Number 2

In MultiMatch under the 6/43 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2022 rules — 1,318 draws, 6 from 1–43 (an earlier era).

197times drawn · chance expected 184 +1.04σ

14draws waiting · a wait this long: 14% for any number

6.6average wait between appearances · chance says 7.2

38longest completed wait · 53% chance of one at least that long

2 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 197 times in 1,318 draws against 183.9 expected, +1.04σ. Each draw is independent: after 14 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 2, draw by draw

Drawn 197 times in 1,318 draws · average wait 6.6 draws · longest completed wait 38 · waiting 14 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest178 · chance 173.5
2nd smallest19 · chance 23.5
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 23.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

16 30 12 20 32 22

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 42 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 43. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 2 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-10-03	1	1st	2 3 17 30 40 43
2022-09-29	3	1st	2 7 11 18 37 40
2022-09-19	1	1st	2 4 14 28 30 42

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 6/43 tonight whatever it did last week.

2020-12-17	9	1st	2 9 10 18 32 35
2020-11-16	3	1st	2 10 14 24 38 43
2020-11-05	2	2nd	1 2 14 31 34 36
2020-10-29	8	1st	2 25 29 33 37 40
2020-10-01	11	1st	2 5 10 19 21 36
2020-08-24	3	1st	2 8 18 19 23 32
2020-08-13	2	1st	2 6 24 26 27 33
2020-08-06	6	1st	2 6 8 21 25 33
2020-07-16	2	1st	2 21 23 28 40 41
2020-07-09	3	2nd	1 2 12 16 21 34
2020-06-29	9	2nd	1 2 3 12 32 40
2020-05-28	5	1st	2 3 9 17 30 41
2020-05-11	11	1st	2 26 38 39 40 42
2020-04-02	3	1st	2 4 14 18 22 28
2020-03-23	4	1st	2 4 17 21 24 35
2020-03-09	6	2nd	1 2 3 14 25 31
2020-02-17	9	2nd	1 2 15 18 30 39
2020-01-16	15	1st	2 3 8 30 38 42
2019-11-25	2	1st	2 3 12 16 19 25
2019-11-18	11	1st	2 8 14 15 18 26
2019-10-10	6	1st	2 4 6 17 40 42
2019-09-19	1	1st	2 14 17 22 39 43
2019-09-16	3	1st	2 6 9 22 34 37
2019-09-05	19	1st	2 3 12 20 21 28
2019-07-01	3	1st	2 12 16 30 38 42
2019-06-20	2	1st	2 9 19 32 38 40
2019-06-13	7	1st	2 4 9 33 34 39
2019-05-20	3	1st	2 8 20 32 35 43
2019-05-09	6	2nd	1 2 7 15 30 41
2019-04-18	7	1st	2 14 28 32 39 42
2019-03-25	10	1st	2 33 34 35 37 39
2019-02-18	3	1st	2 3 4 6 23 32
2019-02-07	1	1st	2 3 4 5 18 38
2019-02-04	3	1st	2 4 5 14 15 39
2019-01-24	5	1st	2 9 11 16 22 30
2019-01-07	3	1st	2 5 21 23 37 43
2018-12-27	5	1st	2 6 7 20 21 41
2018-12-10	8	1st	2 11 15 20 24 36
2018-11-12	1	1st	2 3 4 28 32 34
2018-11-08	3	1st	2 9 10 24 36 43
2018-10-29	23	1st	2 17 20 23 28 43
2018-08-09	3	1st	2 14 19 24 27 37
2018-07-30	10	2nd	1 2 10 13 16 20
2018-06-25	13	1st	2 16 21 23 26 30
2018-05-10	38	1st	2 15 22 23 27 35
2017-12-28	8	1st	2 4 15 31 36 38
2017-11-30	1	1st	2 11 25 29 37 42
2017-11-27	17	1st	2 3 5 16 20 42
2017-09-28	6	2nd	1 2 7 14 31 42
2017-09-07	3	1st	2 12 21 25 32 43
2017-08-28	1	2nd	1 2 24 28 41 42
2017-08-24	3	1st	2 12 13 26 34 35
2017-08-14	1	1st	2 20 31 35 37 39
2017-08-10	9	1st	2 12 16 17 19 20
2017-07-10	6	1st	2 15 16 35 37 38
2017-06-19	5	1st	2 8 13 29 32 39
2017-06-01	2	1st	2 12 22 25 30 39
2017-05-25	6	1st	2 5 18 30 32 43
2017-05-04	1	2nd	1 2 6 12 14 35
2017-05-01	2	1st	2 17 20 27 37 42
2017-04-24	20	1st	2 5 11 13 14 28
2017-02-13	21	1st	2 14 15 37 40 42
2016-12-01	20	1st	2 8 16 31 39 40
2016-09-22	9	1st	2 5 13 23 28 33
2016-08-22	6	1st	2 7 16 19 24 28
2016-08-01	1	2nd	1 2 3 9 38 41
