Number 8

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · Apr 2014 – Jun 2017 rules — 1,156 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

124times drawn · chance expected 141 −1.53σ

9draws waiting · a wait this long: 35% for any number

9.3average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

42longest completed wait · 45% chance of one at least that long

8 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 124 times in 1,156 draws against 141.0 expected, −1.53σ. Each draw is independent: after 9 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 8, draw by draw

Drawn 124 times in 1,156 draws · average wait 9.3 draws · longest completed wait 42 · waiting 9 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 8 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest54 · chance 55.5
2nd smallest58 · chance 51.8
3rd smallest9 · chance 15.0
4th smallest3 · chance 1.6
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 12.4 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

23 27 1 10 30 34

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 8 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 8 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2017-06-09	7	2nd	7 8 16 21 22
2017-06-02	23	2nd	3 8 11 31 41
2017-05-10	2	2nd	4 8 18 31 39
2017-05-08	8	2nd	7 8 10

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 8 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2016-09-21	11	2nd	1 8 18 26 27
2016-09-10	3	2nd	6 8 22 31 34
2016-09-07	1	2nd	4 8 13 34 40
2016-09-06	1	2nd	7 8 9 21 32
2016-09-05	21	2nd	6 8 32 33 34
2016-08-15	4	2nd	1 8 26 30 36
2016-08-11	12	1st	8 9 23 28 36
2016-07-30	2	1st	8 10 16 19 28
2016-07-28	19	1st	8 10 26 30 36
2016-07-09	17	1st	8 23 25 35 37
2016-06-22	10	1st	8 13 16 19 21
2016-06-12	13	2nd	5 8 18 30 33
2016-05-30	1	1st	8 24 26 27 37
2016-05-29	15	1st	8 15 25 32 34
2016-05-14	1	2nd	2 8 15 16 20
2016-05-13	4	1st	8 16 26 38 41
2016-05-09	1	3rd	1 7 8 13 21
2016-05-08	2	4th	1 3 5 8 19
2016-05-06	11	1st	8 12 15 31 32
2016-04-25	10	1st	8 9 15 19 25
2016-04-15	13	1st	8 15 23 27 39
2016-04-02	5	1st	8 10 17 35 39
2016-03-28	22	1st	8 25 27 37 38
2016-03-06	9	1st	8 14 20 32 38
2016-02-26	9	1st	8 20 21 27 29
2016-02-17	13	3rd	3 4 8 25 33
2016-02-04	33	1st	8 14 15 26 27
2016-01-02	1	2nd	1 8 11 14 41
2016-01-01	1	2nd	5 8 14 16 31
2015-12-31	7	3rd	4 5 8 26 34
2015-12-24	1	1st	8 13 22 31 38
2015-12-23	5	1st	8 16 17 22 39
2015-12-18	10	3rd	4 5 8 10 26
2015-12-08	3	1st	8 15 17 20 39
2015-12-05	5	2nd	2 8 15 25 36
2015-11-30	1	2nd	2 8 10 20 30
2015-11-29	9	1st	8 13 30 40 41
2015-11-20	9	2nd	3 8 23 26 29
2015-11-11	14	3rd	4 5 8 16 17
2015-10-28	10	2nd	6 8 10 29 36
2015-10-18	8	2nd	3 8 27 29 40
2015-10-10	15	4th	2 4 5 8 29
2015-09-25	4	2nd	2 8 22 24 30
2015-09-21	7	1st	8 10 22 29 37
2015-09-14	6	1st	8 9 16 29 30
2015-09-08	6	3rd	1 2 8 23 41
2015-09-02	22	2nd	2 8 9 19 33
2015-08-11	1	1st	8 29 31 33 39
2015-08-10	6	2nd	1 8 17 36 37
2015-08-04	15	2nd	4 8 12 29 30
2015-07-20	5	1st	8 9 14 18 21
2015-07-15	4	2nd	6 8 12 23 30
2015-07-11	27	1st	8 29 30 37 38
2015-06-14	20	1st	8 13 18 20 36
2015-05-25	8	1st	8 10 20 33 36
2015-05-17	4	2nd	1 8 13 23 30
2015-05-13	9	2nd	7 8 21 39 40
2015-05-04	30	3rd	2 3 8 28 34
2015-04-03	14	2nd	1 8 19 33 34
2015-03-20	15	1st	8 26 30 38 40
2015-03-05	1	1st	8 18 20 25 33
2015-03-04	17	1st	8 13 17 25 37
2015-02-15	6	2nd	6 8 21 23 33
2015-02-09	15	1st	8 15 30 34 38
2015-01-25	2	3rd	1 5 8 31 36
2015-01-23	22	2nd	4 8 20 34 40
2015-01-01	6	2nd	2 8 34 35 41
2014-12-26	4	1st	8 26 32 37 40
2014-12-22	11	2nd	2 8 17 29 30
2014-12-11	6	2nd	1 8 20 23 41
2014-12-05	5	1st	8 9 10 11 13
2014-11-30	10	1st	8 20 25 36 38
2014-11-20	2	1st	8 12 16 27 34
2014-11-18	11	2nd	6 8 23 34 41
2014-11-07	7	2nd	3 8 9 29 35
2014-10-31	16	2nd	2 8 9 17 33
2014-10-15	6	2nd	7 8 17 20 27
2014-10-09	11	1st	8 9 24 27 35
2014-09-28	22	2nd	6 8 18 36 40
2014-09-06	16	1st	8 11 14 34 40
2014-08-21	6	1st	8 13 15 17 38
2014-08-15	10	2nd	4 8 18 23 27
2014-08-05	3	2nd	3 8 13 32 35
2014-08-02	2	2nd	2 8 15 30 33
2014-07-31	12	1st	8 12 22 40 41
2014-07-19	3	1st	8 9 15 18 22
2014-07-16	1	2nd	3 8 20 36 40
2014-07-15	10	1st	8 10 24 33 39
2014-07-05	4	1st	8 10 11 26 29
2014-07-01	6	1st	8 10 17 27 30
2014-06-25	2	2nd	1 8 17 18 23
2014-06-23	1	1st	8 20 23 25 38
2014-06-22	1	2nd	7 8 12 21 27
2014-06-21	6	1st	8 27 34 38 41
2014-06-15	25	1st	8 11 13 36 41
2014-05-21	1	2nd	1 8 9 21 22
2014-05-20	5	2nd	2 8 22 32 34
2014-05-15	20	2nd	6 8 17 18 29
2014-04-25	2	2nd	3 8 11 27 35
2014-04-23	—	2nd	7 8 23 32 40