In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2025 rules — 515 draws, 5 from 1–49.
80times drawn · chance expected 53 +4.00σ
8draws waiting · a wait this long: 47% for any number
6.4average wait between appearances · chance says 9.8
30longest completed wait · 97% chance of one at least that long
22 deviates beyond what chance explains for a pool of 49
Drawn 80 times in 515 draws against 52.6 expected, +4.00σ. It passes even the threshold tightened for testing every number at once. Read the draw-by-draw history below before reading anything into it — and it still says nothing about the next draw.
22
Number 22, draw by draw
Drawn 80 times in 515 draws · average wait 6.4 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 8 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 22 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 0.1 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 22 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 22 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.