Number 8

In Texas Two Step under the 5/35 · Feb 2022 – Nov 2022 rules — 75 draws, 5 from 1–35 (an earlier era).

15times drawn · chance expected 11 +1.41σ

6draws waiting · a wait this long: 46% for any number

4.6average wait between appearances · chance says 7.0

20longest completed wait · 54% chance of one at least that long

8 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 15 times in 75 draws against 10.7 expected, +1.41σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 8, draw by draw

Drawn 15 times in 75 draws · average wait 4.6 draws · longest completed wait 20 · waiting 6 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 8 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest5 · chance 5.7
2nd smallest9 · chance 6.6
3rd smallest1 · chance 2.4
4th smallest0 · chance 0.3
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

18 33 2 11 13 20

Never drawn alongside 7 of the other 34 numbers; chance expects about 6 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 8 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 35. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 8 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-10-31	2	2nd	5 8 10 30 30
2022-10-24	2	1st	8 11 17 20 25
2022-10-17	2	2nd	4 8 11 16 16
2022-10-10	20	2nd	1

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 8 is drawn with probability 5/35 tonight whatever it did last week.