Number 1

In Big Sky Bonus under the 4/31 + 1/17 · Nov 2016 – Oct 2024 rules — 2,889 draws, 4 from 1–31 (an earlier era).

387times drawn · chance expected 373 +0.79σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 58% for any number

7.5average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

52longest completed wait · 29% chance of one at least that long

1 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 387 times in 2,889 draws against 372.8 expected, +0.79σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 1, draw by draw

Drawn 387 times in 2,889 draws · average wait 7.5 draws · longest completed wait 52 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 1 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest387 · chance 387.0
2nd smallest0 · chance 0.0
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 38.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

5 22 2 18 19 9

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 30 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 1 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 31. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 1 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2024-10-10	5	1st	1 15 21 29
2024-10-05	2	1st	1 11 15 19
2024-10-03	4	1st	1 6 9 14
2024-09-29	9	1st	1 16 27 29

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 1 is drawn with probability 4/31 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-04-09	2	1st	1 15 19 23
2024-04-07	12	1st	1 14 17 21
2024-03-26	4	1st	1 15 18 19
2024-03-22	5	1st	1 2 13 29
2024-03-17	2	1st	1 8 18 24
2024-03-15	11	1st	1 12 14 15
2024-03-04	2	1st	1 9 18 30
2024-03-02	28	1st	1 4 14 17
2024-02-03	3	1st	1 14 19 27
2024-01-31	7	1st	1 4 5 31
2024-01-24	1	1st	1 2 14 23
2024-01-23	20	1st	1 7 8 9
2024-01-03	14	1st	1 2 15 31
2023-12-20	3	1st	1 2 27 31
2023-12-17	4	1st	1 5 16 30
2023-12-13	6	1st	1 2 6 26
2023-12-07	18	1st	1 9 23 29
2023-11-19	3	1st	1 4 15 18
2023-11-16	1	1st	1 6 9 25
2023-11-15	28	1st	1 13 14 20
2023-10-18	20	1st	1 17 24 28
2023-09-28	19	1st	1 4 11 16
2023-09-09	3	1st	1 5 8 9
2023-09-06	14	1st	1 13 22 30
2023-08-23	3	1st	1 5 12 22
2023-08-20	12	1st	1 18 27 31
2023-08-08	2	1st	1 14 22 28
2023-08-06	9	1st	1 5 14 31
2023-07-28	2	1st	1 3 8 25
2023-07-26	8	1st	1 6 17 21
2023-07-18	4	1st	1 5 8 27
2023-07-14	11	1st	1 16 18 22
2023-07-03	6	1st	1 2 14 30
2023-06-27	19	1st	1 18 26 28
2023-06-08	13	1st	1 12 18 20
2023-05-26	23	1st	1 6 16 19
2023-05-03	7	1st	1 2 15 25
2023-04-26	16	1st	1 4 19 28
2023-04-10	7	1st	1 4 10 20
2023-04-03	4	1st	1 9 16 30
2023-03-30	5	1st	1 3 12 25
2023-03-25	5	1st	1 9 19 22
2023-03-20	1	1st	1 2 5 7
2023-03-19	2	1st	1 12 15 18
2023-03-17	1	1st	1 2 3 19
2023-03-16	2	1st	1 6 19 29
2023-03-14	2	1st	1 2 10 24
2023-03-12	11	1st	1 8 19 27
2023-03-01	2	1st	1 22 25 27
2023-02-27	2	1st	1 10 18 28
2023-02-25	2	1st	1 7 19 21
