Number 43

In EuroMillions under the 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 rules — 562 draws, 5 from 1–50 (an earlier era).

58times drawn · chance expected 56 +0.25σ

13draws waiting · a wait this long: 28% for any number

8.7average wait between appearances · chance says 10.0

55longest completed wait · 18% chance of one at least that long

43 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 58 times in 562 draws against 56.2 expected, +0.25σ. Each draw is independent: after 13 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 43, draw by draw

Drawn 58 times in 562 draws · average wait 8.7 draws · longest completed wait 55 · waiting 13 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 43 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.4
3rd smallest5 · chance 4.9
4th smallest23 · chance 22.0
5th smallest30 · chance 30.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 4.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

1 13 40 4 7 10

Never drawn alongside 1 of the other 49 numbers; chance expects about 0.4 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 43 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 34th most popular of 50. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 43 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2016-08-09	12	3rd	12 19 43 44 45
2016-06-28	3	4th	26 32 37 43 49
2016-06-17	2	5th	1 7 18 27 43
2016-06-10	4	5th	14 21

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 43 is drawn with probability 5/50 tonight whatever it did last week.

2014-07-22	1	3rd	1 24 43 45 50
2014-07-18	4	5th	1 11 29 41 43
2014-07-04	28	4th	4 18 39 43 47
2014-03-28	8	5th	3 4 19 28 43
2014-02-28	19	4th	12 32 38 43 44
2013-12-24	1	4th	5 19 31 43 50
2013-12-20	6	5th	12 13 17 22 43
2013-11-29	6	5th	2 7 10 23 43
2013-11-08	7	5th	20 28 35 42 43
2013-10-15	1	4th	18 27 39 43 47
2013-10-11	4	5th	6 12 17 23 43
2013-09-27	1	5th	11 15 38 41 43
2013-09-24	8	5th	10 20 26 28 43
2013-08-27	8	5th	7 30 38 40 43
2013-07-30	17	5th	3 4 11 14 43
2013-05-31	7	5th	27 28 29 34 43
2013-05-07	2	5th	13 27 28 42 43
2013-04-30	9	4th	13 36 40 43 50
2013-03-29	30	3rd	13 30 43 44 46
2012-12-14	1	5th	10 11 29 40 43
2012-12-11	17	4th	1 4 9 43 50
2012-10-12	6	5th	6 7 17 35 43
2012-09-21	19	5th	4 19 34 41 43
2012-07-17	7	4th	2 7 24 43 46
2012-06-22	10	4th	14 18 19 43 49
2012-05-18	6	3rd	13 29 43 47 50
2012-04-27	1	5th	20 27 30 36 43
2012-04-24	3	4th	8 9 24 43 48
2012-04-13	9	5th	8 13 26 39 43
2012-03-13	12	4th	1 10 25 43 47
2012-01-31	9	4th	9 34 38 43 45
2011-12-30	8	3rd	16 36 43 44 50
2011-12-02	8	5th	7 27 30 40 43
2011-11-04	—	4th	11 14 41 43 50