Number 2

In Big Sky Bonus under the 4/31 + 1/17 · Nov 2016 – Oct 2024 rules — 2,889 draws, 4 from 1–31 (an earlier era).

417times drawn · chance expected 373 +2.45σ

6draws waiting · a wait this long: 50% for any number

6.9average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

43longest completed wait · 72% chance of one at least that long

2 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 417 times in 2,889 draws against 372.8 expected, +2.45σ. Each draw is independent: after 6 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 2, draw by draw

Drawn 417 times in 2,889 draws · average wait 6.9 draws · longest completed wait 43 · waiting 6 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest365 · chance 375.3
2nd smallest52 · chance 41.7
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.0
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 41.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

26 1 9 17 27 24

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 30 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 31. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 2 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2024-10-09	2	1st	2 4 8 23
2024-10-07	1	1st	2 5 11 22
2024-10-06	2	1st	2 3 15 21
2024-10-04	6	1st	2 3 19 30

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 4/31 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-04-24	14	1st	2 9 19 26
2024-04-10	6	1st	2 4 5 13
2024-04-04	6	1st	2 6 15 23
2024-03-29	1	1st	2 15 18 30
2024-03-28	5	1st	2 24 25 31
2024-03-23	1	1st	2 15 17 29
2024-03-22	17	2nd	1 2 13 29
2024-03-05	5	1st	2 6 24 26
2024-02-29	7	1st	2 10 14 29
2024-02-22	29	1st	2 5 9 23
2024-01-24	4	2nd	1 2 14 23
2024-01-20	5	1st	2 4 14 26
2024-01-15	12	1st	2 6 19 20
2024-01-03	9	2nd	1 2 15 31
2023-12-25	3	1st	2 18 19 31
2023-12-22	2	1st	2 7 12 23
2023-12-20	6	2nd	1 2 27 31
2023-12-14	1	1st	2 7 27 31
2023-12-13	2	2nd	1 2 6 26
2023-12-11	6	1st	2 6 17 26
2023-12-05	3	1st	2 16 26 31
2023-12-02	14	1st	2 16 17 25
2023-11-18	14	1st	2 25 26 30
2023-11-04	11	1st	2 10 14 27
2023-10-24	1	1st	2 21 29 30
2023-10-23	16	1st	2 8 10 22
2023-10-07	1	1st	2 8 9 17
2023-10-06	3	1st	2 3 10 29
2023-10-03	13	1st	2 9 13 17
2023-09-20	6	1st	2 7 8 19
2023-09-14	23	1st	2 12 27 30
2023-08-22	11	1st	2 7 23 25
2023-08-11	6	1st	2 3 4 23
2023-08-05	5	1st	2 5 20 30
2023-07-31	7	1st	2 11 24 31
2023-07-24	11	1st	2 3 7 17
2023-07-13	2	1st	2 10 19 20
2023-07-11	5	1st	2 15 16 19