2023-02-23	6	1st	1 5 7 19
2023-02-17	1	1st	1 9 11 22
2023-02-16	3	1st	1 7 8 28
2023-02-13	7	1st	1 13 17 31
2023-02-06	5	1st	1 2 6 29
2023-02-01	1	1st	1 3 10 26
2023-01-31	1	1st	1 8 24 27
2023-01-30	2	1st	1 2 6 17
2023-01-28	5	1st	1 23 24 31
2023-01-23	12	1st	1 20 21 30
2023-01-11	11	1st	1 2 5 28
2022-12-31	3	1st	1 4 7 9
2022-12-28	13	1st	1 25 26 30
2022-12-15	5	1st	1 10 20 31
2022-12-10	15	1st	1 13 21 24
2022-11-25	22	1st	1 12 20 31
2022-11-03	11	1st	1 15 21 30
2022-10-23	7	1st	1 3 5 12
2022-10-16	6	1st	1 5 14 20
2022-10-10	7	1st	1 4 27 30
2022-10-03	3	1st	1 12 14 28
2022-09-30	6	1st	1 13 21 23
2022-09-24	17	1st	1 3 24 27
2022-09-07	4	1st	1 10 11 26
2022-09-03	33	1st	1 8 13 18
2022-08-01	10	1st	1 6 10 13
2022-07-22	10	1st	1 21 23 27
2022-07-12	18	1st	1 9 16 21
2022-06-24	3	1st	1 10 13 16
2022-06-21	3	1st	1 8 9 31
2022-06-18	7	1st	1 2 13 18
2022-06-11	7	1st	1 6 11 25
2022-06-04	5	1st	1 5 9 27
2022-05-30	2	1st	1 6 9 18
2022-05-28	13	1st	1 10 18 22
2022-05-15	32	1st	1 5 20 24
2022-04-13	3	1st	1 7 15 25
2022-04-10	3	1st	1 13 17 29
2022-04-07	2	1st	1 11 17 22
2022-04-05	3	1st	1 2 12 23
2022-04-02	3	1st	1 2 4 21
2022-03-30	1	1st	1 15 22 29
2022-03-29	4	1st	1 7 21 26
2022-03-25	20	1st	1 5 26 28
2022-03-05	3	1st	1 2 4 22
2022-03-02	20	1st	1 4 18 30
2022-02-10	20	1st	1 7 15 21
2022-01-21	1	1st	1 6 9 22
2022-01-20	2	1st	1 13 19 23
2022-01-18	9	1st	1 8 20 22
2022-01-09	8	1st	1 4 9 20
2022-01-01	3	1st	1 9 25 30
2021-12-29	8	1st	1 13 30 31
2021-12-21	2	1st	1 5 11 16
2021-12-19	14	1st	1 11 22 26
2021-12-05	7	1st	1 10 11 29
2021-11-28	1	1st	1 14 19 22
2021-11-27	9	1st	1 3 23 26
2021-11-18	6	1st	1 13 20 21
2021-11-12	3	1st	1 3 10 31
2021-11-09	1	1st	1 19 26 30
2021-11-08	2	1st	1 2 9 29
2021-11-06	4	1st	1 4 8 19
2021-11-02	3	1st	1 5 11 21
2021-10-30	2	1st	1 11 15 28
2021-10-28	6	1st	1 13 22 31
2021-10-22	4	1st	1 8 19 31
2021-10-18	4	1st	1 11 17 26
2021-10-14	1	1st	1 8 26 27
2021-10-13	8	1st	1 12 17 29
2021-10-05	27	1st	1 9 11 30
2021-09-08	6	1st	1 7 27 29
2021-09-02	35	1st	1 15 22 26
2021-07-29	2	1st	1 14 17 25
2021-07-27	14	1st	1 3 18 21
2021-07-13	2	1st	1 3 27 31
2021-07-11	1	1st	1 7 13 22
2021-07-10	4	1st	1 20 23 25
2021-07-06	7	1st	1 10 15 24
2021-06-29	1	1st	1 9 11 12
2021-06-28	1	1st	1 6 7 15
2021-06-27	13	1st	1 2 6 8
2021-06-14	4	1st	1 4 15 24
2021-06-10	13	1st	1 5 16 24
2021-05-28	11	1st	1 5 17 25
2021-05-17	11	1st	1 16 20 30
2021-05-06	22	1st	1 20 24 28
2021-04-14	5	1st	1 8 20 28
2021-04-09	6	1st	1 3 8 13
2021-04-03	2	1st	1 16 21 28
2021-04-01	1	1st	1 18 19 27
2021-03-31	2	1st	1 19 23 24
2021-03-29	3	1st	1 8 22 26
2021-03-26	14	1st	1 2 8 15
2021-03-12	5	1st	1 4 6 17
2021-03-07	16	1st	1 2 5 20
2021-02-19	21	1st	1 7 17 19
2021-01-29	6	1st	1 6 9 22
2021-01-23	2	1st	1 12 22 27
2021-01-21	13	1st	1 4 5 17
2021-01-08	1	1st	1 11 24 27
2021-01-07	11	1st	1 3 18 20
2020-12-27	14	1st	1 5 19 26
2020-12-13	8	1st	1 12 16 25