2016-07-28	5	1st	2 11 16 29 32 41
2016-07-11	2	1st	2 9 14 16 20 38
2016-07-04	8	1st	2 4 16 21 27 34
2016-06-06	11	1st	2 5 11 15 17 42
2016-04-28	1	1st	2 5 7 19 23 31
2016-04-25	14	1st	2 4 12 31 36 43
2016-03-07	1	2nd	1 2 22 26 31 38
2016-03-03	1	1st	2 23 27 38 39 41
2016-02-29	7	1st	2 13 20 25 38 43
2016-02-04	11	1st	2 7 13 16 37 41
2015-12-28	6	1st	2 4 5 6 15 40
2015-12-07	5	1st	2 18 21 33 38 42
2015-11-19	7	1st	2 13 15 17 26 27
2015-10-26	2	1st	2 8 9 22 30 31
2015-10-19	9	2nd	1 2 5 13 33 42
2015-09-17	2	1st	2 9 10 22 32 42
2015-09-10	5	1st	2 12 13 19 26 37
2015-08-24	6	1st	2 10 11 16 22 35
2015-08-03	6	1st	2 10 22 28 33 36
2015-07-13	25	1st	2 4 16 20 30 43
2015-04-16	5	1st	2 5 10 22 25 32
2015-03-30	12	1st	2 4 5 7 16 26
2015-02-16	2	1st	2 3 17 20 25 32
2015-02-09	1	1st	2 3 4 7 17 19
2015-02-05	2	1st	2 22 28 30 31 43
2015-01-29	10	1st	2 13 17 20 41 43
2014-12-25	3	1st	2 6 13 18 23 24
2014-12-15	1	1st	2 5 8 10 21 32
2014-12-11	2	1st	2 10 14 32 33 36
2014-12-04	3	1st	2 7 19 32 37 40
2014-11-24	12	1st	2 8 16 18 31 41
2014-10-13	7	1st	2 16 23 31 36 40
2014-09-18	2	1st	2 6 20 28 34 38
2014-09-11	7	2nd	1 2 7 25 26 40
2014-08-18	6	1st	2 8 16 17 24 41
2014-07-28	7	1st	2 7 12 17 26 40
2014-07-03	4	1st	2 11 17 29 30 39
2014-06-19	7	1st	2 7 8 22 36 39
2014-05-26	20	1st	2 8 12 16 29 30
2014-03-17	8	1st	2 3 4 33 38 40
2014-02-17	4	1st	2 4 6 9 28 32
2014-02-03	2	1st	2 5 12 13 37 43
2014-01-27	14	1st	2 4 5 8 12 36
2013-12-09	2	1st	2 6 13 16 29 36
2013-12-02	19	1st	2 16 19 28 34 42
2013-09-26	7	1st	2 9 16 30 31 33
2013-09-02	5	1st	2 11 18 31 36 41
2013-08-15	1	1st	2 7 12 20 24 36
2013-08-12	4	1st	2 16 20 36 38 40
2013-07-29	2	2nd	1 2 6 9 21 31
2013-07-22	1	1st	2 3 17 25 28 32
2013-07-18	1	1st	2 5 12 18 28 41
2013-07-15	8	1st	2 6 7 29 33 43
2013-06-17	4	1st	2 8 30 31 33 42
2013-06-03	11	1st	2 9 21 24 30 38
2013-04-25	6	1st	2 8 11 13 20 28
2013-04-04	7	1st	2 16 22 27 30 34
2013-03-11	1	1st	2 28 29 31 34 35
2013-03-07	5	1st	2 11 15 25 33 35
2013-02-18	8	1st	2 12 15 29 38 41
2013-01-21	5	2nd	1 2 13 22 37 43
2013-01-03	3	1st	2 3 17 18 24 37
2012-12-24	2	1st	2 20 22 38 40 43
2012-12-17	1	1st	2 5 7 8 19 21
2012-12-13	4	2nd	1 2 9 16 35 42
2012-11-29	28	1st	2 20 28 30 32 37
2012-08-23	9	1st	2 8 25 30 33 34
2012-07-23	19	1st	2 6 12 19 20 33
2012-05-17	2	1st	2 15 22 26 31 33
2012-05-10	4	1st	2 6 9 15 20 40
2012-04-26	1	1st	2 12 15 27 28 39
2012-04-23	1	1st	2 10 14 16 20 26
2012-04-19	3	1st	2 7 11 19 22 32
2012-04-09	10	1st	2 6 8 16 36 39
2012-03-05	10	1st	2 6 13 20 26 41
2012-01-26	4	1st	2 7 13 34 35 36
2012-01-12	3	1st	2 8 14 30 36 41
2012-01-02	10	1st	2 4 17 20 31 35
2011-11-28	3	1st	2 11 22 32 35 41
2011-11-17	6	1st	2 6 22 29 31 32
2011-10-27	2	1st	2 7 9 11 12 43
2011-10-20	12	1st	2 7 8 11 27 33
2011-09-08	3	1st	2 16 24 33 35 43
2011-08-29	2	1st	2 10 14 16 22 43
2011-08-22	3	1st	2 12 23 34 39 40
2011-08-11	8	1st	2 10 19 27 30 32
2011-07-14	1	1st	2 18 20 29 32 40
2011-07-11	20	1st	2 4 7 31 32 41
2011-05-02	6	1st	2 13 19 28 32 37
2011-04-11	1	1st	2 24 28 34 36 41
2011-04-07	2	2nd	1 2 28 33 37 40
2011-03-31	3	1st	2 6 13 26 36 43
2011-03-21	1	1st	2 14 16 17 20 41
2011-03-17	32	1st	2 5 19 21 36 39
2010-11-25	3	2nd	1 2 12 15 17 23
2010-11-15	1	1st	2 7 21 30 37 43
2010-11-11	1	1st	2 19 21 27 30 38
2010-11-08	12	1st	2 5 9 17 31 40
2010-09-27	2	1st	2 5 6 8 33 40
2010-09-20	1	1st	2 16 31 34 37 42
2010-09-16	5	1st	2 3 4 6 22 41
2010-08-30	13	1st	2 5 10 13 19 24
2010-07-15	1	1st	2 11 17 29 33 34
2010-07-12	8	1st	2 12 15 19 23 39
2010-06-14	9	1st	2 6 14 18 22 36
2010-05-13	10	1st	2 3 12 13 14 41
2010-04-08	—	1st	2 19 25 30 31 33