Number 30

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · Apr 2014 – Jun 2017 rules — 1,156 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

133times drawn · chance expected 141 −0.72σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 68% for any number

8.7average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

38longest completed wait · 66% chance of one at least that long

30 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 133 times in 1,156 draws against 141.0 expected, −0.72σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 30, draw by draw

Drawn 133 times in 1,156 draws · average wait 8.7 draws · longest completed wait 38 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 30 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest1 · chance 0.5
2nd smallest5 · chance 7.0
3rd smallest40 · chance 32.5
4th smallest56 · chance 58.5
5th smallest31 · chance 34.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 13.3 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2 36 13 8 24 32

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 30 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 30 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2017-06-14	27	3rd	3 4 30 36 38
2017-05-18	18	5th	18 24 26 29 30
2017-04-30	1	4th	3 8 13 30 34
2017-04-29	2	4th	5 9 11

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 30 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2016-11-20	18	4th	1 12 16 30 41
2016-11-02	17	4th	2 23 27 30 41
2016-10-16	4	4th	9 22 28 30 36
2016-10-12	4	4th	9 26 28 30 35
2016-10-08	38	4th	6 17 19 30 41
2016-08-31	6	5th	2 6 19 26 30
2016-08-25	10	5th	3 15 16 23 30
2016-08-15	9	4th	1 8 26 30 36
2016-08-06	2	2nd	20 30 31 33 37
2016-08-04	7	3rd	10 12 30 35 36
2016-07-28	12	4th	8 10 26 30 36
2016-07-16	9	3rd	3 7 30 31 37
2016-07-07	1	5th	5 7 10 26 30
2016-07-06	2	5th	5 12 20 29 30
2016-07-04	8	4th	4 27 28 30 31
2016-06-26	9	4th	17 24 25 30 36
2016-06-17	5	3rd	12 15 30 37 38
2016-06-12	17	4th	5 8 18 30 33
2016-05-26	4	5th	11 13 16 29 30
2016-05-22	15	4th	6 21 29 30 36
2016-05-07	3	2nd	13 30 34 39 41
2016-05-04	11	4th	1 4 29 30 33
2016-04-23	5	4th	23 24 27 30 37
2016-04-18	7	4th	13 20 24 30 37
2016-04-11	7	5th	1 5 20 23 30
2016-04-04	3	4th	13 16 27 30 41
2016-04-01	10	3rd	10 11 30 40 41
2016-03-22	2	4th	2 14 21 30 32
2016-03-20	3	3rd	13 17 30 35 40
2016-03-17	2	3rd	2 25 30 31 32
2016-03-15	7	3rd	24 29 30 32 36
2016-03-08	6	4th	2 6 16 30 39
2016-03-02	8	4th	6 13 18 30 36
2016-02-23	9	3rd	18 19 30 36 39
2016-02-14	31	3rd	11 13 30 36 39
2016-01-14	1	4th	13 19 24 30 34
2016-01-13	14	5th	14 19 21 29 30
2015-12-30	2	4th	6 11 12 30 32
2015-12-28	2	5th	11 13 14 28 30
2015-12-26	17	3rd	1 9 30 32 33
2015-12-09	9	4th	2 15 27 30 32
2015-11-30	1	5th	2 8 10 20 30
2015-11-29	2	3rd	8 13 30 40 41
2015-11-27	2	3rd	16 18 30 31 35
2015-11-25	10	3rd	6 25 30 32 35
2015-11-15	8	5th	6 15 24 25 30
2015-11-07	6	3rd	2 19 30 35 37
2015-11-01	3	1st	30 36 37 38 40
2015-10-29	14	4th	2 11 23 30 36
2015-10-15	8	3rd	3 17 30 37 40
2015-10-07	12	3rd	4 27 30 38 41
2015-09-25	3	5th	2 8 22 24 30
2015-09-22	8	5th	4 10 14 21 30
2015-09-14	11	5th	8 9 16 29 30
2015-09-03	30	4th	1 2 4 30 33
2015-08-04	5	5th	4 8 12 29 30
2015-07-30	6	5th	2 18 26 28 30
2015-07-24	8	3rd	11 20 30 35 41
2015-07-16	1	4th	12 17 24 30 40
2015-07-15	2	5th	6 8 12 23 30
2015-07-13	2	4th	2 12 28 30 35
2015-07-11	1	3rd	8 29 30 37 38
2015-07-10	4	3rd	10 14 30 35 39
2015-07-06	9	4th	17 22 27 30 34
2015-06-27	3	3rd	7 16 30 35 40
2015-06-24	9	3rd	7 23 30 36 38
2015-06-15	24	4th	15 24 25 30 36
2015-05-22	5	5th	3 11 19 22 30
2015-05-17	22	5th	1 8 13 23 30
2015-04-24	23	4th	15 17 26 30 37
2015-04-01	5	4th	17 21 23 30 38
2015-03-27	2	3rd	10 12 30 31 34
2015-03-25	2	4th	1 25 28 30 37
2015-03-23	3	4th	1 6 13 30 37
2015-03-20	27	3rd	8 26 30 38 40
2015-02-21	7	4th	5 23 26 30 38
2015-02-14	3	3rd	7 24 30 36 38
2015-02-11	2	4th	2 15 16 30 36
2015-02-09	11	3rd	8 15 30 34 38
2015-01-29	9	4th	2 5 27 30 33
2015-01-20	8	3rd	7 22 30 38 41
2015-01-12	2	5th	14 15 23 24 30
2015-01-10	10	3rd	10 12 30 36 39
2014-12-31	6	3rd	3 10 30 32 35
2014-12-25	1	2nd	27 30 32 34 35
2014-12-24	2	4th	2 11 22 30 32
2014-12-22	13	5th	2 8 17 29 30
2014-12-09	22	4th	2 4 6 30 36
2014-11-17	2	3rd	23 29 30 39 40
2014-11-15	26	3rd	15 28 30 37 40
2014-10-20	12	4th	4 9 13 30 41
2014-10-08	3	4th	7 16 18 30 33
2014-10-05	1	5th	15 17 25 26 30
2014-10-04	8	5th	6 7 14 16 30
2014-09-26	8	3rd	18 28 30 34 35
2014-09-18	7	4th	7 11 16 30 40
2014-09-11	1	4th	12 26 27 30 33
2014-09-10	30	4th	6 10 21 30 34
2014-08-11	1	2nd	16 30 31 32 34
2014-08-10	4	4th	4 24 29 30 39
2014-08-06	4	4th	15 21 29 30 37
2014-08-02	1	4th	2 8 15 30 33
2014-08-01	30	5th	4 13 18 21 30
2014-07-02	1	3rd	2 20 30 31 38
2014-07-01	22	5th	8 10 17 27 30
2014-06-09	18	3rd	3 24 30 34 36
2014-05-22	15	4th	2 11 16 30 37
2014-05-07	20	3rd	19 26 30 34 39
2014-04-17	—	4th	6 19 28 30 32