Number 14

In MultiMatch under the 6/43 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2022 rules — 1,318 draws, 6 from 1–43 (an earlier era).

198times drawn · chance expected 184 +1.12σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 55% for any number

6.6average wait between appearances · chance says 7.2

38longest completed wait · 53% chance of one at least that long

14 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 198 times in 1,318 draws against 183.9 expected, +1.12σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 14, draw by draw

Drawn 198 times in 1,318 draws · average wait 6.6 draws · longest completed wait 38 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 14 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest30 · chance 27.6
2nd smallest71 · chance 71.9
3rd smallest71 · chance 66.3
4th smallest16 · chance 27.0
5th smallest10 · chance 4.8
6th smallest0 · chance 0.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 23.6 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

31 21 33 36 10 11

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 42 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 14 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 43. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 14 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-11-03	2	2nd	1 14 22 23 31 43
2022-10-27	2	2nd	10 14 22 25 39 40
2022-10-20	1	3rd	1 9 14 21 24 34

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 14 is drawn with probability 6/43 tonight whatever it did last week.

2021-05-17	1	4th	1 4 11 14 24 42
2021-05-13	4	3rd	3 10 14 28 33 36
2021-04-29	20	2nd	3 14 23 31 35 39
2021-02-18	4	3rd	2 7 14 21 30 37
2021-02-04	12	3rd	1 3 14 20 25 39
2020-12-24	3	3rd	10 13 14 19 21 41
2020-12-14	1	3rd	8 12 14 19 21 43
2020-12-10	5	1st	14 17 21 31 33 41
2020-11-23	1	2nd	7 14 35 36 39 41
2020-11-19	1	2nd	12 14 20 21 28 31
2020-11-16	3	3rd	2 10 14 24 38 43
2020-11-05	1	3rd	1 2 14 31 34 36
2020-11-02	8	2nd	8 14 26 27 32 37
2020-10-05	18	2nd	5 14 19 27 36 37
2020-08-03	1	1st	14 19 21 34 36 42
2020-07-30	17	3rd	6 13 14 21 31 33
2020-06-01	11	3rd	6 11 14 36 38 39
2020-04-23	1	3rd	1 9 14 21 30 37
2020-04-20	4	2nd	9 14 32 34 35 37
2020-04-06	1	2nd	6 14 15 18 25 30
2020-04-02	7	3rd	2 4 14 18 22 28
2020-03-09	12	4th	1 2 3 14 25 31
2020-01-27	4	2nd	11 14 15 25 33 38
2020-01-13	10	3rd	9 10 14 21 28 33
2019-12-09	3	2nd	4 14 15 29 34 38
2019-11-28	2	1st	14 16 29 31 35 40
2019-11-21	1	2nd	8 14 16 21 27 33
2019-11-18	9	3rd	2 8 14 15 18 26