2023-07-06	2	1st	2 20 28 30
2023-07-04	1	1st	2 3 7 24
2023-07-03	4	2nd	1 2 14 30
2023-06-29	4	1st	2 8 17 20
2023-06-25	1	1st	2 9 12 16
2023-06-24	14	1st	2 14 25 26
2023-06-10	8	1st	2 18 22 26
2023-06-02	22	1st	2 13 15 30
2023-05-11	4	1st	2 9 11 29
2023-05-07	4	1st	2 20 21 28
2023-05-03	1	2nd	1 2 15 25
2023-05-02	43	1st	2 8 9 16
2023-03-20	2	2nd	1 2 5 7
2023-03-18	1	1st	2 17 27 28
2023-03-17	3	2nd	1 2 3 19
2023-03-14	3	2nd	1 2 10 24
2023-03-11	11	1st	2 4 18 23
2023-02-28	6	1st	2 11 18 22
2023-02-22	8	1st	2 22 25 27
2023-02-14	4	1st	2 20 23 24
2023-02-10	4	1st	2 7 16 22
2023-02-06	7	2nd	1 2 6 29
2023-01-30	4	2nd	1 2 6 17
2023-01-26	6	1st	2 4 20 27
2023-01-20	4	1st	2 16 19 30
2023-01-16	5	1st	2 7 25 28
2023-01-11	4	2nd	1 2 5 28
2023-01-07	1	1st	2 4 13 14
2023-01-06	5	1st	2 9 10 20
2023-01-01	6	1st	2 8 13 17
2022-12-26	10	1st	2 7 23 31
2022-12-16	3	1st	2 5 13 28
2022-12-13	1	1st	2 16 27 30
2022-12-12	7	1st	2 3 15 28
2022-12-05	2	1st	2 9 15 27
2022-12-03	1	1st	2 9 13 22
2022-12-02	2	1st	2 16 21 26
2022-11-30	6	1st	2 4 5 24
2022-11-24	4	1st	2 3 6 15
2022-11-20	7	1st	2 15 16 21
2022-11-13	12	1st	2 9 25 27
2022-11-01	1	1st	2 15 23 26
2022-10-31	4	1st	2 6 17 24
2022-10-27	20	1st	2 14 15 29
2022-10-07	3	1st	2 3 9 29
2022-10-04	2	1st	2 10 17 18
2022-10-02	41	1st	2 17 24 28
2022-08-22	19	1st	2 8 16 29
2022-08-03	11	1st	2 8 24 26
2022-07-23	12	1st	2 6 10 16
2022-07-11	3	1st	2 13 19 27
2022-07-08	3	1st	2 7 9 29
2022-07-05	3	1st	2 23 24 27
2022-07-02	14	1st	2 11 25 31
2022-06-18	8	2nd	1 2 13 18
2022-06-10	21	1st	2 9 17 27
2022-05-20	9	1st	2 7 21 27
2022-05-11	1	1st	2 24 25 27
2022-05-10	1	1st	2 3 11 15
2022-05-09	2	1st	2 6 21 26
2022-05-07	1	1st	2 13 18 20
2022-05-06	4	1st	2 3 15 27
2022-05-02	6	1st	2 6 25 27
2022-04-26	11	1st	2 17 22 23
2022-04-15	4	1st	2 4 11 21
2022-04-11	6	1st	2 9 20 30
2022-04-05	3	2nd	1 2 12 23
2022-04-02	5	2nd	1 2 4 21
2022-03-28	1	1st	2 4 24 26
2022-03-27	5	1st	2 24 26 28
2022-03-22	1	1st	2 8 9 14
2022-03-21	2	1st	2 4 15 27
2022-03-19	1	1st	2 9 16 21
2022-03-18	2	1st	2 12 16 20
2022-03-16	7	1st	2 7 21 25
2022-03-09	4	1st	2 8 15 16
2022-03-05	19	2nd	1 2 4 22
2022-02-14	1	1st	2 6 14 15
2022-02-13	1	1st	2 9 14 30
2022-02-12	14	1st	2 14 24 27
2022-01-29	22	1st	2 6 20 30
2022-01-07	5	1st	2 8 13 22
2022-01-02	16	1st	2 10 28 31
2021-12-17	7	1st	2 11 24 25
2021-12-10	10	1st	2 8 20 30
2021-11-30	8	1st	2 13 24 28
2021-11-22	11	1st	2 3 6 25
2021-11-11	1	1st	2 13 14 31
2021-11-10	2	1st	2 8 11 23
