In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2025 rules — 515 draws, 5 from 1–49.
38times drawn · chance expected 53 −2.12σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
13.8average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8
53longest completed wait · 13% chance of one at least that long
38 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 38 times in 515 draws against 52.6 expected, −2.12σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
38
Number 38, draw by draw
Drawn 38 times in 515 draws · average wait 13.8 draws · longest completed wait 53 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 38 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 5 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 2 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 38 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 38 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.