In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 109 draws, 6 from 1–45.
22times drawn · chance expected 15 +2.10σ
7draws waiting · a wait this long: 42% for any number
4.8average wait between appearances · chance says 7.5
18longest completed wait · 85% chance of one at least that long
14 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 22 times in 109 draws against 14.5 expected, +2.10σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 4 times, counted separately.
14
Number 14, draw by draw
Drawn 22 times in 109 draws · average wait 4.8 draws · longest completed wait 18 · waiting 7 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 3 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 4 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.