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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

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Montana Cash · every number

6

Number 6

In Montana Cash under the 5/37 · Apr 2010 – May 2014 rules — 428 draws, 5 from 1–37 (an earlier era).

5/45 · since May 20145/37 · Apr 2010 – May 2014
71times drawn · chance expected 58 +1.86σ
1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number
6.0average wait between appearances · chance says 7.4
31longest completed wait · 60% chance of one at least that long
6 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 71 times in 428 draws against 57.8 expected, +1.86σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

6

Number 6, draw by draw

Drawn 71 times in 428 draws · average wait 6.0 draws · longest completed wait 31 · waiting 1 draws now

5 draws: 2010-04-17 to 2010-05-052 draws: 2010-05-05 to 2010-05-122 draws: 2010-05-12 to 2010-05-191 draws: 2010-05-19 to 2010-05-225 draws: 2010-05-22 to 2010-06-091 draws: 2010-06-09 to 2010-06-1211 draws: 2010-06-12 to 2010-07-217 draws: 2010-07-21 to 2010-08-142 draws: 2010-08-14 to 2010-08-217 draws: 2010-08-21 to 2010-09-152 draws: 2010-09-15 to 2010-09-221 draws: 2010-09-22 to 2010-09-2518 draws: 2010-09-25 to 2010-11-275 draws: 2010-11-27 to 2010-12-1529 draws: 2010-12-15 to 2011-03-263 draws: 2011-03-26 to 2011-04-065 draws: 2011-04-06 to 2011-04-236 draws: 2011-04-23 to 2011-05-144 draws: 2011-05-14 to 2011-05-282 draws: 2011-05-28 to 2011-06-0415 draws: 2011-06-04 to 2011-07-2711 draws: 2011-07-27 to 2011-09-039 draws: 2011-09-03 to 2011-10-052 draws: 2011-10-05 to 2011-10-121 draws: 2011-10-12 to 2011-10-153 draws: 2011-10-15 to 2011-10-269 draws: 2011-10-26 to 2011-11-2611 draws: 2011-11-26 to 2012-01-048 draws: 2012-01-04 to 2012-02-015 draws: 2012-02-01 to 2012-02-1831 draws: 2012-02-18 to 2012-06-064 draws: 2012-06-06 to 2012-06-202 draws: 2012-06-20 to 2012-06-274 draws: 2012-06-27 to 2012-07-118 draws: 2012-07-11 to 2012-08-0818 draws: 2012-08-08 to 2012-10-107 draws: 2012-10-10 to 2012-11-031 draws: 2012-11-03 to 2012-11-071 draws: 2012-11-07 to 2012-11-104 draws: 2012-11-10 to 2012-11-247 draws: 2012-11-24 to 2012-12-196 draws: 2012-12-19 to 2013-01-0910 draws: 2013-01-09 to 2013-02-133 draws: 2013-02-13 to 2013-02-238 draws: 2013-02-23 to 2013-03-233 draws: 2013-03-23 to 2013-04-036 draws: 2013-04-03 to 2013-04-242 draws: 2013-04-24 to 2013-05-013 draws: 2013-05-01 to 2013-05-116 draws: 2013-05-11 to 2013-06-012 draws: 2013-06-01 to 2013-06-082 draws: 2013-06-08 to 2013-06-152 draws: 2013-06-15 to 2013-06-224 draws: 2013-06-22 to 2013-07-068 draws: 2013-07-06 to 2013-08-0317 draws: 2013-08-03 to 2013-10-026 draws: 2013-10-02 to 2013-10-231 draws: 2013-10-23 to 2013-10-263 draws: 2013-10-26 to 2013-11-0611 draws: 2013-11-06 to 2013-12-149 draws: 2013-12-14 to 2014-01-151 draws: 2014-01-15 to 2014-01-188 draws: 2014-01-18 to 2014-02-155 draws: 2014-02-15 to 2014-03-053 draws: 2014-03-05 to 2014-03-154 draws: 2014-03-15 to 2014-03-291 draws: 2014-03-29 to 2014-04-025 draws: 2014-04-02 to 2014-04-192 draws: 2014-04-19 to 2014-04-263 draws: 2014-04-26 to 2014-05-07Still waiting — at least 1 draws since 2014-05-072010-04-172010-05-052010-05-122010-05-192010-05-222010-06-092010-06-122010-07-212010-08-142010-08-212010-09-152010-09-222010-09-252010-11-272010-12-152011-03-262011-04-062011-04-232011-05-142011-05-282011-06-042011-07-272011-09-032011-10-052011-10-122011-10-152011-10-262011-11-262012-01-042012-02-012012-02-182012-06-062012-06-202012-06-272012-07-112012-08-082012-10-102012-11-032012-11-072012-11-102012-11-242012-12-192013-01-092013-02-132013-02-232013-03-232013-04-032013-04-242013-05-012013-05-112013-06-012013-06-082013-06-152013-06-222013-07-062013-08-032013-10-022013-10-232013-10-262013-11-062013-12-142014-01-152014-01-182014-02-152014-03-052014-03-152014-03-292014-04-022014-04-192014-04-262014-05-072010-04-072014-05-10

