Number 1

In MultiMatch under the 6/43 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2022 rules — 1,318 draws, 6 from 1–43 (an earlier era).

199times drawn · chance expected 184 +1.20σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 86% for any number

6.6average wait between appearances · chance says 7.2

38longest completed wait · 53% chance of one at least that long

1 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 199 times in 1,318 draws against 183.9 expected, +1.20σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 1, draw by draw

Drawn 199 times in 1,318 draws · average wait 6.6 draws · longest completed wait 38 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest199 · chance 199.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 23.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

34 11 3 13 14 15

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 42 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 43. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 1 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-11-14	1	1st	1 7 11 20 21 26
2022-11-10	1	1st	1 5 10 24 34 38
2022-11-07	1	1st	1 11 12 20 23 32

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 6/43 tonight whatever it did last week.

2021-05-17	2	1st	1 4 11 14 24 42
2021-05-10	12	1st	1 3 11 13 19 37
2021-03-29	2	1st	1 11 12 13 32 36
2021-03-22	8	1st	1 10 18 29 32 41
2021-02-22	3	1st	1 9 10 17 35 39
2021-02-11	2	1st	1 7 18 33 34 37
2021-02-04	1	1st	1 3 14 20 25 39
2021-02-01	1	1st	1 12 15 16 19 40
2021-01-28	8	1st	1 7 13 23 39 43
2020-12-31	10	1st	1 5 6 8 30 35
2020-11-26	6	1st	1 9 13 19 20 32
2020-11-05	5	1st	1 2 14 31 34 36
2020-10-19	7	1st	1 16 23 35 39 42
2020-09-24	7	1st	1 3 13 17 34 36
2020-08-31	3	1st	1 15 21 29 34 41
2020-08-20	1	1st	1 3 4 24 33 40
2020-08-17	11	1st	1 5 9 18 21 22
2020-07-09	3	1st	1 2 12 16 21 34
2020-06-29	4	1st	1 2 3 12 32 40
2020-06-15	2	1st	1 7 25 35 41 43
2020-06-08	5	1st	1 9 19 25 26 40
2020-05-21	5	1st	1 5 11 13 33 36
2020-05-04	3	1st	1 17 27 32 33 38
2020-04-23	7	1st	1 9 14 21 30 37
2020-03-30	6	1st	1 11 28 29 30 36
2020-03-09	1	1st	1 2 3 14 25 31
2020-03-05	5	1st	1 3 17 28 35 43
2020-02-17	5	1st	1 2 15 18 30 39
2020-01-30	3	1st	1 3 20 30 34 42
2020-01-20	3	1st	1 9 16 23 35 43
2020-01-09	5	1st	1 4 8 10 22 26
2019-12-23	1	1st	1 11 12 18 26 28
2019-12-19	4	1st	1 3 13 27 36 42
2019-12-05	20	1st	1 8 11 23 24 31
2019-09-26	4	1st	1 6 14 17 19 33
2019-09-12	1	1st	1 18 20 23 33 42
2019-09-09	3	1st	1 3 7 9 36 41
2019-08-29	11	1st	1 8 12 20 25 28
2019-07-22	8	1st	1 8 17 19 32 38
2019-06-24	12	1st	1 7 23 25 26 29
2019-05-13	1	1st	1 10 12 15 36 41
2019-05-09	1	1st	1 2 7 15 30 41
2019-05-06	1	1st	1 6 11 27 34 36
2019-05-02	19	1st	1 10 13 24 32 42
2019-02-25	8	1st	1 3 8 10 22 40
2019-01-28	2	1st	1 14 17 24 25 35
2019-01-21	5	1st	1 11 12 26 29 39
2019-01-03	27	1st	1 8 12 19 26 30
2018-10-01	3	1st	1 9 15 24 36 43
2018-09-20	1	1st	1 7 14 15 22 38
2018-09-17	14	1st	1 20 22 26 36 42
2018-07-30	13	1st	1 2 10 13 16 20
2018-06-14	9	1st	1 11 14 19 38 39
2018-05-14	12	1st	1 5 7 15 22 33
2018-04-02	4	1st	1 19 27 30 32 34
2018-03-19	3	1st	1 20 23 27 34 41
2018-03-08	1	1st	1 4 15 18 30 31
2018-03-05	20	1st	1 13 24 33 34 43
2017-12-25	11	1st	1 10 11 28 33 40
2017-11-16	4	1st	1 14 22 25 32 38
2017-11-02	2	1st	1 3 4 10 26 33
2017-10-26	6	1st	1 5 18 27 38 41
2017-10-05	1	1st	1 6 17 26 35 41
2017-10-02	1	1st	1 3 4 28 32 34
2017-09-28	2	1st	1 2 7 14 31 42
2017-09-21	1	1st	1 7 13 27 30 33
2017-09-18	6	1st	1 3 15 22 40 41
2017-08-28	2	1st	1 2 24 28 41 42