2021-11-08	10	2nd	1 2 9 29
2021-10-29	8	1st	2 16 23 30
2021-10-21	4	1st	2 10 23 28
2021-10-17	2	1st	2 24 26 29
2021-10-15	5	1st	2 12 22 26
2021-10-10	4	1st	2 9 19 28
2021-10-06	9	1st	2 8 15 25
2021-09-27	4	1st	2 8 12 31
2021-09-23	2	1st	2 4 14 30
2021-09-21	3	1st	2 4 6 18
2021-09-18	8	1st	2 3 17 23
2021-09-10	6	1st	2 20 26 27
2021-09-04	1	1st	2 16 20 24
2021-09-03	12	1st	2 6 19 31
2021-08-22	14	1st	2 9 20 22
2021-08-08	2	1st	2 3 7 28
2021-08-06	11	1st	2 7 20 26
2021-07-26	9	1st	2 9 15 26
2021-07-17	2	1st	2 7 10 14
2021-07-15	1	1st	2 17 24 29
2021-07-14	11	1st	2 12 16 18
2021-07-03	1	1st	2 7 9 25
2021-07-02	5	1st	2 13 18 29
2021-06-27	3	2nd	1 2 6 8
2021-06-24	2	1st	2 11 14 28
2021-06-22	2	1st	2 11 13 19
2021-06-20	4	1st	2 10 20 27
2021-06-16	7	1st	2 13 20 29
2021-06-09	3	1st	2 7 14 26
2021-06-06	21	1st	2 26 27 29
2021-05-16	20	1st	2 8 25 29
2021-04-26	4	1st	2 8 17 28
2021-04-22	1	1st	2 4 21 26
2021-04-21	9	1st	2 16 19 22
2021-04-12	17	1st	2 3 13 16
2021-03-26	5	2nd	1 2 8 15
2021-03-21	2	1st	2 9 23 24
2021-03-19	12	1st	2 11 17 20
2021-03-07	2	2nd	1 2 5 20
2021-03-05	7	1st	2 6 7 10
2021-02-26	4	1st	2 6 10 12
2021-02-22	10	1st	2 6 10 19
2021-02-12	2	1st	2 8 18 26
2021-02-10	2	1st	2 5 22 24
2021-02-08	2	1st	2 15 21 28
2021-02-06	2	1st	2 3 15 21
2021-02-04	5	1st	2 7 24 27
2021-01-30	8	1st	2 18 19 23
2021-01-22	2	1st	2 9 17 20
2021-01-20	4	1st	2 8 14 21
2021-01-16	26	1st	2 12 20 21
2020-12-21	14	1st	2 8 21 23
2020-12-07	1	1st	2 11 12 27
2020-12-06	8	1st	2 6 10 28
2020-11-28	7	1st	2 7 18 19
2020-11-21	1	1st	2 11 14 20
2020-11-20	4	1st	2 4 13 14
2020-11-16	6	1st	2 6 14 16
2020-11-10	3	1st	2 5 11 20
2020-11-07	9	1st	2 13 14 24
2020-10-29	5	1st	2 20 24 25
2020-10-24	2	1st	2 11 26 28
2020-10-22	1	1st	2 17 21 28
2020-10-21	15	1st	2 11 16 27
2020-10-06	8	1st	2 7 25 28
2020-09-28	6	1st	2 9 11 25
2020-09-22	1	1st	2 9 17 27
2020-09-21	7	1st	2 6 9 14
2020-09-14	2	1st	2 4 11 16
2020-09-12	3	1st	2 10 13 16
2020-09-09	3	2nd	1 2 17 24
2020-09-06	7	1st	2 8 19 21
2020-08-30	1	1st	2 14 19 25
2020-08-29	3	1st	2 3 10 12
2020-08-26	10	1st	2 8 9 19
2020-08-16	12	1st	2 3 10 21
2020-08-04	3	1st	2 9 11 20
2020-08-01	14	2nd	1 2 11 26
2020-07-18	2	1st	2 4 21 24
2020-07-16	5	1st	2 9 20 26
2020-07-11	1	1st	2 6 7 25
2020-07-10	5	2nd	1 2 10 26
2020-07-05	8	1st	2 12 13 17
2020-06-27	1	1st	2 13 25 27
2020-06-26	9	1st	2 12 15 25
2020-06-17	6	1st	2 15 16 26
2020-06-11	3	1st	2 10 24 27
2020-06-08	5	1st	2 6 12 24
