Number 23

In Big Sky Bonus under the 4/31 + 1/17 · Nov 2016 – Oct 2024 rules — 2,889 draws, 4 from 1–31 (an earlier era).

367times drawn · chance expected 373 −0.32σ

4draws waiting · a wait this long: 66% for any number

7.9average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

38longest completed wait · 89% chance of one at least that long

23 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 367 times in 2,889 draws against 372.8 expected, −0.32σ. Each draw is independent: after 4 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 23, draw by draw

Drawn 367 times in 2,889 draws · average wait 7.9 draws · longest completed wait 38 · waiting 4 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 23 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest4 · chance 5.1
2nd smallest30 · chance 55.7
3rd smallest168 · chance 167.0
4th smallest165 · chance 139.2

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 36.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

5 6 12 19 27 26

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 30 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 23 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 31. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 23 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2024-10-11	2	3rd	11 19 23 26
2024-10-09	7	4th	2 4 8 23
2024-10-02	2	3rd	11 16 23 28
2024-09-30	11	3rd	4 20 23 27

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 23 is drawn with probability 4/31 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-06-15	4	3rd	17 19 23 25
2024-06-11	2	3rd	3 14 23 30
2024-06-09	17	3rd	2 13 23 27
2024-05-23	10	2nd	22 23 28 29
2024-05-13	4	4th	8 20 21 23
2024-05-09	30	3rd	16 20 23 27
2024-04-09	5	4th	1 15 19 23
2024-04-04	4	4th	2 6 15 23
2024-03-31	36	2nd	19 23 27 31
2024-02-24	2	3rd	12 17 23 26
2024-02-22	8	4th	2 5 9 23
2024-02-14	5	4th	3 8 12 23
2024-02-09	8	3rd	5 15 23 25
2024-02-01	6	4th	7 15 17 23
2024-01-26	2	3rd	13 18 23 25
2024-01-24	7	4th	1 2 14 23
2024-01-17	9	3rd	19 21 23 24
2024-01-08	8	4th	4 5 16 23
2023-12-31	4	3rd	8 9 23 29
2023-12-27	5	3rd	10 14 23 30
2023-12-22	7	4th	2 7 12 23
2023-12-15	8	3rd	4 8 23 26
2023-12-07	8	3rd	1 9 23 29
2023-11-29	38	4th	14 15 19 23
2023-10-22	22	3rd	18 22 23 25
2023-09-30	22	2nd	4 23 26 30
2023-09-08	9	3rd	9 11 23 26
2023-08-30	3	2nd	3 23 25 26
2023-08-27	5	4th	6 14 17 23
2023-08-22	11	3rd	2 7 23 25
2023-08-11	2	4th	2 3 4 23
2023-08-09	5	3rd	6 15 23 26
2023-08-04	10	4th	3 16 19 23
2023-07-25	4	2nd	18 23 25 27
2023-07-21	5	3rd	6 21 23 31
2023-07-16	35	4th	7 14 19 23
2023-06-11	2	3rd	18 22 23 29
2023-06-09	8	3rd	21 22 23 29
2023-06-01	3	3rd	5 11 23 28
2023-05-29	7	3rd	6 20 23 31
2023-05-22	28	4th	5 6 21 23
2023-04-24	28	4th	6 18 19 23
2023-03-27	16	3rd	12 18 23 30
2023-03-11	2	4th	2 4 18 23
2023-03-09	19	4th	7 15 17 23
