Number 5

In MultiMatch under the 6/43 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2022 rules — 1,318 draws, 6 from 1–43 (an earlier era).

160times drawn · chance expected 184 −1.90σ

3draws waiting · a wait this long: 74% for any number

8.2average wait between appearances · chance says 7.2

38longest completed wait · 46% chance of one at least that long

5 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 160 times in 1,318 draws against 183.9 expected, −1.90σ. Each draw is independent: after 3 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 5, draw by draw

Drawn 160 times in 1,318 draws · average wait 8.2 draws · longest completed wait 38 · waiting 3 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest75 · chance 94.4
2nd smallest76 · chance 55.5
3rd smallest8 · chance 9.5
4th smallest1 · chance 0.5
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 19.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

15 3 42 2 4 11

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 42 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 43. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 5 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-11-10	13	2nd	1 5 10 24 34 38
2022-09-26	5	2nd	3 5 7 21 26 37
2022-09-08	11	2nd	3 5 26 27 29 36

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 6/43 tonight whatever it did last week.

2020-09-28	12	1st	5 15 23 28 32 42
2020-08-17	13	2nd	1 5 9 18 21 22
2020-07-02	3	1st	5 16 22 39 40 41
2020-06-22	3	1st	5 10 11 22 23 30
2020-06-11	6	2nd	3 5 22 29 36 43
2020-05-21	2	2nd	1 5 11 13 33 36
2020-05-14	9	1st	5 15 21 26 31 38
2020-04-13	28	2nd	4 5 10 12 15 27
2020-01-06	7	1st	5 15 17 25 32 39
2019-12-12	38	1st	5 8 9 16 26 35
2019-08-01	8	2nd	4 5 6 19 29 42
2019-07-04	12	2nd	3 5 7 11 18 43
2019-05-23	2	1st	5 18 34 35 40 41
2019-05-16	28	1st	5 17 22 25 32 36
2019-02-07	1	4th	2 3 4 5 18 38
2019-02-04	8	3rd	2 4 5 14 15 39
2019-01-07	4	2nd	2 5 21 23 37 43
2018-12-24	8	1st	5 8 13 16 23 40
2018-11-26	11	1st	5 9 18 19 28 34
2018-10-18	3	1st	5 9 18 20 30 32
2018-10-08	7	1st	5 27 31 34 41 43
2018-09-13	3	1st	5 9 18 20 21 43
2018-09-03	5	1st	5 6 18 25 28 39
2018-08-16	4	1st	5 12 20 26 29 42
2018-08-02	3	2nd	3 5 11 16 27 30
2018-07-23	13	2nd	3 5 8 16 20 23
2018-06-07	7	1st	5 11 22 25 30 41
2018-05-14	6	2nd	1 5 7 15 22 33
2018-04-23	9	2nd	3 5 8 11 24 32
2018-03-22	11	2nd	4 5 17 20 41 42
2018-02-12	6	2nd	3 5 15 18 38 42
2018-01-22	5	2nd	3 5 21 29 40 42
2018-01-04	11	2nd	4 5 7 8 12 24
2017-11-27	9	3rd	2 3 5 16 20 42
2017-10-26	3	2nd	1 5 18 27 38 41
2017-10-16	1	1st	5 17 23 29 36 39
2017-10-12	28	1st	5 9 11 26 38 39
2017-07-06	9	1st	5 9 16 20 22 38
2017-06-05	2	2nd	4 5 9 17 22 41
2017-05-29	1	2nd	3 5 17 22 26 28
2017-05-25	1	2nd	2 5 18 30 32 43
2017-05-22	4	2nd	1 5 15 20 33 37
2017-05-08	4	3rd	1 4 5 16 20 24
2017-04-24	16	2nd	2 5 11 13 14 28
2017-02-27	2	2nd	3 5 8 23 30 40
2017-02-20	5	2nd	4 5 15 17 23 31
2017-02-02	11	1st	5 10 15 32 37 39
