Number 40

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · Apr 2014 – Jun 2017 rules — 1,156 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

136times drawn · chance expected 141 −0.45σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 88% for any number

8.5average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

40longest completed wait · 57% chance of one at least that long

40 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 136 times in 1,156 draws against 141.0 expected, −0.45σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 40, draw by draw

Drawn 136 times in 1,156 draws · average wait 8.5 draws · longest completed wait 40 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest14 · chance 13.6
5th smallest122 · chance 122.4

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 13.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

37 3 7 17 36 23

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2017-06-16	23	5th	5 10 27 39 40
2017-05-24	4	5th	4 19 33 36 40
2017-05-20	8	5th	3 31 36 38 40
2017-05-12	14	5th	22 25 29

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2016-12-02	15	5th	4 25 35 38 40
2016-11-17	5	5th	14 25 34 36 40
2016-11-12	1	5th	21 27 28 31 40
2016-11-11	6	5th	9 16 20 37 40
2016-11-05	13	5th	13 16 22 38 40
2016-10-23	5	5th	4 10 15 18 40
2016-10-18	3	5th	4 5 10 32 40
2016-10-15	1	5th	2 14 29 31 40
2016-10-14	3	5th	4 17 27 39 40
2016-10-11	8	5th	3 18 32 37 40
2016-10-03	20	5th	3 11 12 29 40
2016-09-13	4	4th	11 15 31 40 41
2016-09-09	2	5th	2 7 12 35 40
2016-09-07	6	5th	4 8 13 34 40
2016-09-01	37	5th	18 19 23 29 40
2016-07-26	5	5th	20 22 25 36 40
2016-07-21	9	5th	9 18 28 29 40
2016-07-12	7	5th	5 13 24 31 40
2016-07-05	2	5th	5 21 29 36 40
2016-07-03	3	5th	9 21 26 37 40
2016-06-30	1	5th	2 7 13 21 40
2016-06-29	1	5th	1 9 15 17 40
2016-06-28	12	5th	6 7 26 38 40
2016-06-16	16	5th	3 12 18 36 40
2016-05-31	6	5th	1 9 13 36 40
2016-05-25	6	5th	18 22 24 34 40
2016-05-19	4	5th	16 22 23 33 40
2016-05-15	19	5th	1 16 21 26 40
2016-04-26	5	5th	17 24 31 33 40
2016-04-21	11	5th	5 27 28 29 40
2016-04-10	9	5th	3 5 12 32 40
2016-04-01	6	4th	10 11 30 40 41
2016-03-26	6	5th	15 25 29 35 40
2016-03-20	1	5th	13 17 30 35 40
2016-03-19	7	5th	17 19 32 34 40
2016-03-12	12	5th	1 7 10 28 40
2016-02-29	1	5th	11 14 26 39 40
2016-02-28	1	5th	6 15 24 28 40
2016-02-27	19	5th	5 12 20 25 40
2016-02-08	1	5th	5 24 31 37 40
2016-02-07	4	5th	4 26 34 36 40
2016-02-03	15	5th	11 12 18 26 40
2016-01-19	2	5th	6 14 16 35 40
2016-01-17	6	5th	3 20 23 26 40
2016-01-11	3	4th	3 25 35 40 41
2016-01-08	12	5th	7 14 17 39 40
2015-12-27	15	4th	17 23 38 40 41
2015-12-12	13	5th	5 17 28 39 40
2015-11-29	11	4th	8 13 30 40 41
2015-11-18	1	5th	3 9 13 36 40
2015-11-17	16	5th	4 26 36 37 40
2015-11-01	2	5th	30 36 37 38 40
2015-10-30	3	5th	6 25 28 39 40
2015-10-27	5	5th	6 15 24 36 40
2015-10-22	4	5th	2 3 5 33 40
2015-10-18	3	5th	3 8 27 29 40
2015-10-15	3	5th	3 17 30 37 40
2015-10-12	7	5th	5 7 23 37 40
2015-10-05	2	5th	4 17 22 29 40
2015-10-03	40	5th	2 7 13 29 40
2015-08-24	21	5th	1 13 20 37 40
2015-08-03	7	5th	7 22 24 34 40
2015-07-27	11	5th	12 19 37 38 40
2015-07-16	8	5th	12 17 24 30 40
2015-07-08	5	5th	3 15 18 31 40
2015-07-03	6	4th	14 17 36 40 41
2015-06-27	6	5th	7 16 30 35 40
2015-06-21	3	5th	4 16 32 39 40
2015-06-18	6	4th	3 11 39 40 41
2015-06-12	1	5th	12 20 32 39 40
2015-06-11	18	5th	4 5 10 25 40
2015-05-24	9	5th	13 19 31 34 40
2015-05-15	2	5th	7 10 21 37 40
2015-05-13	21	5th	7 8 21 39 40
2015-04-21	5	5th	9 12 16 28 40
2015-04-16	5	5th	14 16 17 18 40
2015-04-11	1	4th	6 25 37 40 41
2015-04-10	6	4th	6 13 20 40 41
2015-04-04	9	5th	7 15 29 35 40
2015-03-26	6	5th	6 14 25 31 40
2015-03-20	19	5th	8 26 30 38 40
2015-03-01	1	5th	12 23 27 36 40
2015-02-28	3	5th	17 21 32 37 40
2015-02-25	9	5th	7 11 17 19 40
2015-02-16	24	5th	16 26 32 39 40
2015-01-23	1	5th	4 8 20 34 40
2015-01-22	27	5th	3 12 16 37 40
2014-12-26	22	5th	8 26 32 37 40
2014-12-04	2	5th	3 4 25 35 40
2014-12-02	6	5th	3 28 31 37 40
2014-11-26	9	5th	9 10 11 21 40
2014-11-17	2	5th	23 29 30 39 40
2014-11-15	9	5th	15 28 30 37 40
2014-11-06	2	5th	7 17 24 31 40
2014-11-04	19	4th	11 19 36 40 41
2014-10-16	18	5th	5 6 32 38 40
2014-09-28	10	5th	6 8 18 36 40
2014-09-18	10	5th	7 11 16 30 40
2014-09-08	1	5th	25 32 37 38 40
2014-09-07	1	5th	22 28 36 37 40
2014-09-06	10	5th	8 11 14 34 40
2014-08-27	5	5th	9 10 14 33 40
2014-08-22	22	5th	6 16 24 38 40
2014-07-31	15	4th	8 12 22 40 41
2014-07-16	7	5th	3 8 20 36 40
2014-07-09	20	5th	11 14 15 31 40
2014-06-19	33	5th	16 23 27 34 40
2014-05-17	3	5th	11 15 23 37 40
2014-05-14	16	5th	18 26 35 38 40
2014-04-28	5	4th	14 32 33 40 41
2014-04-23	7	5th	7 8 23 32 40
2014-04-16	—	5th	9 14 27 32 40