2020-06-03	14	1st	2 3 10 17
2020-05-20	10	1st	2 7 10 14
2020-05-10	3	1st	2 3 20 25
2020-05-07	5	2nd	1 2 5 16
2020-05-02	9	2nd	1 2 26 27
2020-04-23	3	1st	2 10 12 13
2020-04-20	2	1st	2 13 22 24
2020-04-18	2	1st	2 11 18 27
2020-04-16	3	2nd	1 2 19 28
2020-04-13	14	2nd	1 2 14 17
2020-03-30	8	1st	2 3 7 16
2020-03-22	1	2nd	1 2 15 18
2020-03-21	5	1st	2 5 6 20
2020-03-16	4	1st	2 6 10 28
2020-03-12	10	1st	2 9 17 22
2020-03-02	7	1st	2 3 22 26
2020-02-24	1	1st	2 4 6 21
2020-02-23	27	1st	2 5 9 18
2020-01-27	3	1st	2 3 15 25
2020-01-24	2	1st	2 10 18 26
2020-01-22	1	1st	2 5 11 27
2020-01-21	3	1st	2 3 20 24
2020-01-18	9	1st	2 19 23 28
2020-01-09	5	2nd	1 2 10 26
2020-01-04	4	1st	2 15 23 25
2019-12-31	2	1st	2 6 8 18
2019-12-29	4	1st	2 7 8 9
2019-12-25	1	2nd	1 2 16 24
2019-12-24	6	1st	2 9 16 17
2019-12-18	2	2nd	1 2 10 11
2019-12-16	3	1st	2 3 12 24
2019-12-13	1	2nd	1 2 17 27
2019-12-12	6	2nd	1 2 15 18
2019-12-06	5	2nd	1 2 9 11
2019-12-01	4	1st	2 3 23 25
2019-11-27	5	1st	2 4 5 14
2019-11-22	2	1st	2 3 10 21
2019-11-20	13	1st	2 8 11 27
2019-11-07	4	1st	2 4 15 25
2019-11-03	16	1st	2 14 25 26
2019-10-18	4	1st	2 14 17 24
2019-10-14	3	2nd	1 2 21 26
2019-10-11	16	1st	2 4 5 12
2019-09-25	14	1st	2 3 17 18
2019-09-11	9	1st	2 12 15 25
2019-09-02	22	1st	2 3 10 20
2019-08-11	5	1st	2 3 18 28
2019-08-06	20	2nd	1 2 16 20
2019-07-17	6	1st	2 3 13 14
2019-07-11	4	1st	2 3 17 20
2019-07-07	6	1st	2 9 12 25
2019-07-01	4	1st	2 17 25 27
2019-06-27	19	1st	2 4 14 24
2019-06-08	3	1st	2 8 18 26
2019-06-05	11	1st	2 9 10 26
2019-05-25	6	1st	2 5 6 9
2019-05-19	3	1st	2 4 22 28
2019-05-16	1	1st	2 3 19 24
2019-05-15	2	1st	2 9 14 16
2019-05-13	16	1st	2 7 14 18
2019-04-27	3	1st	2 7 11 12
2019-04-24	2	1st	2 7 9 23
2019-04-22	6	1st	2 5 7 23
2019-04-16	18	1st	2 5 11 22
2019-03-29	6	1st	2 7 15 17
2019-03-23	28	1st	2 10 17 25
2019-02-23	8	1st	2 11 12 13
2019-02-15	11	1st	2 4 9 13
2019-02-04	4	1st	2 5 25 27
2019-01-31	2	2nd	1 2 16 18
2019-01-29	29	1st	2 19 21 23
2018-12-31	3	1st	2 20 27 28
2018-12-28	8	1st	2 17 19 24
2018-12-20	1	1st	2 6 14 23
2018-12-19	7	2nd	1 2 18 24
2018-12-12	1	1st	2 16 21 22
2018-12-11	12	1st	2 8 17 27
2018-11-29	3	1st	2 5 6 18
2018-11-26	2	1st	2 12 22 26
2018-11-24	4	1st	2 8 21 27
2018-11-20	1	1st	2 13 16 24
2018-11-19	17	1st	2 11 15 20
2018-11-02	1	1st	2 10 24 25
2018-11-01	7	1st	2 3 11 26
2018-10-25	2	1st	2 18 19 23
2018-10-23	3	1st	2 6 14 17
2018-10-20	8	1st	2 11 26 27
2018-10-12	11	1st	2 8 12 14
2018-10-01	36	1st	2 11 13 19