2017-08-21	9	1st	1 4 11 17 32 42
2017-07-20	7	1st	1 12 22 29 32 40
2017-06-26	4	1st	1 4 12 22 39 40
2017-06-12	6	1st	1 10 11 19 21 35
2017-05-22	3	1st	1 5 15 20 33 37
2017-05-11	1	1st	1 6 7 13 35 43
2017-05-08	1	1st	1 4 5 16 20 24
2017-05-04	2	1st	1 2 6 12 14 35
2017-04-27	4	1st	1 4 20 32 40 41
2017-04-13	10	1st	1 6 17 23 26 35
2017-03-09	2	1st	1 9 20 27 34 42
2017-03-02	17	1st	1 4 23 33 37 38
2017-01-02	1	1st	1 17 20 21 30 38
2016-12-29	1	1st	1 4 7 12 14 17
2016-12-26	1	1st	1 5 11 13 29 41
2016-12-22	10	1st	1 8 13 15 21 30
2016-11-17	6	1st	1 3 6 7 30 37
2016-10-27	12	1st	1 16 18 26 41 42
2016-09-15	11	1st	1 7 14 18 26 37
2016-08-08	2	1st	1 9 13 21 26 39
2016-08-01	29	1st	1 2 3 9 38 41
2016-04-21	11	1st	1 3 26 32 35 36
2016-03-14	2	1st	1 15 20 25 28 38
2016-03-07	11	1st	1 2 22 26 31 38
2016-01-28	3	1st	1 10 18 28 31 35
2016-01-18	3	1st	1 5 7 11 14 21
2016-01-07	15	1st	1 3 4 7 11 16
2015-11-16	1	1st	1 7 14 15 23 30
2015-11-12	1	1st	1 7 14 17 32 38
2015-11-09	1	1st	1 3 23 31 39 42
2015-11-05	5	1st	1 11 24 32 33 37
2015-10-19	1	1st	1 2 5 13 33 42
2015-10-15	4	1st	1 4 8 23 34 37
2015-10-01	14	1st	1 4 21 34 37 41
2015-08-13	6	1st	1 14 15 16 23 41
2015-07-23	1	1st	1 4 6 28 41 42
2015-07-20	6	1st	1 4 6 12 18 36
2015-06-29	7	1st	1 5 11 15 17 26
2015-06-04	8	1st	1 9 16 24 27 35
2015-05-07	2	1st	1 21 23 35 38 42
2015-04-30	2	1st	1 3 14 28 31 37
2015-04-23	3	1st	1 4 8 20 21 35
2015-04-13	20	1st	1 5 15 22 27 31
2015-02-02	7	1st	1 29 31 33 37 41
2015-01-08	9	1st	1 4 9 32 39 40
2014-12-08	6	1st	1 15 16 20 22 37
2014-11-17	2	1st	1 15 18 23 28 41
2014-11-10	12	1st	1 6 12 23 28 40
2014-09-29	5	1st	1 3 19 20 29 40
2014-09-11	14	1st	1 2 7 25 26 40
2014-07-24	1	1st	1 11 14 19 25 42
2014-07-21	8	1st	1 3 20 24 30 31
2014-06-23	5	1st	1 7 19 28 35 40
2014-06-05	2	1st	1 6 31 33 38 41
2014-05-29	8	1st	1 7 8 15 16 30
2014-05-01	5	1st	1 9 17 23 26 39
2014-04-14	6	1st	1 3 16 22 32 38
2014-03-24	6	1st	1 10 13 16 37 38
2014-03-03	1	1st	1 6 17 25 29 43
2014-02-27	4	1st	1 7 14 28 37 38
2014-02-13	16	1st	1 14 15 16 31 34
2013-12-19	17	1st	1 6 30 35 40 41
2013-10-21	9	1st	1 4 20 34 35 36
2013-09-19	3	1st	1 4 6 16 36 37
2013-09-09	12	1st	1 6 27 31 33 42
2013-07-29	19	1st	1 2 6 9 21 31
2013-05-23	1	1st	1 3 13 20 21 39
2013-05-20	6	1st	1 3 5 13 28 31
2013-04-29	4	1st	1 11 12 21 25 34
2013-04-15	5	1st	1 9 17 22 40 41
2013-03-28	3	1st	1 6 24 34 36 39
2013-03-18	1	1st	1 11 17 28 32 42
2013-03-14	15	1st	1 11 32 34 37 40
2013-01-21	11	1st	1 2 13 22 37 43
2012-12-13	6	1st	1 2 9 16 35 42
2012-11-22	5	1st	1 8 11 17 21 28
2012-11-05	2	1st	1 8 15 24 25 33
2012-10-29	8	1st	1 23 25 26 34 37
2012-10-01	7	1st	1 9 28 35 39 43
2012-09-06	6	1st	1 21 28 32 35 38
2012-08-16	2	1st	1 6 19 29 41 43
2012-08-09	33	1st	1 4 10 17 19 40
2012-04-16	9	1st	1 5 11 13 14 19
2012-03-15	8	1st	1 18 20 28 32 34
2012-02-13	28	1st	1 5 9 36 37 38
2011-11-07	9	1st	1 8 13 16 31 33
2011-10-06	18	1st	1 9 16 20 28 31
2011-08-04	3	1st	1 23 25 29 30 40
2011-07-25	1	1st	1 6 8 16 27 34
2011-07-21	9	1st	1 17 21 24 31 39
2011-06-20	10	1st	1 18 22 24 32 39
2011-05-16	1	1st	1 8 10 39 40 43
2011-05-12	7	1st	1 24 30 31 34 36
2011-04-18	3	1st	1 4 11 16 19 34
2011-04-07	4	1st	1 2 28 33 37 40
2011-03-24	4	1st	1 7 8 11 18 34
2011-03-10	11	1st	1 4 26 38 39 43
2011-01-31	1	1st	1 24 29 34 37 43
2011-01-27	2	1st	1 5 17 25 26 33
2011-01-20	9	1st	1 4 15 29 31 42
2010-12-20	1	1st	1 6 10 22 28 29
2010-12-16	6	1st	1 3 17 24 34 43
2010-11-25	8	1st	1 2 12 15 17 23
2010-10-28	16	1st	1 7 15 29 31 41
2010-09-02	38	1st	1 5 15 21 34 42
2010-04-22	2	1st	1 3 9 19 28 30
2010-04-15	—	1st	1 26 31 32 35 42