Number 10

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · Apr 2014 – Jun 2017 rules — 1,156 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

157times drawn · chance expected 141 +1.44σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number

7.4average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

41longest completed wait · 58% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 157 times in 1,156 draws against 141.0 expected, +1.44σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 157 times in 1,156 draws · average wait 7.4 draws · longest completed wait 41 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest54 · chance 54.1
2nd smallest72 · chance 69.5
3rd smallest27 · chance 28.8
4th smallest3 · chance 4.5
5th smallest1 · chance 0.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 15.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

35 33 5 15 24 29

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2017-06-16	13	2nd	5 10 27 39 40
2017-06-03	12	2nd	5 10 19 33 37
2017-05-22	14	1st	10 18 20 32 33
2017-05-08	1	3rd	7 8 10

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2017-01-20	12	1st	10 13 29 35 39
2017-01-08	1	1st	10 23 25 33 37
2017-01-07	14	3rd	5 6 10 13 25
2016-12-24	32	2nd	6 10 13 20 36
2016-11-22	6	3rd	1 8 10 24 41
2016-11-16	8	2nd	4 10 25 26 27
2016-11-08	16	3rd	2 6 10 13 22
2016-10-23	5	2nd	4 10 15 18 40
2016-10-18	9	3rd	4 5 10 32 40
2016-10-09	9	1st	10 16 19 22 34
2016-09-30	33	2nd	4 10 22 29 33
2016-08-28	4	4th	3 7 9 10 20
2016-08-24	5	2nd	9 10 12 15 32
2016-08-19	1	1st	10 25 28 34 41
2016-08-18	2	1st	10 14 19 26 27
2016-08-16	12	1st	10 12 13 17 31
2016-08-04	5	1st	10 12 30 35 36
2016-07-30	1	2nd	8 10 16 19 28
2016-07-29	1	1st	10 19 32 35 37
2016-07-28	8	2nd	8 10 26 30 36
2016-07-20	12	2nd	4 10 18 35 38
2016-07-08	1	2nd	7 10 11 21 31
2016-07-07	5	3rd	5 7 10 26 30
2016-07-02	18	3rd	2 7 10 11 22
2016-06-14	3	3rd	1 3 10 12 27
2016-06-11	14	2nd	6 10 11 21 22
2016-05-28	26	1st	10 24 31 32 39
2016-05-02	2	3rd	2 5 10 28 31
2016-04-30	21	2nd	4 10 29 33 36
2016-04-09	6	1st	10 20 22 31 39
2016-04-03	1	1st	10 15 20 25 35
2016-04-02	1	2nd	8 10 17 35 39
2016-04-01	20	1st	10 11 30 40 41
2016-03-12	1	3rd	1 7 10 28 40
2016-03-11	7	2nd	5 10 12 25 34
2016-03-04	1	2nd	2 10 15 24 39
2016-03-03	11	5th	2 5 7 9 10
2016-02-21	3	1st	10 17 19 27 29
2016-02-18	2	2nd	2 10 13 33 38
2016-02-16	1	2nd	2 10 29 32 36
2016-02-15	3	1st	10 15 21 29 37
2016-02-12	7	3rd	7 9 10 31 39
2016-02-05	8	2nd	5 10 15 18 33
2016-01-28	4	2nd	6 10 12 35 38
2016-01-24	1	1st	10 13 14 17 24
2016-01-23	2	2nd	3 10 15 29 35
2016-01-21	1	2nd	6 10 14 15 33
2016-01-20	33	1st	10 13 15 18 21