2023-02-18	4	4th	4 16 22 23
2023-02-14	17	3rd	2 20 23 24
2023-01-28	19	2nd	1 23 24 31
2023-01-09	14	1st	23 26 29 31
2022-12-26	19	3rd	2 7 23 31
2022-12-07	6	4th	7 8 11 23
2022-12-01	16	3rd	9 12 23 28
2022-11-15	5	3rd	18 22 23 30
2022-11-10	5	3rd	12 13 23 31
2022-11-05	4	3rd	10 20 23 25
2022-11-01	18	3rd	2 15 23 26
2022-10-14	1	3rd	15 18 23 26
2022-10-13	1	4th	4 12 20 23
2022-10-12	1	3rd	10 14 23 27
2022-10-11	2	3rd	5 12 23 26
2022-10-09	9	2nd	6 23 24 27
2022-09-30	1	4th	1 13 21 23
2022-09-29	2	3rd	3 16 23 25
2022-09-27	19	3rd	8 12 23 27
2022-09-08	3	3rd	16 22 23 26
2022-09-05	5	3rd	16 17 23 31
2022-08-31	3	3rd	6 17 23 29
2022-08-28	5	4th	4 5 11 23
2022-08-23	10	3rd	11 15 23 26
2022-08-13	16	4th	5 16 17 23
2022-07-28	6	3rd	3 8 23 24
2022-07-22	5	3rd	1 21 23 27
2022-07-17	12	2nd	21 23 24 29
2022-07-05	8	2nd	2 23 24 27
2022-06-27	8	3rd	3 16 23 31
2022-06-19	3	2nd	9 23 24 28
2022-06-16	1	4th	3 4 12 23
2022-06-15	20	4th	5 14 15 23
2022-05-26	13	4th	4 6 12 23
2022-05-13	14	4th	7 13 18 23
2022-04-29	3	2nd	9 23 28 31
2022-04-26	1	4th	2 17 22 23
2022-04-25	11	4th	9 21 22 23
2022-04-14	9	2nd	4 23 24 28
2022-04-05	4	4th	1 2 12 23
2022-04-01	1	3rd	6 17 23 28
2022-03-31	16	3rd	11 16 23 31
2022-03-15	8	3rd	4 13 23 30
2022-03-07	6	3rd	5 6 23 30
2022-03-01	6	4th	9 19 21 23
2022-02-23	2	3rd	5 13 23 28
2022-02-21	4	3rd	19 22 23 25
2022-02-17	12	2nd	4 23 25 28
2022-02-05	10	4th	7 11 13 23
2022-01-26	2	3rd	5 8 23 27
2022-01-24	4	3rd	3 5 23 24
2022-01-20	9	4th	1 13 19 23
2022-01-11	6	4th	5 14 20 23
2022-01-05	8	3rd	9 12 23 29
2021-12-28	4	2nd	21 23 26 30
2021-12-24	15	4th	4 9 16 23
2021-12-09	8	3rd	4 7 23 27
2021-12-01	4	3rd	10 19 23 25
2021-11-27	3	3rd	1 3 23 26
2021-11-24	14	3rd	10 13 23 25
2021-11-10	7	4th	2 8 11 23
2021-11-03	5	4th	5 8 19 23
2021-10-29	4	3rd	2 16 23 30
2021-10-25	2	2nd	17 23 24 28
2021-10-23	2	3rd	8 19 23 24
2021-10-21	5	3rd	2 10 23 28
2021-10-16	5	3rd	4 8 23 28
2021-10-11	9	3rd	8 12 23 31
2021-10-02	1	3rd	10 12 23 30
2021-10-01	2	4th	9 18 19 23
2021-09-29	10	3rd	3 19 23 24
2021-09-19	1	2nd	14 23 24 26
2021-09-18	9	4th	2 3 17 23
2021-09-09	10	4th	11 16 19 23
2021-08-30	9	3rd	11 12 23 30
2021-08-21	3	3rd	6 9 23 26
2021-08-18	25	3rd	8 16 23 30
2021-07-24	1	4th	12 15 17 23
2021-07-23	7	4th	15 18 22 23
2021-07-16	6	4th	6 9 14 23
2021-07-10	33	3rd	1 20 23 25
2021-06-07	2	4th	11 16 21 23
2021-06-05	2	3rd	15 19 23 31
2021-06-03	1	4th	4 5 17 23
2021-06-02	6	3rd	5 10 23 24
2021-05-27	4	3rd	3 4 23 26
2021-05-23	8	4th	18 21 22 23
2021-05-15	16	3rd	16 20 23 29
2021-04-29	18	4th	3 18 19 23
2021-04-11	1	3rd	14 20 23 27
2021-04-10	5	2nd	18 23 26 27
2021-04-05	5	4th	10 17 20 23
2021-03-31	10	3rd	1 19 23 24
2021-03-21	12	3rd	2 9 23 24
2021-03-09	35	3rd	18 19 23 27
2021-02-02	3	4th	10 15 22 23
2021-01-30	26	4th	2 18 19 23
2021-01-04	5	3rd	8 13 23 24
2020-12-30	1	4th	6 9 18 23
