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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lightning Lotto · every number
In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2025 rules — 517 draws, 5 from 1–49.
Drawn 40 times in 517 draws against 52.8 expected, −1.85σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 40 times in 517 draws · average wait 12.9 draws · longest completed wait 92 · waiting 7 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 36 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 3.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 2 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 2 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 36 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 36 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | 10 | 5th | 26283236 |
| 2026-10-07 | 22 | 5th | 111122236 |
| 2026-09-15 | 7 | 5th | 2123293436 |
| 2026-09-08 | 16 | 5th | 712313436 |
| 2026-08-23 | 8 | 4th | 2432333644 |
| 2026-08-15 | 12 | 5th | 921262736 |
| 2026-08-03 | 1 | 5th | 812162136 |
| 2026-08-02 | 6 | 4th | 2527323638 |
| 2026-07-26 | 10 | 5th | 3461636 |
| 2026-07-16 | 1 | 4th | 1721253646 |
| 2026-07-15 | 3 | 4th | 67243639 |
| 2026-07-12 | 28 | 5th | 23101536 |
| 2026-06-14 | 15 | 3rd | 1422363947 |
| 2026-05-30 | 11 | 4th | 511143641 |
| 2026-05-19 | 2 | 5th | 921323336 |
| 2026-05-17 | 27 | 3rd | 1130363839 |
| 2026-04-20 | 2 | 4th | 121253637 |
| 2026-04-18 | 5 | 4th | 417223643 |
| 2026-04-13 | 12 | 4th | 1222303642 |
| 2026-04-01 | 21 | 4th | 117243638 |
| 2026-03-11 | 25 | 4th | 1213223640 |
| 2026-02-14 | 7 | 5th | 919313536 |
| 2026-02-07 | 1 | 3rd | 1213364245 |
| 2026-02-06 | 1 | 3rd | 1125363738 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 36 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-12-08 | 5 | 4th | 612173643 |
| 2025-12-03 | 2 | 3rd | 1731364246 |
| 2025-12-01 | 6 | 4th | 1621243645 |
| 2025-11-25 | 9 | 5th | 219263436 |
| 2025-11-16 | 12 | 4th | 1422273642 |
| 2025-11-04 | 92 | 2nd | 1636384041 |
| 2025-08-04 | 9 | 3rd | 1227363948 |
| 2025-07-26 | 10 | 4th | 711263641 |
| 2025-07-16 | 5 | 5th | 1123273436 |
| 2025-07-11 | 32 | 4th | 325283647 |
| 2025-06-09 | 8 | 4th | 45343640 |
| 2025-06-01 | — | 5th | 513283336 |