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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Toto Auswahlwette · every number
In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 109 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 12 times in 109 draws against 14.5 expected, −0.71σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 0 times, counted separately.
Drawn 12 times in 109 draws · average wait 7.5 draws · longest completed wait 22 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 33 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 13 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 11 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 33 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 33 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 33 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 22 |
| 5th |
| 6911283344 |
| 2026-01-25 | 2 | 5th | 101215233345 |
| 2026-01-11 | 6 | 6th | 4614222433 |
| 2025-11-30 | 9 | 6th | 3713273233 |
| 2025-09-28 | 3 | 6th | 61719222733 |
| 2025-09-07 | 1 | 5th | 2811323337 |
| 2025-08-31 | 13 | 6th | 2622262933 |
| 2025-06-01 | 10 | 5th | 131526273344 |
| 2025-03-23 | — | 5th | 1219313334 |