In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 108 draws, 6 from 1–45.
22times drawn · chance expected 14 +2.15σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
5.0average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5
17longest completed wait · 89% chance of one at least that long
2 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 22 times in 108 draws against 14.4 expected, +2.15σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 2 times, counted separately.
2
Number 2, draw by draw
Drawn 22 times in 108 draws · average wait 5.0 draws · longest completed wait 17 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 3 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 4 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.