2020-12-29	4	2nd	5 23 24 27
2020-12-25	4	4th	9 11 19 23
2020-12-21	13	4th	2 8 21 23
2020-12-08	5	4th	3 14 15 23
2020-12-03	1	3rd	4 21 23 26
2020-12-02	10	3rd	13 21 23 25
2020-11-22	18	3rd	1 15 23 26
2020-11-04	4	3rd	6 12 23 28
2020-10-31	11	4th	13 14 22 23
2020-10-20	5	3rd	9 22 23 27
2020-10-15	10	4th	1 11 18 23
2020-10-05	17	3rd	15 21 23 26
2020-09-18	13	4th	10 11 17 23
2020-09-05	13	3rd	10 13 23 26
2020-08-23	5	4th	9 10 22 23
2020-08-18	3	4th	6 7 17 23
2020-08-15	4	4th	8 11 14 23
2020-08-11	1	3rd	7 22 23 27
2020-08-10	1	4th	1 5 20 23
2020-08-09	33	4th	3 7 16 23
2020-07-07	14	4th	5 16 22 23
2020-06-23	4	4th	10 14 18 23
2020-06-19	6	3rd	6 19 23 25
2020-06-13	12	3rd	4 12 23 24
2020-06-01	11	4th	12 14 22 23
2020-05-21	3	3rd	10 18 23 25
2020-05-18	3	2nd	1 23 24 25
2020-05-15	1	4th	1 8 19 23
2020-05-14	18	4th	8 21 22 23
2020-04-26	19	3rd	10 17 23 27
2020-04-07	1	3rd	3 5 23 25
2020-04-06	1	4th	13 18 21 23
2020-04-05	2	4th	6 8 10 23
2020-04-03	16	4th	6 16 18 23
2020-03-18	10	3rd	3 4 23 27
2020-03-08	12	3rd	5 8 23 27
2020-02-25	3	4th	5 9 17 23
2020-02-22	21	4th	9 10 18 23
2020-02-01	14	3rd	14 16 23 25
2020-01-18	5	3rd	2 19 23 28
2020-01-13	8	3rd	17 18 23 28
2020-01-05	1	4th	6 7 17 23
2020-01-04	2	3rd	2 15 23 25
2020-01-02	1	4th	6 12 21 23
2020-01-01	4	3rd	6 16 23 27
2019-12-28	21	3rd	16 17 23 27
2019-12-07	3	3rd	7 17 23 27
2019-12-04	3	3rd	12 13 23 24
2019-12-01	2	3rd	2 3 23 25
2019-11-29	16	4th	16 19 22 23
2019-11-13	4	1st	23 24 25 27
2019-11-09	3	4th	1 14 20 23
2019-11-06	5	4th	7 14 16 23
2019-11-01	2	4th	4 18 19 23
2019-10-30	3	3rd	1 15 23 27
2019-10-27	18	3rd	19 22 23 26
2019-10-09	8	2nd	5 23 26 28
2019-10-01	2	3rd	8 9 23 26
2019-09-29	25	3rd	5 17 23 24
2019-09-04	5	4th	1 11 20 23
2019-08-30	13	4th	3 9 21 23
2019-08-17	7	3rd	6 16 23 26
2019-08-10	5	4th	9 13 20 23
2019-08-05	1	4th	6 17 22 23
2019-08-04	11	3rd	15 21 23 27
2019-07-24	20	4th	8 9 13 23
2019-07-04	6	4th	1 8 9 23
2019-06-28	2	4th	16 19 21 23
2019-06-26	28	3rd	14 22 23 26
2019-05-29	20	4th	3 4 9 23
2019-05-09	4	4th	1 10 18 23
2019-05-05	11	3rd	5 10 23 27
2019-04-24	2	4th	2 7 9 23
2019-04-22	4	4th	2 5 7 23
2019-04-18	3	3rd	4 12 23 25
2019-04-15	2	3rd	4 14 23 25
2019-04-13	6	3rd	1 4 23 24
2019-04-07	3	3rd	13 22 23 28
2019-04-04	3	4th	5 18 19 23
2019-04-01	2	3rd	8 10 23 25
2019-03-30	21	4th	11 12 17 23
2019-03-09	3	3rd	6 9 23 24
2019-03-06	6	4th	16 19 22 23
2019-02-28	2	4th	7 20 22 23
2019-02-26	6	3rd	12 17 23 24
2019-02-20	4	3rd	4 6 23 28
2019-02-16	5	4th	3 8 19 23
2019-02-11	5	4th	9 11 20 23
2019-02-06	7	4th	9 14 16 23
2019-01-30	1	3rd	8 19 23 26
2019-01-29	5	4th	2 19 21 23
2019-01-24	9	4th	10 11 22 23
2019-01-15	13	4th	14 19 21 23
2019-01-02	7	3rd	14 20 23 27
2018-12-26	3	4th	7 14 15 23
2018-12-23	3	3rd	6 14 23 26
2018-12-20	3	4th	2 6 14 23
2018-12-17	3	3rd	1 9 23 28
2018-12-14	5	4th	8 9 12 23
