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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lightning Lotto · every number
In Lightning Lotto under the 5/49 · since May 2025 rules — 515 draws, 5 from 1–49.
Drawn 41 times in 515 draws against 52.6 expected, −1.68σ. Each draw is independent: after 64 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 41 times in 515 draws · average wait 10.8 draws · longest completed wait 32 · waiting 64 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 42 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 3.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 2 of the other 48 numbers; chance expects about 2 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 42 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 49. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 42 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | 6 | 5th | 37222442 |
| 2026-08-13 | 3 | 5th | 718303242 |
| 2026-08-10 | 3 | 4th | 937394245 |
| 2026-08-07 | 14 | 4th | 2428374243 |
| 2026-07-23 | 10 | 5th | 514153242 |
| 2026-07-13 | 8 | 5th | 69172042 |
| 2026-07-05 | 5 | 5th | 210162842 |
| 2026-06-30 | 13 | 5th | 1218222742 |
| 2026-06-17 | 32 | 5th | 1016192942 |
| 2026-05-16 | 5 | 4th | 1121354245 |
| 2026-05-11 | 2 | 5th | 1821294142 |
| 2026-05-09 | 26 | 5th | 35192742 |
| 2026-04-13 | 8 | 5th | 1222303642 |
| 2026-04-05 | 31 | 5th | 1015213942 |
| 2026-03-05 | 26 | 5th | 1216213242 |
| 2026-02-07 | 10 | 4th | 1213364245 |
| 2026-01-28 | 10 | 5th | 14113442 |
| 2026-01-18 | 20 | 4th | 2734394247 |
| 2025-12-29 | 11 | 5th | 714182242 |
| 2025-12-18 | 9 | 5th | 1330334142 |
| 2025-12-09 | 6 | 5th | 68202842 |
| 2025-12-03 | 17 | 4th | 1731364246 |
| 2025-11-16 | 18 | 5th | 1422273642 |
| 2025-10-29 | 6 | 5th | 129353742 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 42 is drawn with probability 5/49 tonight whatever it did last week.