2020-12-05	6	1st	1 4 7 16
2020-11-29	7	1st	1 9 26 28
2020-11-22	4	1st	1 15 23 26
2020-11-18	4	1st	1 7 14 27
2020-11-14	2	1st	1 7 11 19
2020-11-12	28	1st	1 3 19 24
2020-10-15	13	1st	1 11 18 23
2020-10-02	3	1st	1 10 14 19
2020-09-29	18	1st	1 10 13 17
2020-09-11	2	1st	1 12 15 26
2020-09-09	9	1st	1 2 17 24
2020-08-31	19	1st	1 15 19 28
2020-08-12	2	1st	1 12 15 24
2020-08-10	2	1st	1 5 20 23
2020-08-08	3	1st	1 8 19 28
2020-08-05	4	1st	1 5 6 25
2020-08-01	6	1st	1 2 11 26
2020-07-26	11	1st	1 11 14 21
2020-07-15	2	1st	1 4 16 18
2020-07-13	3	1st	1 3 5 24
2020-07-10	2	1st	1 2 10 26
2020-07-08	5	1st	1 11 26 28
2020-07-03	3	1st	1 7 18 22
2020-06-30	6	1st	1 19 21 28
2020-06-24	4	1st	1 9 18 20
2020-06-20	5	1st	1 9 14 18
2020-06-15	6	1st	1 9 13 22
2020-06-09	13	1st	1 10 24 26
2020-05-27	9	1st	1 12 14 19
2020-05-18	3	1st	1 23 24 25
2020-05-15	6	1st	1 8 19 23
2020-05-09	2	1st	1 7 12 13
2020-05-07	5	1st	1 2 5 16
2020-05-02	16	1st	1 2 26 27
2020-04-16	3	1st	1 2 19 28
2020-04-13	22	1st	1 2 14 17
2020-03-22	16	1st	1 2 15 18
2020-03-06	8	1st	1 4 19 25
2020-02-27	7	1st	1 10 25 26
2020-02-20	9	1st	1 19 22 24
2020-02-11	8	1st	1 3 8 24
2020-02-03	8	1st	1 9 17 25
2020-01-26	3	1st	1 12 14 28
2020-01-23	14	1st	1 5 8 9
2020-01-09	15	1st	1 2 10 26
2019-12-25	2	1st	1 2 16 24
2019-12-23	5	1st	1 9 12 13
2019-12-18	5	1st	1 2 10 11
2019-12-13	1	1st	1 2 17 27
2019-12-12	3	1st	1 2 15 18
2019-12-09	3	1st	1 11 12 18
2019-12-06	8	1st	1 2 9 11
2019-11-28	2	1st	1 3 20 26
2019-11-26	7	1st	1 8 13 20
2019-11-19	3	1st	1 9 18 26
2019-11-16	2	1st	1 16 18 28
2019-11-14	5	1st	1 5 14 20
2019-11-09	5	1st	1 14 20 23
2019-11-04	5	1st	1 5 18 27
2019-10-30	5	1st	1 15 23 27
2019-10-25	1	1st	1 7 18 25
2019-10-24	1	1st	1 3 11 25
2019-10-23	2	1st	1 6 19 21
2019-10-21	5	1st	1 14 16 20
2019-10-16	2	1st	1 10 25 26
2019-10-14	12	1st	1 2 21 26
2019-10-02	15	1st	1 5 8 20
2019-09-17	2	1st	1 8 10 25
2019-09-15	11	1st	1 5 7 24
2019-09-04	9	1st	1 11 20 23
2019-08-26	14	1st	1 19 22 27
2019-08-12	4	1st	1 6 10 24
2019-08-08	2	1st	1 9 16 20
2019-08-06	11	1st	1 2 16 20
2019-07-26	1	1st	1 3 16 28
2019-07-25	4	1st	1 3 12 25
2019-07-21	7	1st	1 4 7 24
2019-07-14	1	1st	1 5 15 26
2019-07-13	9	1st	1 6 10 15
2019-07-04	14	1st	1 8 9 23
2019-06-20	1	1st	1 10 13 22
2019-06-19	2	1st	1 11 17 27
2019-06-17	8	1st	1 8 14 21
2019-06-09	2	1st	1 16 19 20
2019-06-07	3	1st	1 5 18 20
2019-06-04	5	1st	1 7 11 18
2019-05-30	6	1st	1 5 15 18
2019-05-24	3	1st	1 10 11 14
2019-05-21	12	1st	1 8 16 25
2019-05-09	7	1st	1 10 18 23
2019-05-02	12	1st	1 8 20 21
2019-04-20	6	1st	1 4 10 19
2019-04-14	1	1st	1 7 17 26
2019-04-13	2	1st	1 4 23 24
2019-04-11	8	1st	1 9 22 27
2019-04-03	3	1st	1 8 18 19
2019-03-31	7	1st	1 17 20 22
2019-03-24	2	1st	1 11 21 24
2019-03-22	1	1st	1 14 15 22
2019-03-21	3	1st	1 5 15 21
2019-03-18	8	1st	1 16 18 19
2019-03-10	2	1st	1 3 14 16
2019-03-08	11	1st	1 3 5 6
2019-02-25	7	1st	1 4 6 17
