Number 37

In Montana Cash under the 5/37 · Apr 2010 – May 2014 rules — 428 draws, 5 from 1–37 (an earlier era).

50times drawn · chance expected 58 −1.11σ

0draws waiting — it came up last time

8.5average wait between appearances · chance says 7.4

32longest completed wait · 42% chance of one at least that long

37 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 50 times in 428 draws against 57.8 expected, −1.11σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 37, draw by draw

Drawn 50 times in 428 draws · average wait 8.5 draws · longest completed wait 32 · drawn in the most recent draw

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 37 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest50 · chance 50.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 5.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

36 12 17 19 20 28

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 36 numbers; chance expected about 0.1 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 37 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 37. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 37 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2014-05-10	1	5th	13 18 21 23 37
2014-05-07	2	5th	6 17 31 33 37
2014-04-30	2	5th	12 20 29 32 37
2014-04-23	8	5th	20 32

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 37 is drawn with probability 5/37 tonight whatever it did last week.

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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 37 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0

2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0

3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0

4th smallest0 · chance 0.0

5th smallest50 · chance 50.0

How many people play it

Numbers above 31 ×0.86

Date

Wait

Position

The draw

2014-05-10

5th

13 18 21 23 37

2014-05-07

5th

6 17 31 33 37

2014-04-30

5th

12 20 29 32 37

2014-04-23

5th

20 32

2012-05-12	6	5th	12 22 28 31 37
2012-04-21	2	5th	10 20 27 34 37
2012-04-14	6	5th	3 20 30 33 37
2012-03-24	3	5th	19 20 24 29 37
2012-03-14	6	5th	3 11 24 30 37
2012-02-22	15	5th	8 16 20 30 37
2011-12-31	1	5th	2 17 22 28 37
2011-12-28	4	5th	9 26 29 36 37
2011-12-14	4	5th	16 19 23 24 37
2011-11-30	1	5th	8 28 32 35 37
2011-11-26	7	5th	6 10 12 26 37
2011-11-02	12	5th	4 12 19 32 37
2011-09-21	7	5th	5 14 18 28 37
2011-08-27	3	5th	12 14 19 20 37
2011-08-17	22	5th	9 11 13 22 37
2011-06-01	3	5th	8 15 19 34 37
2011-05-21	7	5th	7 8 25 30 37
2011-04-27	16	5th	4 17 28 36 37
2011-03-02	5	5th	2 7 11 16 37
2011-02-12	19	5th	3 11 14 18 37
2010-12-08	4	5th	5 18 22 25 37
2010-11-24	8	5th	1 33 34 35 37
2010-10-27	32	5th	1 5 12 36 37
2010-07-07	14	5th	13 27 28 32 37
2010-05-19	2	5th	6 27 29 33 37
2010-05-12	—	5th	6 12 16 28 37