2018-12-09	3	4th	8 16 22 23
2018-12-06	2	4th	5 14 19 23
2018-12-04	36	4th	7 9 11 23
2018-10-29	3	3rd	7 12 23 27
2018-10-26	1	3rd	5 17 23 24
2018-10-25	1	4th	2 18 19 23
2018-10-24	16	3rd	13 14 23 28
2018-10-08	1	4th	12 13 15 23
2018-10-07	16	4th	10 11 21 23
2018-09-21	9	3rd	6 12 23 26
2018-09-12	3	4th	7 14 15 23
2018-09-09	12	4th	17 19 22 23
2018-08-28	14	3rd	1 3 23 26
2018-08-14	7	4th	2 7 15 23
2018-08-07	2	4th	5 13 15 23
2018-08-05	4	3rd	13 14 23 28
2018-08-01	1	3rd	4 17 23 28
2018-07-31	5	4th	7 11 21 23
2018-07-26	13	4th	3 12 22 23
2018-07-13	4	3rd	13 17 23 24
2018-07-09	12	4th	3 7 12 23
2018-06-27	3	3rd	4 18 23 24
2018-06-24	4	4th	1 5 14 23
2018-06-20	2	3rd	11 13 23 25
2018-06-18	12	4th	6 20 21 23
2018-06-06	3	4th	5 7 13 23
2018-06-03	2	3rd	5 10 23 28
2018-06-01	12	3rd	1 5 23 27
2018-05-20	2	4th	10 20 22 23
2018-05-18	1	3rd	5 11 23 25
2018-05-17	5	2nd	14 23 26 28
2018-05-12	2	4th	6 14 20 23
2018-05-10	7	3rd	3 18 23 27
2018-05-03	4	4th	7 9 12 23
2018-04-29	10	4th	6 8 22 23
2018-04-19	2	3rd	5 20 23 27
2018-04-17	19	3rd	2 15 23 27
2018-03-29	15	4th	4 15 22 23
2018-03-14	1	3rd	14 21 23 26
2018-03-13	7	3rd	3 8 23 27
2018-03-06	8	4th	2 10 15 23
2018-02-26	6	3rd	6 7 23 27
2018-02-20	1	4th	3 16 20 23
2018-02-19	2	3rd	5 15 23 26
2018-02-17	30	4th	11 16 17 23
2018-01-18	9	4th	6 7 11 23
2018-01-09	14	2nd	8 23 25 27
2017-12-26	1	4th	7 8 18 23
2017-12-25	8	4th	5 6 12 23
2017-12-17	9	3rd	3 14 23 26
2017-12-08	2	3rd	16 18 23 26
2017-12-06	4	4th	6 13 22 23
2017-12-02	17	3rd	15 22 23 26
2017-11-15	1	3rd	5 18 23 25
2017-11-14	8	4th	5 18 19 23
2017-11-06	11	4th	10 11 13 23
2017-10-26	1	4th	12 20 21 23
2017-10-25	1	4th	1 6 20 23
2017-10-24	8	4th	1 10 12 23
2017-10-15	3	3rd	2 18 23 27
2017-10-12	16	4th	6 11 16 23
2017-09-25	1	2nd	19 23 24 25
2017-09-24	9	4th	1 12 13 23
2017-09-15	23	4th	6 9 13 23
2017-08-23	1	2nd	8 23 25 28
2017-08-22	8	4th	4 6 12 23
2017-08-14	9	2nd	3 23 24 27
2017-08-05	9	4th	8 12 16 23
2017-07-27	20	4th	3 4 5 23
2017-07-07	8	1st	23 24 26 28
2017-06-29	2	3rd	3 20 23 24
2017-06-27	8	4th	3 15 17 23
2017-06-19	1	4th	11 15 21 23
2017-06-18	16	4th	3 14 20 23
2017-06-02	5	4th	13 18 22 23
2017-05-28	9	2nd	15 23 27 28
2017-05-19	2	3rd	16 17 23 27
2017-05-17	11	4th	4 5 13 23
2017-05-06	13	4th	1 4 22 23
2017-04-23	1	3rd	12 15 23 27
2017-04-22	6	4th	1 6 20 23
2017-04-16	20	3rd	2 5 23 26
2017-03-27	18	3rd	10 19 23 24
2017-03-09	2	3rd	11 17 23 27
2017-03-07	10	4th	5 9 12 23
2017-02-25	9	4th	8 9 14 23
2017-02-16	4	3rd	8 16 23 27
2017-02-12	14	3rd	9 13 23 28
2017-01-29	5	2nd	18 23 24 28
2017-01-24	3	3rd	12 16 23 26
2017-01-21	4	4th	5 12 21 23
2017-01-17	3	4th	3 6 15 23
2017-01-14	4	4th	6 8 10 23
2017-01-10	1	4th	2 9 17 23
2017-01-09	3	3rd	2 12 23 25
2017-01-06	10	4th	2 8 18 23
2016-12-27	12	3rd	9 22 23 28
2016-12-15	6	3rd	19 21 23 25
2016-12-09	22	3rd	5 14 23 25
2016-11-17	—	4th	18 20 22 23