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

1 draws: 9 times2 draws: 12 times3 draws: 8 times4 draws: 6 times5 draws: 7 times6 draws: 5 times7 draws: 4 times8 draws: 5 times9 draws: 3 times10 draws: 1 time11 draws: 4 times12 draws: 0 times13 draws: 0 times14 draws: 0 times15 draws: 1 time16 draws: 0 times17 draws: 1 time18 draws: 2 times19 draws: 0 times20 draws: 0 times21 draws: 0 times22 draws: 0 times23 draws: 0 times24 draws: 0 times25 draws: 0 times26 draws: 0 times27 draws: 0 times28 draws: 0 times29 draws: 1 time30 draws: 0 times31 draws: 1 time32 draws: 0 timesits own waitsdraws between appearances

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 6 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

  • 1st smallest32 · chance 37.9
  • 2nd smallest30 · chance 27.1
  • 3rd smallest8 · chance 5.6
  • 4th smallest1 · chance 0.4
  • 5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

335241724

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 36 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 6 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 37. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

  • Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
  • Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 6 →

Every draw it appeared in

DateWaitPositionThe draw
2014-05-0731st617313337
2014-04-2622nd5671633
2014-04-1952nd16142124
2014-04-0211st612
← number 5Every numbernumber 7 →
What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 6 is drawn with probability 5/37 tonight whatever it did last week.

13
15
34
2014-03-2941st69182024
2014-03-1531st69203234
2014-03-0553rd146925
2014-02-1582nd1691418
2014-01-1812nd56153133
2014-01-1591st617202526
2013-12-14111st69243233
2013-11-0632nd46212933
2013-10-2611st68101834
2013-10-2362nd36161723
2013-10-02173rd2562329
2013-08-0383rd456734
2013-07-0642nd46162533
2013-06-2222nd16172534
2013-06-1521st612143435
2013-06-0821st613182427
2013-06-0162nd26132429
2013-05-1131st619212436
2013-05-0121st610131635
2013-04-2464th145625
The other 47 appearances
2013-04-0331st610111519
2013-03-2382nd5681322
2013-02-2331st614152224
2013-02-13102nd4691134
2013-01-0961st619202435
2012-12-1972nd36112736
2012-11-2441st615162526
2012-11-1012nd5671333
2012-11-0712nd36141531
2012-11-0371st628293637
2012-10-10182nd26142326
2012-08-0882nd56181924
2012-07-1141st611313335
2012-06-2722nd56172229
2012-06-2041st68161719
2012-06-06313rd2461224
2012-02-1851st611142829
2012-02-0182nd2671518
2012-01-04112nd56181929
2011-11-2691st610122637
2011-10-2632nd26172126
2011-10-1513rd236925
2011-10-1221st68132033
2011-10-0592nd1671026
2011-09-03113rd456811
2011-07-27151st611183233
2011-06-0421st614203135
2011-05-2842nd56262732
2011-05-1461st68101731
2011-04-2352nd26131718
2011-04-0631st613182133
2011-03-26292nd46242932
2010-12-1552nd2691733
2010-11-27182nd26182427
2010-09-2512nd36132736
2010-09-2221st612272931
2010-09-1571st619243033
2010-08-2121st68101632
2010-08-1471st619222635
2010-07-21113rd2462936
2010-06-1212nd46172530
2010-06-0952nd16172636
2010-05-2211st68192026
2010-05-1921st627293337
2010-05-1221st612162837
2010-05-0552nd36112530
2010-04-17—3rd356728