2019-10-17	6	2nd	11 14 16 19 21 26
2019-09-26	2	3rd	1 6 14 17 19 33
2019-09-19	7	2nd	2 14 17 22 39 43
2019-08-26	4	2nd	11 14 17 36 37 39
2019-08-12	30	2nd	9 14 16 19 33 35
2019-04-29	3	2nd	6 14 19 34 36 43
2019-04-18	2	2nd	2 14 28 32 39 42
2019-04-11	3	3rd	9 13 14 19 38 42
2019-04-01	14	1st	14 16 17 27 38 43
2019-02-11	2	3rd	8 11 14 18 24 35
2019-02-04	2	4th	2 4 5 14 15 39
2019-01-28	37	2nd	1 14 17 24 25 35
2018-09-20	7	3rd	1 7 14 15 22 38
2018-08-27	1	3rd	9 12 14 25 29 31
2018-08-23	3	2nd	8 14 15 18 38 41
2018-08-13	1	3rd	8 12 14 17 22 29
2018-08-09	8	2nd	2 14 19 24 27 37
2018-07-12	8	4th	7 10 11 14 19 30
2018-06-14	6	3rd	1 11 14 19 38 39
2018-05-24	10	5th	4 6 7 13 14 20
2018-04-19	2	2nd	12 14 15 31 34 39
2018-04-12	4	4th	3 9 10 14 22 41
2018-03-29	25	3rd	3 7 14 18 22 27
2018-01-01	13	1st	14 15 17 23 40 43
2017-11-16	14	2nd	1 14 22 25 32 38
2017-09-28	4	4th	1 2 7 14 31 42
2017-09-14	3	2nd	12 14 18 23 24 28
2017-09-04	10	1st	14 32 33 34 35 41
2017-07-31	5	4th	4 6 10 14 27 43
2017-07-13	3	2nd	12 14 21 22 27 28
2017-07-03	17	3rd	7 12 14 17 32 33
2017-05-04	3	5th	1 2 6 12 14 35
2017-04-24	2	5th	2 5 11 13 14 28
2017-04-17	7	2nd	10 14 16 26 36 39
2017-03-23	11	2nd	6 14 19 22 23 27
2017-02-13	13	2nd	2 14 15 37 40 42
2016-12-29	5	5th	1 4 7 12 14 17
2016-12-12	11	2nd	13 14 23 31 36 37
2016-11-03	8	1st	14 17 21 22 38 42
2016-10-06	2	1st	14 19 28 35 39 40
2016-09-29	4	3rd	6 9 14 23 30 32
2016-09-15	2	3rd	1 7 14 18 26 37
2016-09-08	2	3rd	8 12 14 33 36 41
2016-09-01	11	3rd	7 11 14 17 34 41
2016-07-25	4	2nd	10 14 17 23 28 43
2016-07-11	11	3rd	2 9 14 16 20 38
2016-06-02	1	2nd	5 14 21 22 28 40
2016-05-30	8	3rd	4 11 14 29 33 36
2016-05-02	5	3rd	4 6 14 31 34 41
2016-04-14	10	2nd	4 14 18 24 33 37
2016-03-10	15	3rd	6 10 14 16 18 37
2016-01-18	7	5th	1 5 7 11 14 21
2015-12-24	3	3rd	7 9 14 19 21 25
2015-12-14	6	2nd	12 14 21 22 25 41
2015-11-23	2	3rd	7 11 14 25 27 42
2015-11-16	1	3rd	1 7 14 15 23 30
2015-11-12	10	3rd	1 7 14 17 32 38
2015-10-08	1	4th	7 11 12 14 36 41
2015-10-05	3	2nd	12 14 25 30 34 43
2015-09-24	3	2nd	7 14 23 28 31 39
2015-09-14	8	2nd	4 14 17 24 35 36
2015-08-17	1	3rd	3 10 14 18 24 25
2015-08-13	2	2nd	1 14 15 16 23 41
2015-08-06	9	2nd	10 14 16 33 38 40
2015-07-06	11	1st	14 28 32 36 38 41
2015-05-28	8	4th	5 10 12 14 28 33
2015-04-30	11	3rd	1 3 14 28 31 37
2015-03-23	22	3rd	6 8 14 24 34 41
2015-01-05	4	2nd	9 14 16 17 22 23
2014-12-22	3	2nd	11 14 16 17 36 39
2014-12-11	8	3rd	2 10 14 32 33 36
2014-11-13	5	1st	14 24 30 31 34 35
2014-10-27	12	4th	3 9 13 14 33 41