2019-02-18	5	1st	1 6 12 15
2019-02-13	13	1st	1 4 11 19
2019-01-31	3	1st	1 2 16 18
2019-01-28	5	1st	1 14 15 28
2019-01-23	35	1st	1 6 12 16
2018-12-19	2	1st	1 2 18 24
2018-12-17	15	1st	1 9 23 28
2018-12-02	1	1st	1 3 5 11
2018-12-01	19	1st	1 3 4 17
2018-11-12	15	1st	1 5 19 28
2018-10-28	11	1st	1 4 15 26
2018-10-17	2	1st	1 7 8 22
2018-10-15	6	1st	1 3 22 26
2018-10-09	20	1st	1 3 20 22
2018-09-19	4	1st	1 3 11 27
2018-09-15	2	1st	1 11 17 18
2018-09-13	16	1st	1 12 24 27
2018-08-28	4	1st	1 3 23 26
2018-08-24	11	1st	1 10 12 18
2018-08-13	1	1st	1 8 24 27
2018-08-12	15	1st	1 11 14 25
2018-07-28	5	1st	1 9 17 28
2018-07-23	1	1st	1 15 21 22
2018-07-22	4	1st	1 9 12 13
2018-07-18	18	1st	1 14 16 24
2018-06-30	1	1st	1 14 15 21
2018-06-29	5	1st	1 2 26 27
2018-06-24	9	1st	1 5 14 23
2018-06-15	2	1st	1 2 16 19
2018-06-13	12	1st	1 7 9 26
2018-06-01	9	1st	1 5 23 27
2018-05-23	22	1st	1 8 22 24
2018-05-01	7	1st	1 8 15 22
2018-04-24	12	1st	1 11 18 24
2018-04-12	6	1st	1 10 12 27
2018-04-06	17	1st	1 5 21 22
2018-03-20	4	1st	1 16 26 28
2018-03-16	5	1st	1 5 10 25
2018-03-11	8	1st	1 5 10 26
2018-03-03	1	1st	1 4 9 15
2018-03-02	28	1st	1 3 21 22
2018-02-02	16	1st	1 5 6 13
2018-01-17	10	1st	1 2 22 28
2018-01-07	24	1st	1 17 24 26
2017-12-14	13	1st	1 2 5 6
2017-12-01	3	1st	1 3 7 18
2017-11-28	4	1st	1 6 12 14
2017-11-24	6	1st	1 9 18 25
2017-11-18	9	1st	1 10 11 24
2017-11-09	5	1st	1 2 16 17
2017-11-04	10	1st	1 4 11 12
2017-10-25	1	1st	1 6 20 23
2017-10-24	1	1st	1 10 12 23
2017-10-23	2	1st	1 4 7 19
2017-10-20	1	1st	1 10 16 19
2017-10-19	2	1st	1 4 5 16
2017-10-17	1	1st	1 2 3 18
2017-10-16	8	1st	1 4 12 19
2017-10-08	3	1st	1 9 15 24
2017-10-05	10	1st	1 2 9 27
2017-09-24	7	1st	1 12 13 23
2017-09-17	3	1st	1 5 9 21
2017-09-14	1	1st	1 10 19 25
2017-09-13	10	1st	1 8 10 11
2017-09-03	10	1st	1 3 21 26
2017-08-24	9	1st	1 20 22 27
2017-08-15	11	1st	1 6 13 19
2017-08-04	5	1st	1 5 8 18
2017-07-30	6	1st	1 9 12 18
2017-07-24	1	1st	1 5 17 22
2017-07-23	1	1st	1 5 16 22
2017-07-22	5	1st	1 9 16 19
2017-07-17	2	1st	1 5 11 27
2017-07-15	9	1st	1 10 15 26
2017-07-06	19	1st	1 6 15 17
2017-06-17	2	1st	1 6 17 21
2017-06-15	7	1st	1 11 16 22
2017-06-08	4	1st	1 13 14 25
2017-06-04	15	1st	1 10 22 25
2017-05-20	4	1st	1 11 18 24
2017-05-16	2	1st	1 5 9 24
2017-05-14	3	1st	1 6 8 22
2017-05-11	5	1st	1 10 20 24
2017-05-06	6	1st	1 4 22 23
2017-04-30	8	1st	1 2 11 24
2017-04-22	1	1st	1 6 20 23
2017-04-21	2	1st	1 5 19 27
2017-04-19	9	1st	1 3 17 26
2017-04-10	3	1st	1 3 10 12
2017-04-07	12	1st	1 7 9 14
2017-03-26	4	1st	1 3 10 25
2017-03-22	19	1st	1 10 19 24
2017-03-03	1	1st	1 9 16 25
2017-03-02	7	1st	1 5 11 18
2017-02-23	52	1st	1 15 18 28
2017-01-02	11	1st	1 7 17 18
2016-12-22	3	1st	1 8 22 26
2016-12-19	5	1st	1 6 24 26
2016-12-14	3	1st	1 15 16 21
2016-12-11	16	1st	1 8 14 28
2016-11-25	1	1st	1 3 5 22
2016-11-24	1	1st	1 2 19 21
2016-11-23	7	1st	1 12 17 22
2016-11-16	—	1st	1 3 26 27