2015-12-18	3	4th	4 5 8 10 26
2015-12-15	2	3rd	2 5 10 24 25
2015-12-13	12	1st	10 15 22 33 38
2015-12-01	1	2nd	7 10 11 19 26
2015-11-30	4	3rd	2 8 10 20 30
2015-11-26	26	2nd	2 10 12 20 39
2015-10-31	3	2nd	2 10 15 19 24
2015-10-28	2	3rd	6 8 10 29 36
2015-10-26	12	2nd	3 10 26 32 35
2015-10-14	1	2nd	1 10 12 16 18
2015-10-13	4	1st	10 19 24 27 41
2015-10-09	3	3rd	2 4 10 14 33
2015-10-06	10	3rd	7 9 10 25 32
2015-09-26	4	1st	10 12 19 25 31
2015-09-22	1	2nd	4 10 14 21 30
2015-09-21	4	2nd	8 10 22 29 37
2015-09-17	20	2nd	3 10 11 17 27
2015-08-28	2	2nd	5 10 15 23 38
2015-08-26	8	2nd	1 10 11 27 37
2015-08-18	13	3rd	1 4 10 18 38
2015-08-05	11	2nd	5 10 15 22 28
2015-07-25	2	2nd	5 10 13 16 35
2015-07-23	1	1st	10 15 29 32 35
2015-07-22	12	2nd	9 10 12 29 37
2015-07-10	3	1st	10 14 30 35 39
2015-07-07	2	1st	10 15 16 19 38
2015-07-05	5	1st	10 18 28 34 36
2015-06-30	2	2nd	7 10 27 33 34
2015-06-28	17	2nd	7 10 24 33 35
2015-06-11	15	3rd	4 5 10 25 40
2015-05-27	2	2nd	4 10 13 16 22
2015-05-25	4	2nd	8 10 20 33 36
2015-05-21	6	2nd	1 10 13 17 28
2015-05-15	4	2nd	7 10 21 37 40
2015-05-11	6	3rd	4 5 10 21 34
2015-05-05	12	1st	10 14 17 27 35
2015-04-22	4	2nd	6 10 18 35 41
2015-04-18	6	1st	10 15 20 32 33
2015-04-12	13	1st	10 17 21 33 37
2015-03-30	3	2nd	5 10 22 24 34
2015-03-27	11	1st	10 12 30 31 34
2015-03-16	3	2nd	9 10 12 32 33
2015-03-13	14	3rd	7 9 10 26 29
2015-02-27	32	3rd	3 6 10 17 18
2015-01-26	15	1st	10 15 18 19 34
2015-01-11	1	2nd	1 10 22 23 25
2015-01-10	10	1st	10 12 30 36 39
2014-12-31	12	2nd	3 10 30 32 35
2014-12-19	1	1st	10 16 26 35 41
2014-12-18	8	1st	10 20 32 35 37
2014-12-10	5	3rd	2 7 10 20 29
2014-12-05	2	3rd	8 9 10 11 13
2014-12-03	7	1st	10 11 21 29 34
2014-11-26	1	2nd	9 10 11 21 40
2014-11-25	3	2nd	5 10 13 31 32
2014-11-22	28	3rd	4 6 10 22 31
2014-10-25	15	1st	10 24 26 33 37
2014-10-10	4	2nd	7 10 12 22 37
2014-10-06	3	2nd	5 10 15 27 32
2014-10-03	9	2nd	4 10 22 24 27
2014-09-24	2	1st	10 24 28 31 32
2014-09-22	2	3rd	2 6 10 14 27
2014-09-20	7	1st	10 18 29 33 34
2014-09-13	3	1st	10 20 21 25 34
2014-09-10	6	2nd	6 10 21 30 34
2014-09-04	7	2nd	2 10 13 18 28
2014-08-28	1	2nd	6 10 22 23 37
2014-08-27	2	2nd	9 10 14 33 40
2014-08-25	41	1st	10 12 22 24 35
2014-07-15	1	2nd	8 10 24 33 39
2014-07-14	9	1st	10 15 25 28 29
2014-07-05	4	2nd	8 10 11 26 29
2014-07-01	29	2nd	8 10 17 27 30
2014-06-02	4	1st	10 13 14 17 39
2014-05-29	1	1st	10 13 15 28 34
2014-05-28	2	2nd	9 10 14 28 29
2014-05-26	8	2nd	9 10 19 35 39
2014-05-18	9	2nd	3 10 31 35 37
2014-05-09	4	1st	10 14 27 29 38
2014-05-05	4	1st	10 16 23 34 39
2014-05-01	1	1st	10 16 20 23 33
2014-04-30	1	1st	10 21 24 32 33
2014-04-29	7	3rd	3 4 10 19 24
2014-04-22	3	1st	10 11 14 34 35
2014-04-19	—	2nd	1 10 15 24 39