Number 4

In Cash 5 under the 5/41 · Apr 2014 – Jun 2017 rules — 1,156 draws, 5 from 1–41 (an earlier era).

141times drawn · chance expected 141 +0.00σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

8.2average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

50longest completed wait · 21% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 141 times in 1,156 draws against 141.0 expected, +0.00σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 141 times in 1,156 draws · average wait 8.2 draws · longest completed wait 50 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest92 · chance 101.9
2nd smallest44 · chance 36.0
3rd smallest5 · chance 3.1
4th smallest0 · chance 0.1
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 14.1 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

3 22 10 33 39 29

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2017-06-17	3	2nd	3 4 5 28 41
2017-06-14	1	2nd	3 4 30 36 38
2017-06-13	14	2nd	3 4 22 31 39
2017-05-30	1	1st	4 14 26

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2017-01-25	9	1st	4 22 28 30 34
2017-01-16	3	1st	4 12 22 35 36
2017-01-13	14	3rd	1 2 4 14 25
2016-12-30	4	1st	4 11 20 35 36
2016-12-26	6	2nd	3 4 12 15 33
2016-12-20	7	1st	4 20 33 38 39
2016-12-13	1	1st	4 7 21 23 28
2016-12-12	3	1st	4 13 15 19 24
2016-12-09	3	1st	4 14 29 34 41
2016-12-06	4	1st	4 13 24 29 34
2016-12-02	16	1st	4 25 35 38 40
2016-11-16	1	1st	4 10 25 26 27
2016-11-15	5	1st	4 8 12 37 41
2016-11-10	16	1st	4 6 21 22 25
2016-10-25	2	2nd	1 4 24 28 39
2016-10-23	5	1st	4 10 15 18 40
2016-10-18	4	1st	4 5 10 32 40
2016-10-14	4	1st	4 17 27 39 40
2016-10-10	10	1st	4 17 28 31 34
2016-09-30	11	1st	4 10 22 29 33
2016-09-19	1	1st	4 22 23 27 28
2016-09-18	1	1st	4 5 22 24 33
2016-09-17	10	1st	4 29 35 38 39
2016-09-07	16	1st	4 8 13 34 40
2016-08-22	2	1st	4 15 24 26 33
2016-08-20	3	1st	4 11 15 22 26
2016-08-17	4	2nd	2 4 5 15 23
2016-08-13	3	1st	4 11 13 24 36
2016-08-10	10	2nd	3 4 18 25 31
2016-07-31	11	2nd	2 4 19 22 23
2016-07-20	16	1st	4 10 18 35 38
2016-07-04	10	1st	4 27 28 30 31
2016-06-24	18	1st	4 17 25 32 34
2016-06-06	5	1st	4 9 20 39 41
2016-06-01	8	2nd	3 4 9 15 29
2016-05-24	20	1st	4 14 15 18 26
2016-05-04	4	2nd	1 4 29 30 33
2016-04-30	6	1st	4 10 29 33 36
2016-04-24	19	2nd	1 4 11 19 29
2016-04-05	7	1st	4 7 20 34 39
2016-03-29	15	1st	4 22 34 36 39
2016-03-14	5	2nd	2 4 15 23 38
2016-03-09	14	2nd	2 4 12 19 33
2016-02-24	7	2nd	2 4 19 25 35
2016-02-17	10	2nd	3 4 8 25 33
2016-02-07	1	1st	4 26 34 36 40
2016-02-06	4	2nd	1 4 5 27 41
2016-02-02	33	3rd	1 3 4 13 36
2015-12-31	12	1st	4 5 8 26 34
2015-12-19	1	1st	4 14 18 25 26
2015-12-18	1	1st	4 5 8 10 26
2015-12-17	1	1st	4 14 21 29 39
2015-12-16	10	1st	4 16 23 24 26
2015-12-06	19	1st	4 14 17 22 29
2015-11-17	6	1st	4 26 36 37 40
2015-11-11	25	1st	4 5 8 16 17
2015-10-17	7	1st	4 14 21 31 39
2015-10-10	1	2nd	2 4 5 8 29
2015-10-09	2	2nd	2 4 10 14 33
2015-10-07	2	1st	4 27 30 38 41
2015-10-05	8	1st	4 17 22 29 40
2015-09-27	5	1st	4 7 13 18 35
2015-09-22	2	1st	4 10 14 21 30
2015-09-20	9	1st	4 9 13 23 27
2015-09-11	8	2nd	1 4 13 28 39
2015-09-03	16	3rd	1 2 4 30 33
2015-08-18	5	2nd	1 4 10 18 38
2015-08-13	9	2nd	1 4 17 29 36
2015-08-04	6	1st	4 8 12 29 30
2015-07-29	3	1st	4 6 7 15 31
2015-07-26	35	1st	4 14 23 33 38
2015-06-21	10	1st	4 16 32 39 40
2015-06-11	10	1st	4 5 10 25 40
2015-06-01	2	1st	4 15 21 26 41
2015-05-30	3	1st	4 6 13 25 26
2015-05-27	4	1st	4 10 13 16 22
2015-05-23	4	1st	4 16 19 31 39
2015-05-19	8	2nd	3 4 17 18 33
2015-05-11	1	1st	4 5 10 21 34
2015-05-10	8	3rd	1 2 4 36 39
2015-05-01	22	1st	4 20 28 32 41
2015-04-09	11	1st	4 5 15 22 29
2015-03-29	8	2nd	2 4 6 17 32
2015-03-21	32	1st	4 19 23 38 39
2015-02-17	15	2nd	3 4 11 20 41
2015-02-02	3	1st	4 31 35 37 39
2015-01-30	7	1st	4 5 16 17 33
2015-01-23	4	1st	4 8 20 34 40
2015-01-19	15	2nd	3 4 7 17 34
2015-01-04	2	3rd	2 3 4 15 28
2015-01-02	6	2nd	2 4 7 11 25
2014-12-27	4	2nd	1 4 13 22 36
2014-12-23	11	1st	4 22 23 26 32
2014-12-12	3	2nd	3 4 15 27 37
2014-12-09	5	2nd	2 4 6 30 36
2014-12-04	12	2nd	3 4 25 35 40
2014-11-22	6	1st	4 6 10 22 31
2014-11-16	13	1st	4 5 7 33 35
2014-11-03	2	2nd	2 4 14 18 37
2014-11-01	3	2nd	3 4 16 19 31
2014-10-29	2	1st	4 5 28 31 41
2014-10-27	3	1st	4 5 13 18 36
2014-10-24	4	1st	4 12 17 35 36
2014-10-20	2	1st	4 9 13 30 41
2014-10-18	5	1st	4 14 18 26 27
2014-10-13	6	2nd	3 4 6 19 35
2014-10-07	4	1st	4 18 22 27 32
2014-10-03	21	1st	4 10 22 24 27
2014-09-12	23	1st	4 17 21 28 37
2014-08-20	5	2nd	1 4 20 22 41
2014-08-15	2	1st	4 8 18 23 27
2014-08-13	3	2nd	3 4 15 32 39
2014-08-10	9	1st	4 24 29 30 39
2014-08-01	3	1st	4 13 18 21 30
2014-07-29	41	1st	4 13 18 19 28
2014-06-18	50	1st	4 6 19 22 26
2014-04-29	—	2nd	3 4 10 19 24