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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Montana Cash · every number

35

Number 35

In Montana Cash under the 5/37 · Apr 2010 – May 2014 rules — 428 draws, 5 from 1–37 (an earlier era).

5/45 · since May 20145/37 · Apr 2010 – May 2014
59times drawn · chance expected 58 +0.16σ
8draws waiting · a wait this long: 36% for any number
7.2average wait between appearances · chance says 7.4
23longest completed wait · 91% chance of one at least that long
35 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 59 times in 428 draws against 57.8 expected, +0.16σ. Each draw is independent: after 8 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

35

Number 35, draw by draw

Drawn 59 times in 428 draws · average wait 7.2 draws · longest completed wait 23 · waiting 8 draws now

1 draws: 2010-04-21 to 2010-04-241 draws: 2010-04-24 to 2010-04-288 draws: 2010-04-28 to 2010-05-2623 draws: 2010-05-26 to 2010-08-147 draws: 2010-08-14 to 2010-09-0811 draws: 2010-09-08 to 2010-10-165 draws: 2010-10-16 to 2010-11-032 draws: 2010-11-03 to 2010-11-104 draws: 2010-11-10 to 2010-11-249 draws: 2010-11-24 to 2010-12-252 draws: 2010-12-25 to 2011-01-011 draws: 2011-01-01 to 2011-01-054 draws: 2011-01-05 to 2011-01-195 draws: 2011-01-19 to 2011-02-058 draws: 2011-02-05 to 2011-03-0510 draws: 2011-03-05 to 2011-04-097 draws: 2011-04-09 to 2011-05-049 draws: 2011-05-04 to 2011-06-045 draws: 2011-06-04 to 2011-06-2222 draws: 2011-06-22 to 2011-09-0712 draws: 2011-09-07 to 2011-10-195 draws: 2011-10-19 to 2011-11-055 draws: 2011-11-05 to 2011-11-232 draws: 2011-11-23 to 2011-11-3011 draws: 2011-11-30 to 2012-01-074 draws: 2012-01-07 to 2012-01-211 draws: 2012-01-21 to 2012-01-256 draws: 2012-01-25 to 2012-02-159 draws: 2012-02-15 to 2012-03-1711 draws: 2012-03-17 to 2012-04-256 draws: 2012-04-25 to 2012-05-165 draws: 2012-05-16 to 2012-06-0211 draws: 2012-06-02 to 2012-07-117 draws: 2012-07-11 to 2012-08-043 draws: 2012-08-04 to 2012-08-154 draws: 2012-08-15 to 2012-08-291 draws: 2012-08-29 to 2012-09-012 draws: 2012-09-01 to 2012-09-081 draws: 2012-09-08 to 2012-09-1210 draws: 2012-09-12 to 2012-10-172 draws: 2012-10-17 to 2012-10-2410 draws: 2012-10-24 to 2012-11-283 draws: 2012-11-28 to 2012-12-085 draws: 2012-12-08 to 2012-12-264 draws: 2012-12-26 to 2013-01-0914 draws: 2013-01-09 to 2013-02-273 draws: 2013-02-27 to 2013-03-0910 draws: 2013-03-09 to 2013-04-135 draws: 2013-04-13 to 2013-05-018 draws: 2013-05-01 to 2013-05-295 draws: 2013-05-29 to 2013-06-159 draws: 2013-06-15 to 2013-07-1720 draws: 2013-07-17 to 2013-09-2520 draws: 2013-09-25 to 2013-12-0410 draws: 2013-12-04 to 2014-01-0810 draws: 2014-01-08 to 2014-02-1211 draws: 2014-02-12 to 2014-03-226 draws: 2014-03-22 to 2014-04-12Still waiting — at least 8 draws since 2014-04-122010-04-212010-04-242010-04-282010-05-262010-08-142010-09-082010-10-162010-11-032010-11-102010-11-242010-12-252011-01-012011-01-052011-01-192011-02-052011-03-052011-04-092011-05-042011-06-042011-06-222011-09-072011-10-192011-11-052011-11-232011-11-302012-01-072012-01-212012-01-252012-02-152012-03-172012-04-252012-05-162012-06-022012-07-112012-08-042012-08-152012-08-292012-09-012012-09-082012-09-122012-10-172012-10-242012-11-282012-12-082012-12-262013-01-092013-02-272013-03-092013-04-132013-05-012013-05-292013-06-152013-07-172013-09-252013-12-042014-01-082014-02-122014-03-222014-04-122010-04-072014-05-10

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 6 times2 draws: 5 times3 draws: 3 times4 draws: 5 times5 draws: 9 times6 draws: 3 times7 draws: 3 times8 draws: 3 times9 draws: 4 times10 draws: 6 times11 draws: 5 times12 draws: 1 time13 draws: 0 times14 draws: 1 time15 draws: 0 times16 draws: 0 times17 draws: 0 times18 draws: 0 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 2 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 1 time23 draws: 1 time24 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 35 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
  • 3rd smallest0 · chance 0.6
  • 4th smallest8 · chance 12.0
  • 5th smallest51 · chance 46.5

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 6.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

31301101826

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 36 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 35 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 37. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 35 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2014-04-1265th430323335
2014-03-22114th1018313537
2014-02-12104th1831343536
2014-01-08105th111122535
2013-12-04205th110132935
2013-09-25205th29173435
2013-07-1794th415183536
2013-06-1555th612143435
2013-05-2985th18183435
2013-05-0155th610131635
2013-04-13105th715243335
2013-03-0934th713303537
2013-02-27145th1521273135
2013-01-0945th619202435
2012-12-2655th117203235
2012-12-0835th25162835
2012-11-28105th1028293135
2012-10-2425th422273135
2012-10-17105th1018313235
2012-09-1215th923263035
2012-09-0825th1819293135
2012-09-0115th1522313435
2012-08-2945th416253035
2012-08-1535th1418212935
The other 35 appearances
2012-08-0475th1516173035
2012-07-11115th611313335
2012-06-0255th1823243235
2012-05-1665th101314
← number 34Every numbernumber 36 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 35 is drawn with probability 5/37 tonight whatever it did last week.

16
35
2012-04-25115th113263035
2012-03-1795th919243035
2012-02-1565th512172935
2012-01-2515th13133335
2012-01-2145th710253235
2012-01-07115th411303135
2011-11-3024th828323537
2011-11-2354th315273536
2011-11-0555th520303435
2011-10-19125th314172635
2011-09-07225th4572935
2011-06-2255th515303435
2011-06-0495th614203135
2011-05-0475th110253135
2011-04-09105th113293035
2011-03-0585th37263235
2011-02-0555th1819303435
2011-01-1945th1526283435
2011-01-0514th1322263536
2011-01-0125th520252635
2010-12-2595th1019202835
2010-11-2444th133343537
2010-11-1025th15192335
2010-11-0355th1517212635
2010-10-16115th1626313335
2010-09-0875th118263335
2010-08-14235th619222635
2010-05-2685th910121635
2010-04-2815th1014172535
2010-04-2415th3591935
2010-04-21—5th411182735