Number 15

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · Apr 2014 – Jun 2017 rules — 1,156 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

159times drawn · chance expected 141 +1.62σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 77% for any number

7.3average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

40longest completed wait · 63% chance of one at least that long

15 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 159 times in 1,156 draws against 141.0 expected, +1.62σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 15, draw by draw

Drawn 159 times in 1,156 draws · average wait 7.3 draws · longest completed wait 40 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 15 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest23 · chance 26.0
2nd smallest69 · chance 63.3
3rd smallest50 · chance 51.5
4th smallest17 · chance 16.5
5th smallest0 · chance 1.7

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 15.9 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

17 24 37 10 25 14

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 15 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 15 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2017-06-15	10	4th	3 5 7 15 39
2017-06-05	9	3rd	2 7 15 17 41
2017-05-27	8	2nd	6 15 20 25 41
2017-05-19	5	1st	15 21 23

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 15 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2016-11-29	4	2nd	9 15 22 23 24
2016-11-25	4	3rd	1 9 15 22 35
2016-11-21	2	1st	15 17 18 31 34
2016-11-19	6	3rd	1 11 15 21 36
2016-11-13	21	2nd	7 15 23 29 41
2016-10-23	19	3rd	4 10 15 18 40
2016-10-04	3	2nd	3 15 24 26 31
2016-10-01	5	1st	15 18 22 23 38
2016-09-26	4	2nd	7 15 27 35 37
2016-09-22	7	4th	3 11 14 15 17
2016-09-15	2	2nd	5 15 16 19 35
2016-09-13	1	2nd	11 15 31 40 41
2016-09-12	17	4th	6 7 9 15 35
2016-08-26	1	3rd	13 14 15 17 37
2016-08-25	1	2nd	3 15 16 23 30
2016-08-24	2	4th	9 10 12 15 32
2016-08-22	1	2nd	4 15 24 26 33
2016-08-21	1	2nd	14 15 16 17 34
2016-08-20	3	3rd	4 11 15 22 26
2016-08-17	12	4th	2 4 5 15 23
2016-08-05	37	4th	6 7 9 15 34
2016-06-29	6	3rd	1 9 15 17 40
2016-06-23	3	1st	15 31 36 39 41
2016-06-20	3	2nd	6 15 17 19 37
2016-06-17	12	2nd	12 15 30 37 38
2016-06-05	4	2nd	13 15 22 26 36
2016-06-01	3	4th	3 4 9 15 29
2016-05-29	5	2nd	8 15 25 32 34
2016-05-24	10	3rd	4 14 15 18 26
2016-05-14	8	3rd	2 8 15 16 20
2016-05-06	11	3rd	8 12 15 31 32
2016-04-25	6	3rd	8 9 15 19 25
2016-04-19	2	2nd	1 15 22 29 39
2016-04-17	2	2nd	12 15 17 27 31
2016-04-15	12	2nd	8 15 23 27 39
2016-04-03	8	2nd	10 15 20 25 35
2016-03-26	1	1st	15 25 29 35 40
2016-03-25	1	2nd	13 15 18 21 41
2016-03-24	10	1st	15 18 22 35 37
2016-03-14	4	3rd	2 4 15 23 38
2016-03-10	6	1st	15 16 25 26 35
2016-03-04	5	3rd	2 10 15 24 39
2016-02-28	9	2nd	6 15 24 28 40
2016-02-19	4	1st	15 27 34 38 39
2016-02-15	10	2nd	10 15 21 29 37
