Number 40

In MultiMatch under the 6/43 · Apr 2010 – Nov 2022 rules — 1,318 draws, 6 from 1–43 (an earlier era).

193times drawn · chance expected 184 +0.72σ

7draws waiting · a wait this long: 41% for any number

6.8average wait between appearances · chance says 7.2

35longest completed wait · 69% chance of one at least that long

40 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 193 times in 1,318 draws against 183.9 expected, +0.72σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 40, draw by draw

Drawn 193 times in 1,318 draws · average wait 6.8 draws · longest completed wait 35 · waiting 7 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest0 · chance 0.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.2
4th smallest2 · chance 6.2
5th smallest51 · chance 56.0
6th smallest140 · chance 130.6

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 23.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

36 39 32 28 2 12

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 42 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 43. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers above 31 ×0.86
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2022-10-27	1	6th	10 14 22 25 39 40
2022-10-24	2	6th	8 15 16 28 36 40
2022-10-17	4	6th	11 14 17 18 34 40

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 6/43 tonight whatever it did last week.

2021-08-09	1	6th	4 12 16 20 34 40
2021-08-05	6	6th	2 11 21 30 32 40
2021-07-15	1	6th	1 13 17 27 37 40
2021-07-12	3	6th	7 9 24 33 38 40
2021-07-01	1	6th	7 8 30 33 36 40
2021-06-28	2	6th	12 13 22 28 33 40
2021-06-21	5	6th	13 17 24 32 33 40
2021-06-03	2	6th	12 23 24 27 39 40
2021-05-27	9	6th	6 10 21 24 35 40
2021-04-26	2	5th	8 15 29 38 40 42
2021-04-19	10	5th	6 19 28 37 40 43
2021-03-15	1	6th	6 7 13 20 31 40
2021-03-11	1	6th	10 26 28 29 32 40
2021-03-08	10	5th	25 29 34 35 40 43
2021-02-01	27	6th	1 12 15 16 19 40
2020-10-29	15	6th	2 25 29 33 37 40
2020-09-07	1	6th	7 21 25 28 31 40
2020-09-03	4	5th	11 12 24 27 40 42
2020-08-20	10	6th	1 3 4 24 33 40
2020-07-16	4	5th	2 21 23 28 40 41
2020-07-02	1	5th	5 16 22 39 40 41
2020-06-29	1	6th	1 2 3 12 32 40
2020-06-25	5	6th	8 10 16 28 37 40
2020-06-08	8	6th	1 9 19 25 26 40
2020-05-11	3	5th	2 26 38 39 40 42
2020-04-30	17	5th	21 24 35 39 40 43
2020-03-02	18	5th	6 7 31 37 40 41
2019-12-30	9	5th	15 17 19 24 40 41
2019-11-28	5	6th	14 16 29 31 35 40
2019-11-11	5	6th	10 11 18 21 22 40
2019-10-24	3	6th	7 9 26 27 38 40
2019-10-14	1	6th	18 25 31 35 36 40
2019-10-10	32	5th	2 4 6 17 40 42
2019-06-20	4	6th	2 9 19 32 38 40
2019-06-06	4	6th	18 19 20 27 29 40
2019-05-23	16	5th	5 18 34 35 40 41
2019-03-28	2	5th	21 26 35 39 40 41
2019-03-21	7	6th	8 12 16 19 24 40
2019-02-25	11	6th	1 3 8 10 22 40
2019-01-17	7	6th	8 9 16 32 39 40
2018-12-24	7	6th	5 8 13 16 23 40
2018-11-29	4	6th	12 21 22 25 39 40
2018-11-15	6	6th	9 22 23 30 32 40
2018-10-25	3	6th	8 10 30 35 38 40
2018-10-15	20	5th	13 17 21 35 40 42
2018-08-06	5	5th	4 6 9 32 40 43
2018-07-19	4	6th	17 18 27 34 36 40
2018-07-05	1	6th	7 8 20 25 32 40
2018-07-02	6	5th	20 26 30 34 40 42
2018-06-11	26	6th	24 25 26 36 37 40
2018-03-12	3	5th	11 13 18 30 40 43
2018-03-01	4	5th	4 15 16 36 40 42
2018-02-15	7	6th	4 13 18 24 25 40
2018-01-22	4	5th	3 5 21 29 40 42
2018-01-08	2	6th	4 11 15 21 23 40
2018-01-01	2	5th	14 15 17 23 40 43
2017-12-25	1	6th	1 10 11 28 33 40
2017-12-21	4	6th	4 8 20 27 33 40
2017-12-07	1	6th	10 19 22 33 36 40
2017-12-04	20	6th	11 23 25 32 33 40
2017-09-25	2	6th	7 17 23 30 37 40
2017-09-18	17	5th	1 3 15 22 40 41
2017-07-20	7	6th	1 12 22 29 32 40
2017-06-26	17	6th	1 4 12 22 39 40