2014-09-15	7	2nd	4 14 23 31 34 43
2014-08-21	3	3rd	8 12 14 24 33 36
2014-08-11	2	2nd	11 14 16 21 30 34
2014-08-04	3	1st	14 16 19 23 31 35
2014-07-24	8	3rd	1 11 14 19 25 42
2014-06-26	5	5th	5 7 10 12 14 41
2014-06-09	6	4th	8 11 13 14 15 24
2014-05-19	4	4th	6 11 13 14 22 39
2014-05-05	3	1st	14 21 28 32 40 41
2014-04-24	12	3rd	3 4 14 21 25 29
2014-03-13	1	1st	14 16 21 23 31 34
2014-03-10	3	1st	14 16 25 27 36 37
2014-02-27	2	3rd	1 7 14 28 37 38
2014-02-20	2	4th	4 9 11 14 34 38
2014-02-13	9	2nd	1 14 15 16 31 34
2014-01-13	18	3rd	6 9 14 21 22 24
2013-11-11	11	1st	14 21 30 32 33 39
2013-10-03	1	2nd	8 14 22 24 33 34
2013-09-30	5	2nd	3 14 21 23 25 41
2013-09-12	2	1st	14 22 31 36 42 43
2013-09-05	2	2nd	9 14 21 29 31 39
2013-08-29	10	3rd	5 11 14 15 25 38
2013-07-25	23	1st	14 20 31 33 38 41
2013-05-06	5	3rd	10 12 14 15 31 40
2013-04-18	2	1st	14 23 28 36 37 41
2013-04-11	1	2nd	12 14 18 28 38 41
2013-04-08	11	3rd	6 7 14 18 26 29
2013-02-28	1	3rd	5 9 14 19 21 43
2013-02-25	14	2nd	8 14 20 23 30 38
2013-01-07	14	1st	14 30 34 36 39 40
2012-11-19	11	1st	14 16 26 33 39 41
2012-10-11	6	2nd	8 14 15 27 39 42
2012-09-20	1	3rd	3 10 14 27 30 38
2012-09-17	21	3rd	7 9 14 19 23 30
2012-07-05	1	1st	14 18 31 40 42 43
2012-07-02	8	2nd	10 14 22 37 42 43
2012-06-04	10	2nd	10 14 15 16 31 37
2012-04-30	2	2nd	8 14 16 24 25 31
2012-04-23	2	3rd	2 10 14 16 20 26
2012-04-16	5	5th	1 5 11 13 14 19
2012-03-29	2	1st	14 15 16 19 28 43
2012-03-22	1	1st	14 17 23 24 32 39
2012-03-19	5	1st	14 16 25 31 32 42
2012-03-01	13	4th	5 7 10 14 15 30
2012-01-12	4	3rd	2 8 14 30 36 41
2011-12-29	5	2nd	8 14 29 33 35 43
2011-12-12	8	3rd	8 10 14 23 25 40
2011-11-14	21	3rd	3 10 14 15 17 43
2011-09-01	1	2nd	12 14 27 29 38 40
2011-08-29	9	3rd	2 10 14 16 22 43
2011-07-28	8	2nd	11 14 15 27 36 43
2011-06-30	4	2nd	3 14 22 29 36 38
2011-06-16	3	2nd	10 14 15 19 26 39
2011-06-06	4	2nd	6 14 17 21 23 24
2011-05-23	14	3rd	4 13 14 19 20 25
2011-04-04	2	2nd	8 14 17 32 34 42
2011-03-28	2	3rd	3 11 14 26 28 43
2011-03-21	4	2nd	2 14 16 17 20 41
2011-03-07	8	3rd	3 8 14 17 23 34
2011-02-07	4	2nd	6 14 26 27 31 32
2011-01-24	38	3rd	3 11 14 33 42 43
2010-09-13	5	4th	5 6 11 14 28 36
2010-08-26	1	2nd	10 14 17 26 33 35
2010-08-23	4	2nd	10 14 17 26 33 35
2010-08-09	2	1st	14 17 30 31 39 41
2010-08-02	1	2nd	13 14 26 33 34 37
2010-07-29	10	1st	14 16 17 19 22 27
2010-06-24	1	2nd	4 14 27 31 35 42
2010-06-21	2	1st	14 25 27 28 31 37
2010-06-14	2	3rd	2 6 14 18 22 36
2010-06-07	7	3rd	5 8 14 22 24 30
2010-05-13	9	5th	2 3 12 13 14 41
2010-04-12	—	3rd	12 13 14 16 21 36