2016-02-05	1	3rd	5 10 15 18 33
2016-02-04	10	3rd	8 14 15 26 27
2016-01-25	2	3rd	5 12 15 20 24
2016-01-23	2	3rd	3 10 15 29 35
2016-01-21	1	4th	6 10 14 15 33
2016-01-20	2	3rd	10 13 15 18 21
2016-01-18	36	2nd	6 15 16 31 41
2015-12-13	4	2nd	10 15 22 33 38
2015-12-09	1	2nd	2 15 27 30 32
2015-12-08	3	2nd	8 15 17 20 39
2015-12-05	2	3rd	2 8 15 25 36
2015-12-03	18	2nd	11 15 20 34 37
2015-11-15	11	2nd	6 15 24 25 30
2015-11-04	2	2nd	6 15 25 27 29
2015-11-02	2	4th	2 6 7 15 20
2015-10-31	4	3rd	2 10 15 19 24
2015-10-27	11	2nd	6 15 24 36 40
2015-10-16	33	3rd	6 7 15 19 22
2015-09-13	8	4th	3 5 7 15 37
2015-09-05	8	4th	2 3 14 15 19
2015-08-28	3	3rd	5 10 15 23 38
2015-08-25	4	3rd	5 13 15 22 25
2015-08-21	5	3rd	13 14 15 20 39
2015-08-16	9	3rd	3 11 15 23 27
2015-08-07	2	2nd	5 15 16 20 26
2015-08-05	7	3rd	5 10 15 22 28
2015-07-29	6	4th	4 6 7 15 31
2015-07-23	5	2nd	10 15 29 32 35
2015-07-18	10	2nd	2 15 27 34 39
2015-07-08	1	2nd	3 15 18 31 40
2015-07-07	12	2nd	10 15 16 19 38
2015-06-25	10	3rd	7 14 15 24 27
2015-06-15	2	1st	15 24 25 30 36
2015-06-13	5	2nd	1 15 17 26 36
2015-06-08	7	3rd	9 14 15 17 33
2015-06-01	26	2nd	4 15 21 26 41
2015-05-06	5	2nd	13 15 19 22 39
2015-04-30	3	2nd	13 15 27 31 36
2015-04-27	2	2nd	6 15 17 25 41
2015-04-25	1	3rd	3 9 15 18 19
2015-04-24	6	1st	15 17 26 30 37
2015-04-18	9	2nd	10 15 20 32 33
2015-04-09	5	3rd	4 5 15 22 29
2015-04-04	2	2nd	7 15 29 35 40
2015-04-02	9	2nd	14 15 18 19 38
2015-03-24	6	1st	15 24 27 32 36
2015-03-18	3	2nd	13 15 21 23 35
2015-03-15	9	2nd	6 15 19 22 27
2015-03-06	8	4th	1 5 13 15 27
2015-02-26	2	1st	15 20 21 28 32
2015-02-24	13	1st	15 19 21 25 36
2015-02-11	2	2nd	2 15 16 30 36
2015-02-09	14	2nd	8 15 30 34 38
2015-01-26	14	2nd	10 15 18 19 34
2015-01-12	8	2nd	14 15 23 24 30
2015-01-04	7	4th	2 3 4 15 28
2014-12-28	16	1st	15 18 19 23 34
2014-12-12	6	3rd	3 4 15 27 37
2014-12-06	21	2nd	12 15 16 24 25
2014-11-15	13	1st	15 28 30 37 40
2014-11-02	19	1st	15 20 23 25 28
2014-10-14	8	2nd	9 15 18 20 31
2014-10-06	1	3rd	5 10 15 27 32
2014-10-05	5	1st	15 17 25 26 30
2014-09-30	40	3rd	7 11 15 34 39
2014-08-21	5	3rd	8 13 15 17 38
2014-08-16	3	2nd	5 15 25 32 41
2014-08-13	1	3rd	3 4 15 32 39
2014-08-12	6	1st	15 19 22 27 39
2014-08-06	2	1st	15 21 29 30 37
2014-08-04	1	2nd	6 15 29 33 39
2014-08-03	1	1st	15 17 29 33 35
2014-08-02	7	3rd	2 8 15 30 33
2014-07-26	7	1st	15 16 24 34 38
2014-07-19	1	3rd	8 9 15 18 22
2014-07-18	4	2nd	1 15 19 29 37
2014-07-14	3	2nd	10 15 25 28 29
2014-07-11	2	1st	15 16 24 37 38
2014-07-09	1	3rd	11 14 15 31 40
2014-07-08	2	2nd	11 15 25 27 34
2014-07-06	3	3rd	1 14 15 35 38
2014-07-03	13	2nd	9 15 20 31 35
2014-06-20	7	2nd	14 15 16 27 32
2014-06-13	1	2nd	3 15 24 34 37
2014-06-12	2	2nd	12 15 23 24 29
2014-06-10	12	1st	15 16 26 28 33
2014-05-29	12	3rd	10 13 15 28 34
2014-05-17	14	2nd	11 15 23 37 40
2014-05-03	14	2nd	2 15 17 26 33
2014-04-19	—	3rd	1 10 15 24 39