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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Toto Auswahlwette · every number
In Toto Auswahlwette under the 6/45 + 1/45 · since Sep 2024 rules — 109 draws, 6 from 1–45.
Drawn 13 times in 109 draws against 14.5 expected, −0.43σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 1 time, counted separately.
Drawn 13 times in 109 draws · average wait 8.3 draws · longest completed wait 20 · waiting 6 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 37 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 1.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 10 of the other 44 numbers; chance expects about 10 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 37 is picked about 0.86× as often as an indifferent choice — 33rd most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 37 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | 8 | 6th | 41516233437 |
| 2026-07-19 | 6 | 3rd | 122337383944 |
| 2026-06-07 | 20 | 5th | 239133742 |
| 2026-01-18 | 8 | 6th | 378111737 |
| 2025-11-23 | 5 | 6th | 11421233237 |
| 2025-10-19 | 5 | 6th | 5717293637 |
| 2025-09-14 | 1 | 6th | 41020303137 |
| 2025-09-07 | 12 | 6th | 2811323337 |
| 2025-06-15 | 4 | 4th | 71223373942 |
| 2025-05-18 | 14 | 5th | 2712153743 |
| 2025-02-09 | 12 | 6th | 6712222637 |
| 2024-11-17 | 4 | 6th | 238123237 |
| 2024-10-20 | — | 5th | 212232363744 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 37 is drawn with probability 6/45 tonight whatever it did last week.