 24
2010-08-14	14	3rd	5 6 16 26 46 49
2010-06-26	6	2nd	5 16 18 24 32 38
2010-06-05	1	2nd	9 16 23 26 38 47
2010-06-02	10	4th	1 6 11 16 37 45
2010-04-28	1	2nd	10 16 20 41 42 48
2010-04-24	1	5th	1 3 4 13 16 39
2010-04-21	1	3rd	9 10 16 17 18 46
2010-04-17	3	3rd	8 9 16 22 25 31
2010-04-07	4	1st	16 18 19 24 41 45
2010-03-24	13	4th	2 6 11 16 45 46
2010-02-06	5	2nd	6 16 29 31 37 48
2010-01-20	1	5th	4 7 11 12 16 49
2010-01-16	—	1st	16 24 27 38 44 48