2016-12-26	27	2nd	1 5 11 13 29 41
2016-09-22	14	2nd	2 5 13 23 28 33
2016-08-04	17	1st	5 6 7 15 30 31
2016-06-06	1	2nd	2 5 11 15 17 42
2016-06-02	5	1st	5 14 21 22 28 40
2016-05-16	5	1st	5 7 12 16 21 33
2016-04-28	6	2nd	2 5 7 19 23 31
2016-04-07	23	1st	5 11 16 19 24 27
2016-01-18	5	2nd	1 5 7 11 14 21
2015-12-31	1	1st	5 18 26 36 40 42
2015-12-28	2	3rd	2 4 5 6 15 40
2015-12-21	7	1st	5 15 17 25 27 37
2015-11-26	11	2nd	4 5 16 31 35 37
2015-10-19	8	3rd	1 2 5 13 33 42
2015-09-21	4	1st	5 19 32 36 39 40
2015-09-07	8	1st	5 6 13 22 35 38
2015-08-10	9	1st	5 27 30 32 37 42
2015-07-09	3	1st	5 7 21 28 36 38
2015-06-29	2	2nd	1 5 11 15 17 26
2015-06-22	7	2nd	3 5 7 16 18 21
2015-05-28	4	1st	5 10 12 14 28 33
2015-05-14	3	1st	5 13 23 28 32 42
2015-05-04	4	1st	5 19 25 30 41 43
2015-04-20	1	1st	5 15 16 18 40 42
2015-04-16	1	2nd	2 5 10 22 25 32
2015-04-13	4	2nd	1 5 15 22 27 31
2015-03-30	11	3rd	2 4 5 7 16 26
2015-02-19	9	1st	5 8 15 18 29 38
2015-01-19	6	1st	5 10 21 24 41 42
2014-12-29	4	1st	5 12 15 28 34 41
2014-12-15	5	2nd	2 5 8 10 21 32
2014-11-27	12	1st	5 6 7 20 24 31
2014-10-16	2	2nd	4 5 17 18 32 37
2014-10-09	20	1st	5 7 9 10 32 34
2014-07-31	4	2nd	4 5 20 25 33 39
2014-07-17	6	2nd	3 5 11 22 26 35
2014-06-26	12	1st	5 7 10 12 14 41
2014-05-15	2	1st	5 15 23 29 37 42
2014-05-08	3	1st	5 10 16 23 31 34
2014-04-28	24	1st	5 10 20 28 38 39
2014-02-03	2	2nd	2 5 12 13 37 43
2014-01-27	7	3rd	2 4 5 8 12 36
2014-01-02	3	1st	5 8 9 11 13 16
2013-12-23	28	2nd	4 5 9 15 22 26
2013-09-16	5	2nd	4 5 15 16 18 22
2013-08-29	12	1st	5 11 14 15 25 38
2013-07-18	3	2nd	2 5 12 18 28 41
2013-07-08	14	2nd	3 5 11 12 15 19
2013-05-20	16	3rd	1 3 5 13 28 31
2013-03-25	7	2nd	4 5 15 18 25 26
2013-02-28	4	1st	5 9 14 19 21 43
2013-02-14	5	1st	5 23 25 28 31 35
2013-01-28	1	2nd	3 5 10 24 25 32
2013-01-24	4	1st	5 6 28 32 33 43
2013-01-10	7	1st	5 12 17 32 39 41
2012-12-17	3	2nd	2 5 7 8 19 21
2012-12-06	1	2nd	4 5 18 28 36 41
2012-12-03	9	2nd	3 5 13 26 28 39
2012-11-01	11	2nd	3 5 7 41 42 43
2012-09-24	7	2nd	3 5 7 16 29 43
2012-08-30	10	1st	5 17 19 22 29 42
2012-07-26	13	1st	5 16 17 18 19 29
2012-06-11	16	2nd	3 5 8 20 28 29
2012-04-16	6	2nd	1 5 11 13 14 19
2012-03-26	7	1st	5 19 28 31 33 39
2012-03-01	4	1st	5 7 10 14 15 30
2012-02-13	8	2nd	1 5 9 36 37 38
2012-01-16	6	1st	5 11 30 34 35 43
2011-12-26	1	1st	5 7 20 32 37 39
2011-12-22	19	1st	5 12 32 36 37 39
2011-10-17	1	2nd	4 5 8 18 30 38
2011-10-13	1	2nd	4 5 6 12 24 30
2011-10-10	20	1st	5 28 34 35 36 40
2011-08-01	10	1st	5 8 9 24 27 43
2011-06-27	1	1st	5 6 7 9 19 34
2011-06-23	28	2nd	4 5 13 22 32 40
2011-03-17	14	2nd	2 5 19 21 36 39
2011-01-27	17	2nd	1 5 17 25 26 33
2010-11-29	6	1st	5 6 8 15 26 29
2010-11-08	12	2nd	2 5 9 17 31 40
2010-09-27	4	2nd	2 5 6 8 33 40
2010-09-13	3	1st	5 6 11 14 28 36
2010-09-02	1	2nd	1 5 15 21 34 42
2010-08-30	5	2nd	2 5 10 13 19 24
2010-08-12	6	1st	5 17 20 26 38 39
2010-07-22	12	1st	5 11 15 17 21 32
2010-06-10	1	2nd	3 5 9 25 31 32
2010-06-07	10	1st	5 8 14 22 24 30
2010-05-03	—	1st	5 6 17 25 33 39