2018-08-26	8	1st	2 6 13 22
2018-08-18	3	1st	2 13 19 28
2018-08-15	1	1st	2 10 12 21
2018-08-14	5	1st	2 7 15 23
2018-08-09	19	1st	2 16 18 21
2018-07-21	5	1st	2 6 11 13
2018-07-16	8	1st	2 14 21 26
2018-07-08	5	1st	2 20 22 28
2018-07-03	4	1st	2 4 13 16
2018-06-29	3	2nd	1 2 26 27
2018-06-26	1	1st	2 9 13 18
2018-06-25	10	1st	2 5 12 14
2018-06-15	4	2nd	1 2 16 19
2018-06-11	6	1st	2 3 13 22
2018-06-05	34	1st	2 17 20 26
2018-05-02	9	1st	2 10 16 26
2018-04-23	2	1st	2 5 18 24
2018-04-21	4	1st	2 3 24 28
2018-04-17	7	1st	2 15 23 27
2018-04-10	16	1st	2 14 25 28
2018-03-25	6	1st	2 17 18 20
2018-03-19	1	1st	2 3 6 15
2018-03-18	3	1st	2 5 10 27
2018-03-15	9	1st	2 13 21 26
2018-03-06	10	1st	2 10 15 23
2018-02-24	24	1st	2 4 15 22
2018-01-31	8	1st	2 11 13 28
2018-01-23	6	1st	2 15 16 25
2018-01-17	4	2nd	1 2 22 28
2018-01-13	7	1st	2 9 14 24
2018-01-06	8	1st	2 12 19 21
2017-12-29	8	1st	2 15 17 19
2017-12-21	7	1st	2 4 5 26
2017-12-14	3	2nd	1 2 5 6
2017-12-11	11	1st	2 11 22 27
2017-11-30	19	1st	2 11 16 26
2017-11-11	2	1st	2 4 18 19
2017-11-09	1	2nd	1 2 16 17
2017-11-08	9	1st	2 3 7 27
2017-10-30	12	1st	2 4 20 25
2017-10-17	2	2nd	1 2 3 18
2017-10-15	1	1st	2 18 23 27
2017-10-14	1	1st	2 9 12 28
2017-10-13	8	1st	2 4 9 22
2017-10-05	15	2nd	1 2 9 27
2017-09-19	1	1st	2 13 20 27
2017-09-18	7	1st	2 3 17 20
2017-09-11	3	1st	2 4 16 26
2017-09-08	8	1st	2 19 21 22
2017-08-31	3	1st	2 8 9 11
2017-08-28	3	1st	2 21 24 26
2017-08-25	15	1st	2 13 16 24
2017-08-10	10	1st	2 7 9 21
2017-07-31	12	1st	2 11 18 25
2017-07-19	8	1st	2 16 17 22
2017-07-11	7	1st	2 8 19 20
2017-07-04	3	1st	2 6 11 26
2017-07-01	8	1st	2 4 6 10
2017-06-23	3	1st	2 14 24 28
2017-06-20	4	1st	2 17 24 26
2017-06-16	2	1st	2 7 15 25
2017-06-14	1	1st	2 7 12 15
2017-06-13	2	1st	2 10 18 20
2017-06-11	2	1st	2 3 5 17
2017-06-09	8	1st	2 8 14 16
2017-06-01	6	1st	2 7 17 20
2017-05-26	18	1st	2 7 13 26
2017-05-08	4	1st	2 7 16 24
2017-05-04	4	1st	2 12 14 18
2017-04-30	10	2nd	1 2 11 24
2017-04-20	4	1st	2 4 15 28
2017-04-16	10	1st	2 5 23 26
2017-04-06	29	1st	2 13 25 28
2017-03-08	4	1st	2 9 16 27
2017-03-04	6	1st	2 7 22 26
2017-02-26	20	1st	2 6 10 26
2017-02-06	10	1st	2 10 15 28
2017-01-27	17	1st	2 5 8 19
2017-01-10	1	1st	2 9 17 23
2017-01-09	2	1st	2 12 23 25
2017-01-07	1	1st	2 5 9 22
2017-01-06	13	1st	2 8 18 23
2016-12-24	17	1st	2 4 5 17
2016-12-07	5	1st	2 4 11 14
2016-12-02	8	1st	2 5 16 19
2016-11-24	4	2nd	1 2 19 21
2016-11-20	1	1st	2 7 18 20
2016-11-19	1	1st	2 3 11 27
2016-11-18	—	1st	2 3 18 19