Number 12

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · Apr 2014 – Jun 2017 rules — 1,156 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

121times drawn · chance expected 141 −1.80σ

6draws waiting · a wait this long: 52% for any number

9.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

38longest completed wait · 62% chance of one at least that long

12 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 121 times in 1,156 draws against 141.0 expected, −1.80σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 12, draw by draw

Drawn 121 times in 1,156 draws · average wait 9.5 draws · longest completed wait 38 · waiting 6 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 12 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest33 · chance 31.4
2nd smallest52 · chance 53.2
3rd smallest30 · chance 29.6
4th smallest6 · chance 6.3
5th smallest0 · chance 0.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 12.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

7 10 16 20 27 22

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 12 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 12 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2017-06-12	35	1st	12 13 21 24 34
2017-05-08	18	4th	7 8 10 12 39
2017-04-19	13	1st	12 17 26 31 36
2017-04-05	24	2nd	3 12 14

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 12 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2016-09-09	6	3rd	2 7 12 35 40
2016-09-03	10	1st	12 13 21 24 32
2016-08-24	8	3rd	9 10 12 15 32
2016-08-16	9	2nd	10 12 13 17 31
2016-08-07	3	2nd	11 12 23 38 39
2016-08-04	21	2nd	10 12 30 35 36
2016-07-14	8	2nd	1 12 14 20 28
2016-07-06	19	2nd	5 12 20 29 30
2016-06-17	1	1st	12 15 30 37 38
2016-06-16	2	2nd	3 12 18 36 40
2016-06-14	6	4th	1 3 10 12 27
2016-06-08	12	1st	12 16 20 22 29
2016-05-27	7	3rd	2 9 12 16 25
2016-05-20	14	4th	1 7 11 12 14
2016-05-06	19	2nd	8 12 15 31 32
2016-04-17	7	1st	12 15 17 27 31
2016-04-10	20	3rd	3 5 12 32 40
2016-03-21	10	2nd	3 12 14 27 41
2016-03-11	2	3rd	5 10 12 25 34
2016-03-09	11	3rd	2 4 12 19 33
2016-02-27	24	2nd	5 12 20 25 40
2016-02-03	3	2nd	11 12 18 26 40
2016-01-31	3	1st	12 18 27 29 35
2016-01-28	3	3rd	6 10 12 35 38
2016-01-25	19	2nd	5 12 15 20 24
2016-01-06	7	3rd	1 9 12 33 36
2015-12-30	8	3rd	6 11 12 30 32
2015-12-22	1	2nd	1 12 20 31 33
2015-12-21	10	3rd	5 7 12 13 28
2015-12-11	9	2nd	7 12 32 33 41
2015-12-02	6	1st	12 18 21 26 29
2015-11-26	5	3rd	2 10 12 20 39
2015-11-21	38	2nd	7 12 16 18 26
2015-10-14	12	3rd	1 10 12 16 18
2015-10-02	6	1st	12 26 31 34 38
2015-09-26	8	2nd	10 12 19 25 31
2015-09-18	34	3rd	2 3 12 29 32
2015-08-15	7	2nd	7 12 13 26 28
2015-08-08	4	2nd	7 12 13 17 27
2015-08-04	7	3rd	4 8 12 29 30
2015-07-28	1	4th	3 7 9 12 19
2015-07-27	5	1st	12 19 37 38 40
2015-07-22	6	3rd	9 10 12 29 37
2015-07-16	1	1st	12 17 24 30 40
2015-07-15	1	3rd	6 8 12 23 30
2015-07-14	1	1st	12 14 16 21 36
2015-07-13	1	2nd	2 12 28 30 35
2015-07-12	19	2nd	1 12 22 24 28
2015-06-23	11	3rd	1 6 12 17 31
2015-06-12	7	1st	12 20 32 39 40
2015-06-05	2	1st	12 19 22 33 37
2015-06-03	14	2nd	3 12 20 28 29
2015-05-20	2	2nd	9 12 14 16 28
2015-05-18	26	2nd	5 12 17 20 28
2015-04-21	25	2nd	9 12 16 28 40
2015-03-27	11	2nd	10 12 30 31 34
2015-03-16	13	3rd	9 10 12 32 33
2015-03-03	2	3rd	7 9 12 31 33
2015-03-01	16	1st	12 23 27 36 40
2015-02-13	12	2nd	9 12 17 23 39
2015-02-01	8	1st	12 17 19 37 39
2015-01-24	2	1st	12 16 21 24 39
2015-01-22	1	2nd	3 12 16 37 40
2015-01-21	11	2nd	7 12 22 24 37
2015-01-10	1	2nd	10 12 30 36 39
2015-01-09	19	2nd	9 12 20 34 36
2014-12-21	1	1st	12 16 23 25 31
2014-12-20	4	2nd	2 12 17 29 35
2014-12-16	9	1st	12 16 22 25 37
2014-12-07	1	4th	1 6 9 12 28
2014-12-06	8	1st	12 15 16 24 25
2014-11-28	1	2nd	6 12 17 23 39
2014-11-27	3	3rd	3 6 12 31 36
2014-11-24	4	4th	6 7 11 12 16
2014-11-20	21	2nd	8 12 16 27 34
2014-10-30	6	1st	12 20 26 35 36
2014-10-24	3	2nd	4 12 17 35 36
2014-10-21	11	2nd	9 12 20 22 29
2014-10-10	9	3rd	7 10 12 22 37
2014-10-01	4	3rd	2 7 12 21 37
2014-09-27	11	3rd	1 11 12 13 20
2014-09-16	5	1st	12 20 22 34 38
2014-09-11	13	1st	12 26 27 30 33
2014-08-29	4	1st	12 31 33 37 38
2014-08-25	1	2nd	10 12 22 24 35
2014-08-24	24	1st	12 13 14 27 37
2014-07-31	1	2nd	8 12 22 40 41
2014-07-30	13	1st	12 20 34 38 39
2014-07-17	19	3rd	1 7 12 28 29
2014-06-28	6	2nd	5 12 17 29 34
2014-06-22	10	3rd	7 8 12 21 27
2014-06-12	5	1st	12 15 23 24 29
2014-06-07	4	1st	12 13 18 25 26
2014-06-03	7	3rd	2 7 12 27 29
2014-05-27	8	2nd	11 12 23 25 37
2014-05-19	22	2nd	1 12 16 20 34
2014-04-27	—	1st	12 25 28 33 34