2017-04-27	8	5th	1 4 20 32 40 41
2017-03-30	9	4th	11 29 39 40 42 43
2017-02-27	4	6th	3 5 8 23 30 40
2017-02-13	4	5th	2 14 15 37 40 42
2017-01-30	6	6th	6 26 29 32 39 40
2017-01-09	10	5th	10 23 31 36 40 41
2016-12-05	1	6th	15 21 28 31 32 40
2016-12-01	12	6th	2 8 16 31 39 40
2016-10-20	3	5th	7 16 26 32 40 41
2016-10-10	1	6th	22 28 36 37 38 40
2016-10-06	3	6th	14 19 28 35 39 40
2016-09-26	9	6th	23 26 28 31 38 40
2016-08-25	11	5th	20 25 26 35 40 43
2016-07-18	6	6th	11 26 34 35 36 40
2016-06-27	7	6th	3 9 33 35 39 40
2016-06-02	2	6th	5 14 21 22 28 40
2016-05-26	15	6th	13 17 20 33 37 40
2016-04-04	16	5th	15 20 29 31 40 43
2016-02-08	10	6th	22 27 36 37 39 40
2016-01-04	1	6th	9 10 12 19 27 40
2015-12-31	1	5th	5 18 26 36 40 42
2015-12-28	5	6th	2 4 5 6 15 40
2015-12-10	23	6th	6 19 21 25 27 40
2015-09-21	5	6th	5 19 32 36 39 40
2015-09-03	8	5th	4 7 13 18 40 43
2015-08-06	31	6th	10 14 16 33 38 40
2015-04-20	11	5th	5 15 16 18 40 42
2015-03-12	14	6th	7 9 13 31 36 40
2015-01-22	4	6th	3 4 12 25 31 40
2015-01-08	6	6th	1 4 9 32 39 40
2014-12-18	4	5th	13 19 33 36 40 43
2014-12-04	7	6th	2 7 19 32 37 40
2014-11-10	2	6th	1 6 12 23 28 40
2014-11-03	6	6th	7 13 20 24 28 40
2014-10-13	4	6th	2 16 23 31 36 40
2014-09-29	5	6th	1 3 19 20 29 40
2014-09-11	4	6th	1 2 7 25 26 40
2014-08-28	9	6th	6 11 15 20 36 40
2014-07-28	5	6th	2 7 12 17 26 40
2014-07-10	5	6th	9 11 23 24 37 40
2014-06-23	2	6th	1 7 19 28 35 40
2014-06-16	12	6th	4 11 22 36 37 40
2014-05-05	13	5th	14 21 28 32 40 41
2014-03-20	1	5th	7 22 36 38 40 41
2014-03-17	6	6th	2 3 4 33 38 40
2014-02-24	19	6th	8 21 24 33 34 40
2013-12-19	2	5th	1 6 30 35 40 41
2013-12-12	2	5th	20 32 34 38 40 43
2013-12-05	6	6th	4 11 15 25 34 40
2013-11-14	2	5th	21 30 33 35 40 43
2013-11-07	4	6th	4 15 19 23 36 40
2013-10-24	21	6th	12 15 18 23 38 40
2013-08-12	2	6th	2 16 20 36 38 40
2013-08-05	25	5th	9 26 27 39 40 43
2013-05-09	1	6th	17 18 22 27 36 40
2013-05-06	6	6th	10 12 14 15 31 40
2013-04-15	9	5th	1 9 17 22 40 41
2013-03-14	19	6th	1 11 32 34 37 40
2013-01-07	2	6th	14 30 34 36 39 40
2012-12-31	1	5th	24 36 37 38 40 43
2012-12-27	1	6th	9 16 18 22 23 40
2012-12-24	11	5th	2 20 22 38 40 43
2012-11-15	18	6th	7 16 18 23 35 40
2012-09-13	1	5th	22 25 26 31 40 43
2012-09-10	6	6th	8 18 28 31 36 40
2012-08-20	3	6th	25 26 28 31 39 40
2012-08-09	2	6th	1 4 10 17 19 40
2012-08-02	6	5th	12 21 23 28 40 42
2012-07-12	2	6th	7 18 20 24 39 40
2012-07-05	2	4th	14 18 31 40 42 43
2012-06-28	13	6th	17 21 27 29 33 40
2012-05-14	1	6th	3 10 17 22 32 40
2012-05-10	17	6th	2 6 9 15 20 40
2012-03-12	8	5th	9 20 25 30 40 42
2012-02-09	3	6th	11 12 18 23 26 40
2012-01-30	6	6th	16 24 28 33 36 40
2012-01-09	7	6th	6 15 22 29 32 40
2011-12-15	1	6th	7 13 17 20 28 40
2011-12-12	3	6th	8 10 14 23 25 40
2011-12-01	2	5th	3 27 33 34 40 43
2011-11-24	4	6th	6 12 15 16 33 40
2011-11-10	3	6th	6 13 18 20 35 40
2011-10-31	6	5th	9 12 27 38 40 42
2011-10-10	11	6th	5 28 34 35 36 40
2011-09-01	3	6th	12 14 27 29 38 40
2011-08-22	5	6th	2 12 23 34 39 40
2011-08-04	6	6th	1 23 25 29 30 40
2011-07-14	6	6th	2 18 20 29 32 40
2011-06-23	4	6th	4 5 13 22 32 40
2011-06-09	2	6th	8 9 17 24 38 40
2011-06-02	5	5th	12 20 27 39 40 42
2011-05-16	11	5th	1 8 10 39 40 43
2011-04-07	16	6th	1 2 28 33 37 40
2011-02-10	7	6th	8 10 11 16 32 40
2011-01-17	6	6th	13 16 20 23 26 40
2010-12-27	14	6th	10 30 35 36 39 40
2010-11-08	6	6th	2 5 9 17 31 40
2010-10-18	3	6th	24 30 32 36 37 40
2010-10-07	2	6th	11 19 24 32 35 40
2010-09-30	1	6th	24 29 30 31 35 40
2010-09-27	11	6th	2 5 6 8 33 40
2010-08-19	24	6th	11 16 24 27 28 40
2010-05-27	1	6th	10 25 26 34 38 40
2010-05-24	4	6th	7 17 20 32 38 40
2010-05-10	—	6th	9 19 20 29 39 40